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Massachusetts
Latest News and Updates
Final projections posted - see each race for late polls and rating changes
Sen: SurveyUSA approval: Kennedy +28 (up 10) - 10/27/06
Sen: Suffolk University: Kennedy 60%, Chase 26% - 10/27/06
Sen: Boston Globe: Kennedy 66%, Chase 25% - 10/27/06
Gov: Boston Globe: Patrick 54%, Healey 29% - 10/27/06
Gov: Suffolk University: Patrick 53%, Healey 26%, Mihos 9% - 10/25/06
Gov: SurveyUSA approval: Romney -11 (down 3) - 10/23/06
Gov: Suffolk University: Patrick 46%, Healey 33%, Mihos 7% - 10/13/06
Gov: SurveyUSA: Patrick 64%, Healey 25%, Mihos 9% - 10/12/06
Gov: Suffolk University: Patrick 49%, Healey 28%, Mihos 6% - 10/07/06
Sen: SurveyUSA approval: Kennedy +18 (up 2) - 10/07/06
Gov: Rasmussen: Patrick 57%, Healey 24%, Mihos 9% - 10/04/06
Gov: RATING CHANGE: Mod DEM Gain to Strong DEM Gain - 09/25/06
Gov: SurveyUSA: Patrick 64%, Healey 25% - 09/25/06
Gov: SurveyUSA approval: Romney -8 (down 7) - 09/25/06
Gov: RATING CHANGE: Strong Dem Gain to Mod Dem Gain - 09/20/06
Tracking initiated and primary winners posted - 09/20/06
Conservative Ranking
Massachusetts is the LEAST conservative state, voting
27.6% less Republican in the 2004 presidential elections than the national average.
Partisan Trend
Based on voting patterns since 1992, Massachusetts is trending DEMOCRAT.
GOP Trend Ranking
Massachusetts ranks 49th among the 50 states.
Senate Race
Incumbent: DEM incumbent Ted Kennedy is up for a 9th term 2006. He faced no primary opposition.
GOP Candidates
Kenneth Chase - School Administrator 
Kevin Scott - Wakefield Selectman
Democrat Candidates
Edward Kennedy - Incumbent
Party nominee -
Election Projection: Edward Kennedy +35.5
Polling Data
| Polling Firm |
Date |
Chase |
Kennedy |
| Suffolk Univ. |
10/27 |
26% |
60% |
| Boston Globe |
10/27 |
25% |
66% |
Projection Data - positive numbers favor the incumbent party
| Index |
Raw value |
Weight |
Factor |
| Head-to head polls |
37.5 |
80% |
30.0 |
| Incumbent approval |
28 |
15% |
4.2 |
| State partisanship |
25.1 |
5% |
1.3 |
Projection History
| Date |
Projection |
Rating |
| Final Projection |
Kennedy +35.5 |
Strong DEM Hold |
| October 27, 2006 |
Kennedy +35.5 |
Strong DEM Hold |
| October 7, 2006 |
Kennedy +16.0 |
Strong DEM Hold |
| September 20, 2006 |
Kennedy +15.7 |
Strong DEM Hold |
| Preliminary |
----- |
Strong DEM Hold |
Governor's Race
OPEN SEAT: GOP incumbent Mitt Romney is not seeking a second term.
GOP Candidates
Kerry Healey - Massachusetts Lt. Governor
Democrat Candidates
Christopher Gabrieli
Thomas Reilly - Massachusetts Attorney General
Deval Patrick - Former Deputy U.S. Attorney General
Party nominee -
Election Projection: Deval Patrick +20.7 - DEM pick-up
Polling Data
| Polling Firm |
Date |
Healey |
Patrick |
| SurveyUSA |
11/01 |
34% |
55% |
Projection Data - positive numbers favor the incumbent party
| Index |
Raw value |
Weight |
Factor |
| Head-to head polls |
-21.0 |
90% |
-18.9 |
| Incumbent approval |
-11 |
5% |
-0.6 |
| State partisanship |
-25.1 |
5% |
-1.3 |
Projection History
| Date |
Projection |
Rating |
| Final Projection |
Patrick +20.7 |
Strong DEM Gain |
| October 27, 2006 |
Patrick +24.9 |
Strong DEM Gain |
| October 25, 2006 |
Patrick +25.2 |
Strong DEM Gain |
| October 23, 2006 |
Patrick +27.3 |
Strong DEM Gain |
| October 13, 2006 |
Patrick +27.2 |
Strong DEM Gain |
| October 12, 2006 |
Patrick +29.6 |
Strong DEM Gain |
| October 7, 2006 |
Patrick +25.5 |
Strong DEM Gain |
| October 4, 2006 |
Patrick +27.2 |
Strong DEM Gain |
| September 25, 2006 |
Patrick +25.1 |
Strong DEM Gain |
| September 20, 2006 |
Patrick +13.0 |
Mod DEM Gain |
| Preliminary |
----- |
Strong DEM Gain |
Competitive House Races
No competitive races in 2006
Other House Races
Projected winner listed first
District 1: John Olver (D)-inc (unopposed)
District 2: Richard Neal (D)-inc (unopposed)
District 3: James McGovern (D)-inc (unopposed)
District 4: Barney Frank (D)-inc (unopposed)
District 5: Martin Meehan (D)-inc (unopposed)
District 6: John Tierney (D)-inc vs. Richard Barton (R)
District 7: Edward Markey (D)-inc (unopposed)
District 8: Michael Capuano (D)-inc (unopposed)
District 9: Stephen Lynch (D)-inc vs. Jack Robinson (R)
District 10: William Delahunt (D)-inc vs. Jeffrey Beatty (R)
Election Timeline
June 6, 2006 - Deadline to file for candidacy
September 19, 2006 - Primary elections
November 7, 2006 - Election day
Current Partisan Breakdown
| National Delegation |
| Senators |
2 DEM |
| Representatives |
10 DEM |
| State Government |
| Governor |
GOP |
| Lt. Governor - tied to Governor |
GOP |
| State Senate - DEM control |
6 GOP, 34 DEM |
| State House - DEM control |
19 GOP, 138 DEM, 1 IND |
Current Office Holders
Governor: Mitt Romney (R) - term, not seeking re-election in 2006
Lt. Governor: Kerry Healey (R) - 1st term, tied to Governor (running for Governor)
Senior Senator: Edward Kennedy (D) - 9th term, up for re-election in 2006
Junior Senator: John Kerry (D) - 3rd term, up for re-election in 2008
House District 1: John Olver (D) - 8th term
House District 2: Richard Neal (D) - 9th term
House District 3: James McGovern (D) - 5th term
House District 4: Barney Frank (D) - 13th term
House District 5: Martin Meehan (D) - 7th term
House District 6: John Tierney (D) - 5th term
House District 7: Edward Markey (D) - 15th term
House District 8: Michael Capuano (D) - 4th term
House District 9: Steven Lynch (D) - 3rd term
House District 10: William Delahunt (D) - 5th term
Tour The 50 States
Next Stop: Michigan
Previous Stop: Maryland
Special Thanks to...
Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections - Dave Leip
Congressional Quarterly
The Cook Political Report - Charlie Cook
The Crystal Ball - Larry Sabato
DC's Political Report - D.C. Finegold Sachs
RealClearPolitics - Tom Bevan and John McIntyre
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