2008 Projections

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The Battle for Capitol Hill - 2008 House  
 
Projections for the week of
  Projected Seats:

Current Seats:

Projected Change:

This Week's Tally
Republicans Democrats
Projected
House Seats
Projected
Gain/Loss


Last Week's Tally
Republicans Democrats
Projected
House Seats
Projected
Gain/Loss

   
 
Changes This Week
In Democrats' Favor
In Republicans' Favor
 
Next update .
- Click here for daily updates.
 
 
House Race Summary
 
    State District   Republican   Democrat   Incumbent Projected Result  
  Alabama   CD-2   Jay Love Bobby Bright Republican Weak GOP Hold  
  Alabama   CD-5   Wayne Parker Parker Griffith Democrat Weak DEM Hold  
  Alaska   CD-AL   Don Young - inc Ethan Berkowitz Republican Mod DEM Gain  
  Arizona   CD-1   Sydney Ann Hay Ann Kirkpatrick Republican - OPEN Mod DEM Gain
  Arizona   CD-3   John Shadegg - inc Bob Lord Republican Mod GOP Hold
  Arizona   CD-5   David Schweikert Harold Mitchell - inc Democrat Mod DEM Hold
  Arizona   CD-8   Timothy Bee Gabrielle Giffords - inc Democrat Mod DEM Hold
  California   CD-4   Tom McClintock Charlie Brown Republican - OPEN Weak DEM Gain
  California   CD-11   Dean Andal Jerry McNerney - inc Democrat Mod DEM Hold
  California   CD-50   Biran Bilbray - inc Nick Leibham Republican Mod GOP Hold
  Colorado   CD-4   M. Musgrave - inc B. Markey Republican Weak DEM Gain
  Connecticut   CD-4   Christopher Shays Jim Himes Republican Weak DEM Gain
  Florida   CD-8   Richard Keller - inc Alan Grayson Republican Weak DEM Gain
  Florida   CD-13   Vern Buchanan - inc Christine Jennings Republican Mod GOP Hold
  Florida   CD-16   Tom Rooney Tim Mahoney - inc Democrat Strong GOP Gain
  Florida   CD-21   L. Diaz-Balart - inc R. Martinez Republican Weak GOP Hold
  Florida   CD-24   Tom Feeney - inc Suzanne Kosmas Republican Mod DEM Gain
  Florida   CD-25   M. Diaz-Balart - inc J. Garcia Republican Weak GOP Hold
  Georgia   CD-8   Richard Goddard Jim Marshall - inc Democrat Weak DEM Hold
  Idaho   CD-1   Bill Sali - inc Walt Minnick Republican Weak DEM Gain
  Illinois   CD-10   Mark Steven Kirk - inc Daniel Seals Republican Weak DEM Gain
  Illinois   CD-11   Marty Ozinga Debbie Halvorson Republican - OPEN Mod DEM Gain
  Illinois   CD-14   Jim Oberweis Bill Foster - inc Democrat Mod DEM Hold
  Indiana   CD-3   Mark Souder - inc Mike Montagano Republican Weak GOP Hold
  Kansas   CD-2   Lynn Jenkins Nancy Boyda - inc Democrat Weak DEM Hold
  Kentucky   CD-2   Brett Guthrie David Boswell Republican - OPEN Weak GOP Hold
  Kentucky   CD-3   Anne Northup John Yarmuth - inc Democrat Strong DEM Hold
  Louisiana   CD-4   undetermined undetermined Republican - OPEN Weak GOP Hold
  Louisiana   CD-6   Bill Cassidy Donald Cazayoux - inc Democrat Weak DEM Hold
  Maryland   CD-1   Andrew Harris Frank Kratovil, Jr. Republican - OPEN Weak GOP Hold
  Michigan   CD-7   Tim Walberg - inc Mark Schauer Republican Weak DEM Gain
  Michigan   CD-9   Joe Knollenberg - inc Gary Peters Republican Weak DEM Gain
  Minnesota   CD-3   Erik Paulsen Ashwin Madia Republican - OPEN Weak GOP Hold
  Minnesota   CD-6   M. Bachmann - inc E. Tinklenberg Republican Weak DEM Gain
  Mississippi   CD-1   Charles Davis Travis Childers - inc Democrat Weak DEM Hold
  Missouri   CD-6   Sam Graves, Jr. - inc Kay Barnes Republican Mod GOP Hold
  Missouri   CD-9   Blaine Luetkemeyer Judy Baker Republican - OPEN Weak GOP Hold
  Nebraska   CD-2   Lee Terry - inc Jim Esch Republican Weak GOP Hold
  Nevada   CD-2   Dean Heller - inc Jill Talbot Derby Republican Mod GOP Hold
  Nevada   CD-3   Jon Porter - inc Dina Titus Republican Weak DEM Gain
  New Hampshire   CD-1   Jeb Bradley Carol Shea-Porter - inc Democrat Weak DEM Hold
  New Jersey   CD-3   Christopher Myers John Adler Republican - OPEN Weak DEM Gain
  New Jersey   CD-7   Leonard Lance Linda Stender Republican - OPEN Weak DEM Gain
  New Mexico   CD-1   Darren White Martin Heinrich Republican - OPEN Weak DEM Gain
  New Mexico   CD-2   Edward Tinsley Harry Teague Republican - OPEN Weak DEM Gain
  New York   CD-13   Robert Straniere Michael McMahon Republican - OPEN Mod DEM Gain
  New York   CD-20   Sandy Treadwell Kristen Gillibrand - inc Democrat Mod DEM Hold
  New York   CD-25   Dale Sweetland Dan Maffei Republican - OPEN Mod DEM Gain
  New York   CD-26   Christopher Lee Alice Kryzan Republican - OPEN Mod GOP Hold
  New York   CD-29   Randy Kuhl, Jr. - inc Eric Massa Republican Weak DEM Gain
  North Carolina   CD-8   Robin Hayes - inc Larry Kissell Republican Weak DEM Gain
  Ohio   CD-1   Steve Chabot - inc Steven Driehaus Republican Weak DEM Gain
  Ohio   CD-2   Jean Schmidt - inc Victoria Wulsin Republican Mod GOP Hold
  Ohio   CD-15   Steve Stivers Mary Jo Kilroy Republican - OPEN Weak DEM Gain
  Ohio   CD-16   Kirk Schuring John Boccieri Republican - OPEN Mod DEM Gain
  Pennsylvania   CD-3   Phil English - inc Kathy Dahlkemper Republican Weak DEM Gain
  Pennsylvania   CD-4   Melissa Hart Jason Altmire - inc Democrat Mod DEM Hold
  Pennsylvania   CD-10   Chris Hackett Chris Carney - inc Democrat Mod DEM Hold
  Pennsylvania   CD-11   Louis Barletta Paul Kanjorski - inc Democrat Weak GOP Gain
  South Carolina   CD-1   Henry Brown, Jr. - inc Linda Ketner Republican Mod GOP Hold
  Texas   CD-22   Pete Olsen Nick Lampson - inc Democrat Mod GOP Gain
  Virginia   CD-2   Thelma Drake - inc Glenn Nye, III Republican - OPEN Mod GOP Hold
  Virginia   CD-11   Keith Fimian Gerry Connolly Republican - OPEN Strong DEM Gain
  Washington   CD-8   Dave Reichert - inc Darcy Burner Republican Weak DEM Gain
  West Virginia   CD-2   Shelley Capito - inc Anne Barth Republican Mod GOP Hold
  Wisconsin   CD-8   John Gard Steve Kagen - inc Democrat Mod DEM Hold
  Wyoming   CD-AL   Cynthia Lummis Gary Trauner Republican - OPEN Weak GOP Hold
 
BOLD - party takeover
  Race ratings:
  • "Weak" - less than 5%
  • "Mod" - 5% to less than 10%
  • "Strong" - 10% to 15%
  • "Solid" - greater than 15%
  •   For projected margins of victory, click here
     
     
     
    Primary Schedule
     
    Completed
      Hawaii, Sep 20
    Massachusetts, Sep 16
    Delaware, Sep 9
    Minnesota, Sep 9
    New Hampshire, Sep 9
    New York, Sep 9
    Rhode Island, Sep 9
    Vermont, Sep 9
    Wisconsin, Sep 9
    Louisiana, Sep 6
    Arizona, Sep 2
    Alaska, Aug 26
    Florida, Aug 26
    Washington, Aug 19
    Wyoming, Aug 19
    Colorado, Aug 12
    Connecticut, Aug 12
    Nevada, Aug 12
    Tennessee, Aug 7
    Kansas, Aug 5
    Michigan, Aug 5
    Missouri, Aug 5
    Oklahoma, Jul 29
    Georgia, Jul 15
    Utah, Jun 24
    Maine, Jun 10
    North Dakota, Jun 10
    South Carolina, Jun 10
    Virginia, Jun 10
    Alabama, Jun 3
    California, Jun 3
    Iowa, Jun 3
    Montana, Jun 3
    New Jersey, Jun 3
    New Mexico, Jun 3
    South Dakota, Jun 3
    Idaho, May 27
    Arkansas, May 20
    Kentucky, May 20
    Oregon, May 20
    Nebraska, May 13
    West Virginia, May 13
    Indiana, May 6
    North Carolina, May 6
    Pennsylvania, Apr 22
    Mississippi, Mar 11
    Ohio, Mar 4
    Texas, Mar 4
    Maryland, Feb 12
    Illinois, Feb 5
     
     
     
    Projection History
     

    ©Copyright 2008 Scott Elliott, All Rights Reserved

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