2008 Projections

President
Senate
Governors
House



 
The Race for the White House - 2008  
 
Final 2008 Projections
  Electoral Votes:

Popular Vote:


Actual Results
  Electoral Votes:

Popular Vote:


Final Tally
McCain Obama Margin
Projected
Electoral Votes
Projected
Popular Vote


Previous Tally
McCain Obama Margin
Projected
Electoral Votes
Projected
Popular Vote

   
 
Projection Results
States correctly called:  48
Incorrect calls:  2
     Indiana, North Carolina
Percent correct:  96%
 
 
State of the States
 
    State Projected Result Electoral Votes Actual Result Electoral Votes
  Alabama 9 -- Solid McCain 9 --
  Alaska 3 -- Solid McCain 3 --
  Arizona 10 -- Mod McCain 10 --
  Arkansas 6 -- Solid McCain 6 --
  California -- 55 Solid Obama -- 55
  Colorado Mod Obama -- 9
  Connecticut -- 7 Solid Obama -- 7
  Delaware -- 3 Solid Obama -- 3
  Dist of Columbia Solid Obama -- 3 Solid Obama -- 3
  Florida Weak Obama -- 27
  Georgia 15 -- Mod McCain 15 --
  Hawaii -- 4 Solid Obama -- 4
  Idaho 4 -- Solid McCain 4 --
  Illinois -- 21 Solid Obama -- 21
  Indiana 11 -- Weak Obama -- 11
  Iowa Mod Obama -- 7
  Kansas 6 -- Strong McCain 6 --
  Kentucky 8 -- Solid McCain 8 --
  Louisiana 9 -- Solid McCain 9 --
  Maine -- 4 Solid Obama -- 4
  Maryland -- 10 Solid Obama -- 10
  Massachusetts -- 12 Solid Obama -- 12
  Michigan -- 17 Solid Obama -- 17
  Minnesota -- 10 Strong Obama -- 10
  Mississippi 6 -- Strong McCain 6 --
  Missouri Weak McCain 11 --
  Montana 3 -- Weak McCain 3 --
  Nebraska 5 -- Strong McCain 4 1
  Nevada Strong Obama -- 5
  New Hampshire Mod Obama -- 4
  New Jersey -- 15 Solid Obama -- 15
  New Mexico Solid Obama -- 5
  New York -- 31 Solid Obama -- 31
  North Carolina Weak Obama -- 15
  North Dakota 3 -- Mod McCain 3 --
  Ohio Weak Obama -- 20
  Oklahoma 7 -- Solid McCain 7 --
  Oregon -- 7 Solid Obama -- 7
  Pennsylvania -- 21 Strong Obama -- 21
  Rhode Island -- 4 Solid Obama -- 4
  South Carolina 8 -- Mod McCain 8 --
  South Dakota 3 -- Mod McCain 3 --
  Tennessee 11 -- Solid McCain 11 --
  Texas 34 -- Strong McCain 34 --
  Utah 5 -- Solid McCain 5 --
  Vermont -- 3 Solid Obama -- 3
  Virginia Mod Obama -- 13
  Washington -- 11 Solid Obama -- 11
  West Virginia 5 -- Strong McCain 5 --
  Wisconsin -- 10 Strong Obama -- 10
  Wyoming 3 -- Solid McCain 3 --
 
BOLD - change from 2004
  Race ratings:
  • "Weak" - less than 5%
  • "Mod" - 5% to less than 10%
  • "Strong" - 10% to 15%
  • "Solid" - greater than 15%
  •   For projected margins of victory, click here
     
     
     
    Primary Schedule (Non-presidential)
     
    Completed
      Hawaii, Sep 20
    Massachusetts, Sep 16
    Delaware, Sep 9
    Minnesota, Sep 9
    New Hampshire, Sep 9
    New York, Sep 9
    Rhode Island, Sep 9
    Vermont, Sep 9
    Wisconsin, Sep 9
    Louisiana, Sep 6
    Arizona, Sep 2
    Alaska, Aug 26
    Florida, Aug 26
    Washington, Aug 19
    Wyoming, Aug 19
    Colorado, Aug 12
    Connecticut, Aug 12
    Nevada, Aug 12
    Tennessee, Aug 7
    Kansas, Aug 5
    Michigan, Aug 5
    Missouri, Aug 5
    Oklahoma, Jul 29
    Georgia, Jul 15
    Utah, Jun 24
    Maine, Jun 10
    North Dakota, Jun 10
    South Carolina, Jun 10
    Virginia, Jun 10
    Alabama, Jun 3
    California, Jun 3
    Iowa, Jun 3
    Montana, Jun 3
    New Jersey, Jun 3
    New Mexico, Jun 3
    South Dakota, Jun 3
    Idaho, May 27
    Arkansas, May 20
    Kentucky, May 20
    Oregon, May 20
    Nebraska, May 13
    West Virginia, May 13
    Indiana, May 6
    North Carolina, May 6
    Pennsylvania, Apr 22
    Mississippi, Mar 11
    Ohio, Mar 4
    Texas, Mar 4
    Maryland, Feb 12
    Illinois, Feb 5
     
     
     
    Projection History
     

    ©Copyright 2008 Scott Elliott, All Rights Reserved

    Top Politics blogs     Politics Blogs - Blog Top Sites





    Alabama Alaska Arizona Arkansas California Colorado Connecticut Delaware Florida Georgia Hawaii Idaho Illinois Indiana Iowa Kansas Kentucky Louisiana Maine Maryland Massachusetts Michigan Minnesota Mississippi Missouri Montana Nebraska Nevada New Hampshire New Jersey New Mexico New York North Carolina North Dakota Ohio Oklahoma Oregon Pennsylvania Rhode Island South Carolina South Dakota Tennessee Texas Utah Vermont Virginia Washington West Virginia Wisconsin Wyoming