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Arkansas  
 
General Information
Latest Polls and Updates

Conservative Ranking


Arkansas is the 23rd most conservative state, voting 7.3% more Republican in the 2004 presidential elections than the national average.

Partisan Trend


Based on voting patterns since 1992, Arkansas is trending REPUBLICAN .
NOTE:  Arkansas' GOP trend can be largely attributed to the presence of former Gov. Bill Clinton on the ballot in 1992 and 1996.

GOP Trend Ranking


Arkansas ranks 3rd among the 50 states.
 
Presidential Race

Race for the White House


GOP Candidates
  • John McCain - U. S. Senator from Arizona  
  • Mike Huckabee - Former Governor of Arkansas
  • Ron Paul - U. S. Congressman from Texas (CD-14)
  • Mitt Romney - Former Governor of Massachusetts
  • Rudy Giuliani - Former Mayor of New York City
  • Fred Thompson - Former U. S. Senator from Tennessee
  • Duncan Hunter - U. S. Congressman from California (CD-52)

    DEM Candidates

  • Barack Obama - U. S. Senator from Illinois  
  • Hillary Clinton - U. S. Senator from New York
  • Mike Gravel - Former U. S. Senator from Alaska
  • John Edwards - Former U. S. Senator from North Carolina
  • Bill Richardson - Governor of New Mexico
  • Dennis Kucinich - U. S. Congressman from Ohio (CD-10)

    Party nominee -

  •  

    Senate Race
    Incumbent:  DEM incumbent Mark Pryor is seeking a second term in 2008.  He faced no primary opposition and is unopposed in the general election.

    GOP Candidates

  • none

    DEM Candidates

  • Mark Pryor - Incumbent  

    Party nominee -

    Polling Data - polls will not be tracked since Pryor is unopposed

    Election Projection:  Mark Pryor by >70%
  •  
    Governor's Race
    No race in 2008
     
    Competitive House Races
    No competitive races in 2008
     
    Other House Races
    Projected winner listed first
  • District 1:  Marion Berry (D)-inc  (unopposed)
  • District 2:  Victor Snyder (D)-inc  (unopposed)
  • District 3:  John Boozman (R)-inc  (unopposed)
  • District 4:  Mike Ross (D)-inc  (unopposed)
  •  
    Additional Information

    Election Timeline


  • February 5, 2008 - Presidential primary
  • April 1, 2008 - Deadline to file for candidacy
  • May 20, 2008 - Primary elections
  • June 10, 2008 - Primary runoff
  • November 4, 2008 - Election day
  • Current Partisan Breakdown


     
    National Delegation
      Senators 2 DEM
      Representatives 1 GOP, 3 DEM
    State Government
      Governor DEM
      Lt. Governor DEM
      State Senate - DEM control 8 GOP, 27 DEM
      State House - DEM control 25 GOP, 75 DEM

    Current Office Holders


  • Governor:  Mike Beebe (D) - 1st term, up for re-election in 2010
  • Lt. Governor:  Bill Halter (D) - 1st term, up for re-election in 2010
  • Senior Senator:  Blanche Lincoln (D) - 2nd term, up for re-election in 2010
  • Junior Senator:  Mark Pryor (D) - 1st term, up for re-election in 2008
  • House District 1:  Marion Berry (D) - 6th term
  • House District 2:  Victor Snyder (D) - 6th term
  • House District 3:  John Boozman (R) - 4th term
  • House District 4:  Mike Ross (D) - 4th term

    Historical Partisan Snapshot


  •  
      Race 2000 Result 2002 Result 2004 Result 2006 Result

    President Mod GOP -- Mod GOP --

    Senate
    Class 2 -- Mod DEM -- --
    Class 3 -- -- Mod DEM --

    Governor -- Mod GOP -- Strong DEM

    House 1 GOP - 3 DEM 1 GOP - 3 DEM 1 GOP - 3 DEM 1 GOP - 3 DEM
    CD-1 Solid DEM Solid DEM Solid DEM Solid DEM
    CD-2 Solid DEM Solid DEM Weak DEM Solid DEM
    CD-3 Solid GOP Solid GOP Solid GOP Solid GOP
    CD-4 Weak DEM Solid DEM Solid DEM Solid DEM

    BOLD - party turnover
     
    Race ratings:
  • "Weak" - less than 5%
  • "Mod" - 5% to less than 10%
  • "Strong" - 10% to 15%
  • "Solid" - greater than 15%
  •  

    Arkansas Race Tracking
    President
    John McCain
    vs
    Barack Obama
    Projected Winner
    Senate
    Mark Pryor - inc
    (unopposed)
    Projected Winner
    Pryor by >70%
     
    Governor
    No race
    House
    No competitive races
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    Special Thanks To:

    Charlie Cook
    Cook Political


    Congressional Quarterly
    CQ Politics


    D.C. Finegold Sachs
    DC's Political Report


    Dave Leip
    U.S. Election Atlas


    Larry Sabato
    Crystal Ball


    Tom Bevan and John McIntyre
    RealClearPolitics

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