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Arizona  
 
General Information
Latest Polls and Updates

Conservative Ranking


Arizona is the 22nd most conservative state, voting 8.0% more Republican in the 2004 presidential elections than the national average.

Partisan Trend


Based on voting patterns since 1992, Arizona's partisan trend is STEADY .

GOP Trend Ranking


Arizona ranks 22nd among the 50 states.
 
Presidential Race

Race for the White House


GOP Candidates
  • John McCain - U. S. Senator from Arizona  
  • Mike Huckabee - Former Governor of Arkansas
  • Ron Paul - U. S. Congressman from Texas (CD-14)
  • Mitt Romney - Former Governor of Massachusetts
  • Rudy Giuliani - Former Mayor of New York City
  • Fred Thompson - Former U. S. Senator from Tennessee
  • Duncan Hunter - U. S. Congressman from California (CD-52)

    DEM Candidates

  • Barack Obama - U. S. Senator from Illinois  
  • Hillary Clinton - U. S. Senator from New York
  • Mike Gravel - Former U. S. Senator from Alaska
  • John Edwards - Former U. S. Senator from North Carolina
  • Bill Richardson - Governor of New Mexico
  • Dennis Kucinich - U. S. Congressman from Ohio (CD-10)

    Party nominee -

  •  


    Senate Race
    No race in 2008
     
    Governor's Race
    No race in 2008
     
    Competitive House Races
    District 1
    OPEN SEAT:  GOP incumbent Rick Renzi is retiring at the end of his 3rd term.  He is not seeking re-election in 2008.

    GOP Candidates

  • Sydney Ann Hay  
  • Tom O'Hallaran - Arizona State Senator
  • Lewis Tenney

    DEM Candidates

  • Ann Kirkpatrick - Former Arizona State Representative  
  • Howard Shanker - Attorney
  • Mary Kim Titla - Former Television Reporter
  • Jeffrey Brown - Community Activist

    Party nominee -

  •  
    District 3
    Incumbent:  GOP incumbent John Shadegg seeks his eighth term in 2008.

    GOP Candidates

  • John Shadegg - Incumbent  

    DEM Candidates

  • Bob Lord  

    Party nominee -

  •  

    District 5
    Incumbent:  Democrat Harold Mitchell is running for re-election for the first time in 2008.  He faced no primary opposition.

    GOP Candidates

  • David Schweikert  
  • Mark Anderson - Arizona State Representative
  • Susan Bitter Smith - Former Scottsdale City Council Member
  • Laura Knaperek - Former Arizona State Senator
  • Jim Ogsbury - Lobbyist
  • Lee Gentry

    DEM Candidates

  • Harold Mitchell - Incumbent  

    Party nominee -

  •  

    District 8
    Incumbent:  Democrat Gabrielle Giffords is also running for re-election for the first time in 2008.  She faced no primary opposition.

    GOP Candidates

  • Timothy Bee - Arizona State Senator  

    DEM Candidates

  • Gabrielle Giffords - Incumbent  

    Party nominee -

  •  
    Other House Races
    Projected winner listed first
  • District 2:  Trent Franks (R)-inc vs. John Thrasher (D)
  • District 4:  Ed Pastor (D)-inc vs. Don Karg (R)
  • District 6:  Jeffrey Flake (R)-inc vs. Rebecca Schneider (D)
  • District 7:  Raul Grijalva (D)-inc vs. Joseph Sweeney (R)
  •  
    Additional Information

    Election Timeline


  • February 5, 2008 - Presidential primary
  • June 4, 2008 - Deadline to file for candidacy
  • September 9, 2008 - Primary elections
  • November 4, 2008 - Election day

    Current Partisan Breakdown


  •  
    National Delegation
      Senators 2 GOP
      Representatives 4 GOP, 4 DEM
    State Government
      Governor DEM
      Lt. Governor GOP
      State Senate - GOP control 17 GOP, 13 DEM
      State House - GOP control 33 GOP, 27 DEM

    Current Office Holders


  • Governor:  Janet Napolitano (D) - 2nd term, term-limited in 2010
  • Lt. Governor:  Jan Brewer (R) - 2nd term, term-limited in 2010
  • Senior Senator:  John McCain (R) - 4th term, running for President in 2008
  • Junior Senator:  Jon Kyl (R) - 3rd term, up for re-election in 2012
  • House District 1:  Rick Renzi (R) - 3rd term, retiring
  • House District 2:  Trent Franks (R) - 3rd term
  • House District 3:  John Shadegg (R) - 7th term
  • House District 4:  Ed Pastor (D) - 9th term
  • House District 5:  Harold Mitchell (D) - 1st term
  • House District 6:  Jeffrey Flake (R) - 4th term
  • House District 7:  Raul Grijalva (D) - 2nd term
  • House District 8:  Gabrielle Giffords (D) - 1st term

    Historical Partisan Snapshot


  •  
      Race 2000 Result 2002 Result 2004 Result 2006 Result

    President Mod GOP -- Strong GOP --

    Senate
    Class 1 Solid GOP -- -- Mod GOP
    Class 3 -- -- Solid GOP --

    Governor -- Weak DEM -- Solid DEM

    House 4 GOP - 2 DEM 6 GOP - 2 DEM 6 GOP - 2 DEM 4 GOP - 4 DEM
    CD-1 Mod GOP Weak GOP Solid GOP Mod GOP
    CD-2 Solid DEM Solid GOP Solid GOP Solid GOP
    CD-3 Solid GOP Weak GOP Solid GOP Solid GOP
    CD-4 Solid GOP Solid DEM Solid DEM Solid DEM
    CD-5 Solid DEM Solid GOP Solid GOP Weak DEM
    CD-6 Solid GOP Solid GOP Solid GOP Solid GOP
    CD-7 NA Solid DEM Solid DEM Solid DEM
    CD-8 NA Solid GOP Solid GOP Mod DEM

    BOLD - party turnover
    Race ratings:
  • "Weak" - less than 5%
  • "Mod" - 5% to less than 10%
  • "Strong" - 10% to 15%
  • "Solid" - greater than 15%
  •  

    Arizona Race Tracking
    President
    John McCain
    vs
    Barack Obama
    Projected Winner
    Senate
    No race
    Governor
    No race
    House District 1 (open)
    Sydney Ann Hay
    vs
    Ann Kirkpatrick
    Projected Winner
    House District 3
    John Shadegg - inc
    vs
    Bob Lord
    Projected Winner
    House District 5
    Harold Mitchell - inc
    vs
    David Schweikert
    Projected Winner
    House District 8
    Gabrielle Giffords - inc
    vs
    Timothy Bee
    Projected Winner
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    U.S. Election Atlas


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