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Hawaii  
 
General Information
Latest Polls and Updates

Conservative Ranking


Hawaii is the 10th least conservative state, voting 11.2% less Republican in the 2004 presidential elections than the national average.

Partisan Trend


Based on voting patterns since 1992, Hawaii is trending REPUBLICAN.

GOP Trend Ranking


Hawaii ranks 21st among the 50 states.
 
Presidential Race

Race for the White House


GOP Candidates
  • John McCain - U. S. Senator from Arizona  
  • Mike Huckabee - Former Governor of Arkansas
  • Ron Paul - U. S. Congressman from Texas (CD-14)
  • Mitt Romney - Former Governor of Massachusetts
  • Rudy Giuliani - Former Mayor of New York City
  • Fred Thompson - Former U. S. Senator from Tennessee
  • Duncan Hunter - U. S. Congressman from California (CD-52)

    DEM Candidates

  • Barack Obama - U. S. Senator from Illinois  
  • Hillary Clinton - U. S. Senator from New York
  • Mike Gravel - Former U. S. Senator from Alaska
  • John Edwards - Former U. S. Senator from North Carolina
  • Bill Richardson - Governor of New Mexico
  • Dennis Kucinich - U. S. Congressman from Ohio (CD-10)

    Party nominee -

  •  

    Senate Race
    No race in 2008
     
    Governor's Race
    No race in 2008
     
    Competitive House Races
    No competitive races in 2008
     
    Other House Races
    Projected winner listed first
  • District 1:  Neil Abercrombie (D)-inc  (currently unopposed)
  • District 2:  Mazie Hirono (D)-inc  (currently unopposed)
  •  
    Additional Information

    Election Timeline


  • February 19, 2008 - Democratic presidential primary
  • July 22, 2008 - Deadline to file for candidacy
  • September 20, 2008 - Primary elections
  • November 4, 2008 - Election day
  • Current Partisan Breakdown


     
    National Delegation
      Senators 2 DEM
      Representatives 2 DEM
    State Government
      Governor GOP
      Lt. Governor - tied to Governor GOP
      State Senate - DEM control 4 GOP, 21 DEM
      State House - DEM control 8 GOP, 43 DEM

    Current Office Holders


  • Governor:  Linda Lingle (R) - 2nd term, term-limited in 2010
  • Lt. Governor:  James "Duke" Aiona (R) - 2nd term, tied to Governor
  • Senior Senator:  Daniel Inouye (D) - 8th term, up for re-election in 2010
  • Junior Senator:  Daniel Akaka (D) - 4th term, up for re-election in 2012
  • House District 1:  Neil Abercrombie (D) - 10th term (might retire)
  • House District 2:  Mazie Hirono (D) - 1st term

    Historical Partisan Snapshot


  •  
      Race 2000 Result 2002 Result 2004 Result 2006 Result

    President Solid DEM -- Mod DEM --

    Senate
    Class 1 Solid DEM -- -- Solid DEM
    Class 3 -- -- Solid DEM --

    Governor -- Mod GOP -- Solid GOP

    House 2 DEM 2 DEM 2 DEM 2 DEM
    CD-1 Solid DEM Solid DEM Solid DEM Solid DEM
    CD-2 Solid DEM Solid DEM Solid DEM Solid DEM

    BOLD - party turnover
    Race ratings:
  • "Weak" - less than 5%
  • "Mod" - 5% to less than 10%
  • "Strong" - 10% to 15%
  • "Solid" - greater than 15%
  •  

    Hawaii Race Tracking
    President
    John McCain
    vs
    Barack Obama
    Projected Winner
    Senate
    No race
    Governor
    No race
    House
    No competitive races
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    Special Thanks To:

    Charlie Cook
    Cook Political


    Congressional Quarterly
    CQ Politics


    D.C. Finegold Sachs
    DC's Political Report


    Dave Leip
    U.S. Election Atlas


    Larry Sabato
    Crystal Ball


    Tom Bevan and John McIntyre
    RealClearPolitics

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