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Louisiana  
 
General Information
Latest Polls and Updates

Conservative Ranking


Louisiana is the 18th most conservative state, voting 12.0% more Republican in the 2004 presidential elections than the national average.

Partisan Trend


Based on voting patterns since 1992, Louisiana is trending REPUBLICAN.

GOP Trend Ranking


Louisiana ranks 6th among the 50 states.
 
Presidential Race

Race for the White House


GOP Candidates
  • John McCain - U. S. Senator from Arizona  
  • Mike Huckabee - Former Governor of Arkansas
  • Ron Paul - U. S. Congressman from Texas (CD-14)
  • Mitt Romney - Former Governor of Massachusetts
  • Rudy Giuliani - Former Mayor of New York City
  • Fred Thompson - Former U. S. Senator from Tennessee
  • Duncan Hunter - U. S. Congressman from California (CD-52)

    DEM Candidates

  • Barack Obama - U. S. Senator from Illinois  
  • Hillary Clinton - U. S. Senator from New York
  • Mike Gravel - Former U. S. Senator from Alaska
  • John Edwards - Former U. S. Senator from North Carolina
  • Bill Richardson - Governor of New Mexico
  • Dennis Kucinich - U. S. Congressman from Ohio (CD-10)

    Party nominee -

  •  

    Senate Race
    Incumbent  DEM incumbent Mary Landrieu is running for a 3rd term in 2008.

    GOP Candidates

  • John Kennedy - Louisiana State Treasurer  

    DEM Candidates

  • Mary Landrieu - Incumbent  

    Party nominee -

  •  
    Governor's Race
    No race in 2008
     
    Competitive House Races
    District 4
    OPEN SEAT:  GOP incumbent Jim McCrery is retiring at the end of his 11th term.  He is not seeking re-election in 2008.

    GOP Candidates

  • Gerard Bowen, Jr. - U. S. Navy Veteran
  • John Fleming - Former Webster Parish Coroner
  • Chris Gorman - Business Executive
  • Jeff Thompson - Attorney

    DEM Candidates

  • John Milkovich - Attorney
  • Paul Carmouche - Caddo Parich District Attorney
  • Willie Banks, Jr.

    Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party runoffs

    Projection Data - table to be filled out after party runoffs

    Preliminary Projection - Weak GOP Hold

  •  
    District 6
    Interim Incumbent:  Democrat Donald Cazayoux is seeking a full term in November after winning a special election earlier this year.  He faces no primary opposition.

    GOP Candidates

  • Bill Cassidy - Louisiana State Senator  
  • Louis "Woody" Jenkins - Former Louisiana State Representative

    DEM Candidates

  • Donald Cazayoux - Interim Incumbent  

    Party nominee -

  •  
     
    Other House Races
    Projected winner listed first
  • District 1:  Steve Scalise (R)-inc vs. ??? (D)
  • District 2:  William Jefferson? (D)-inc vs. Joseph Cao (R)
  • District 3:  Charlie Melancon (D)-inc  (unopposed)
  • District 5:  Rodney Alexander (R)-inc  (unopposed)
  • District 7:  Charles Boustany Jr. (R)-inc vs. Don Cravins, Jr. (D)
  •  
    Additional Information

    Election Timeline


  • February 9, 2008 - Presidential primary
  • July 11, 2008 - Deadline to file for candidacy
  • September 6, 2008 - Primary elections
  • November 4, 2008 - Election day
  • December 4, 2008 - Runoff elections
  • Current Partisan Breakdown


     
    National Delegation
      Senators 1 GOP, 1 DEM
      Representatives 4 GOP, 3 DEM
    State Government
      Governor GOP
      Lt. Governor DEM
      State Senate - DEM control 16 GOP, 23 DEM
      State House - DEM control 49 GOP, 53 DEM, 1 IND, 1 vacant

    Current Office Holders


  • Governor:  Bobby Jindal (R) - 1st term, up for re-election in 2011
  • Lt. Governor:  Mitch Landrieu (D) - 2nd term, up for re-election in 2011
  • Senior Senator:  Mary Landrieu (D) - 2nd term, up for re-election in 2008
  • Junior Senator:  David Vitter (R) - 1st term, up for re-election in 2010
  • House District 1:  Steve Scalise (R) - 1st term (partial)
  • House District 2:  William Jefferson (D) - 9th term
  • House District 3:  Charlie Melancon (D) - 2nd term
  • House District 4:  Jim McCrery (R) - 11th term (retiring)
  • House District 5:  Rodney Alexander (R) - 3rd term
  • House District 6:  Don Cazayoux (D) - 1st term (partial)
  • House District 7:  Charles Boustany (R) - 2nd term
  • Historical Partisan Snapshot


     
      Race 2000 Result 2002 Result 2004 Result 2006 Result

    President Mod GOP -- Solid GOP --

    Senate
    Class 2 -- Weak DEM -- --
    Class 3 -- -- Solid GOP --

    Governor
    (2003-07)
    -- Weak DEM -- Solid GOP

    House 5 GOP - 2 DEM 5 GOP - 2 DEM 5 GOP - 2 DEM 5 GOP - 2 DEM
    CD-1 Solid GOP Solid GOP Solid GOP Solid GOP
    CD-2 Solid DEM Solid DEM Solid DEM Solid DEM
    CD-3 Solid GOP Solid GOP Weak DEM Solid DEM
    CD-4 Solid GOP Solid GOP Solid GOP Solid GOP
    CD-5 Solid GOP Solid GOP Solid GOP Solid GOP
    CD-6 Solid GOP Solid GOP Solid GOP Solid GOP
    CD-7 Solid DEM Solid DEM Strong GOP Solid GOP

    BOLD - party turnover
    Party changes not bolded resulted from redistricting before the 2002 election.
    Race ratings:
  • "Weak" - less than 5%
  • "Mod" - 5% to less than 10%
  • "Strong" - 10% to 15%
  • "Solid" - greater than 15%
  •  

    Louisiana Race Tracking
    President
    John McCain
    vs
    Barack Obama
    Projected Winner
    Senate
    Mary Landrieu - inc
    vs
    John Kennedy
    Projected Winner
    Governor
    No race
    House District 4 (open)
    undetermined
    vs
    undetermined
    Preliminary
    Weak DEM Hold
     
    House District 6
    Donald Cazayoux - inc
    vs
    Bill Cassidy
    Projected Winner
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    Special Thanks To:

    Charlie Cook
    Cook Political


    Congressional Quarterly
    CQ Politics


    D.C. Finegold Sachs
    DC's Political Report


    Dave Leip
    U.S. Election Atlas


    Larry Sabato
    Crystal Ball


    Tom Bevan and John McIntyre
    RealClearPolitics

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