Premium Pages

President
Senate
Governors
House



 
North Carolina  
 
General Information
Latest Polls and Updates

Conservative Ranking


North Carolina is the 21st most conservative state, voting 10.0% more Republican in the 2004 presidential elections than the national average.

Partisan Trend


Based on voting patterns since 1992, North Carolina's partisan trend is STEADY.

GOP Trend Ranking


North Carolina ranks 30th among the 50 states.
 
Presidential Race

Race for the White House


GOP Candidates
  • John McCain - U. S. Senator from Arizona  
  • Mike Huckabee - Former Governor of Arkansas
  • Ron Paul - U. S. Congressman from Texas (CD-14)
  • Mitt Romney - Former Governor of Massachusetts
  • Rudy Giuliani - Former Mayor of New York City
  • Fred Thompson - Former U. S. Senator from Tennessee
  • Duncan Hunter - U. S. Congressman from California (CD-52)

    DEM Candidates

  • Barack Obama - U. S. Senator from Illinois  
  • Hillary Clinton - U. S. Senator from New York
  • Mike Gravel - Former U. S. Senator from Alaska
  • John Edwards - Former U. S. Senator from North Carolina
  • Bill Richardson - Governor of New Mexico
  • Dennis Kucinich - U. S. Congressman from Ohio (CD-10)

    Party nominee -

  •  

    Senate Race
    Incumbent:  GOP incumbent Elizabeth Dole is seeking a second term in 2008.  She faced no serious primary opposition.

    GOP Candidates

  • Elizabeth Dole - Incumbent  

    DEM Candidates

  • Kay Hagan - North Carolina State Senator  
  • Marcus Williams
  • Howard Staley - Physician
  • Duskin Lassiter
  • Jim Neal, Jr.

    Party nominee -

  •  
    Governor's Race
    OPEN SEAT:  Democratic incumbent Mike Easley is term-limited in 2008.

    GOP Candidates

  • Patrick McCrory - Mayor of Charlotte  
  • Fred Smith - North Carolina State Senator
  • Bob Orr - Former North Carolina Supreme Court Justice
  • Bill Graham - Attorney

    DEM Candidates

  • Beverly Perdue - Lieutenant Governor of North Carolina  
  • Richard Moore - North Carolina State Treasurer
  • Dennis Nielson - Retired United States Air Force Colonel

    Party nominee -

  •  
    Competitive House Races
    District 8
    Incumbent:  GOP incumbent Robin Hayes is seeking a 6th term in 2008.  He faced no primary opposition.

    GOP Candidates

  • Robin Hayes - Incumbent  

    DEM Candidates

  • Larry Kissell - 2006 Congressional Nominee  

    Party nominee -

  •  
    Other House Races
    Projected winner listed first
  • District 1:  G.K. Butterfield (D)-inc vs. Dean Stephens (R)
  • District 2:  Bob Etheridge (D)-inc vs. Dan Mansell (R)
  • District 3:  Walter Jones, Jr. (R)-inc vs. Craig Weber (D) - possibly competitive
  • District 4:  David Price (D)-inc vs. William Lawson (R)
  • District 5:  Virginia Foxx (R)-inc vs. Roy Carter (D)
  • District 6:  Howard Coble (R)-inc vs. Teresa Sue Bratton (D)
  • District 7:  Mike McIntyre (D)-inc vs. Will Breazeale (R)
  • District 9:  Sue Myrick (R)-inc vs. Harry Taylor (D)
  • District 10:  Patrick McHenry (R)-inc vs. Daniel Johnson (D)
  • District 11:  Heath Shuler (D)-inc vs. Carl Mumpower (R) - possibly competitive
  • District 12:  Melvin Watt (D)-inc vs. Ty Cobb, Jr. (R)
  • District 13:  Brad Miller (D)-inc vs. Hugh Webster (R)
  •  
    Additional Information

    Election Timeline


  • February 29, 2008 - Deadline to file for candidacy
  • May 6, 2008 - Presidential primary
  • May 6, 2008 - Primary elections
  • November 4, 2008 - Election day
  • Current Partisan Breakdown


     
    National Delegation
      Senators 2 GOP
      Representatives 6 GOP, 7 DEM
    State Government
      Governor DEM
      Lt. Governor DEM
      State Senate - DEM control 19 GOP, 31 DEM
      State House - DEM control 52 GOP, 68 DEM

    Current Office Holders


  • Governor:  Mike Easley (D) - 2nd term, term limited in 2008
  • Lt. Governor:  Beverly Perdue (D) - 2nd term, running for Governor in 2008
  • Senior Senator:  Elizabeth Dole (R) - 1st term, up for re-election in 2008
  • Junior Senator:  Richard Burr (R) - 1st term, up for re-election in 2010
  • House District 1:  G.K. Butterfield (D) - 3rd term
  • House District 2:  Bob Etheridge (D) - 6th term
  • House District 3:  Walter Jones, Jr. (R) - 7th term
  • House District 4:  David Price (D) - 10th term
  • House District 5:  Virginia Foxx (R) - 2nd term
  • House District 6:  Howard Coble (R) - 12th term
  • House District 7:  Mike McIntyre (D) - 6th term
  • House District 8:  Robin Hayes (R) - 5th term
  • House District 9:  Sue Myrick (R) - 7th term
  • House District 10:  Patrick McHenry (R) - 2nd term
  • House District 11:  Heath Shuler (D) - 1st term
  • House District 12:  Melvin Watt (D) - 8th term
  • House District 13:  Brad Miller (D) - 3rd term

    Historical Partisan Snapshot


  •  
      Race 2000 Result 2002 Result 2004 Result 2006 Result

    President Strong GOP -- Strong GOP --

    Senate
    Class 2 -- Mod GOP -- --
    Class 3 -- -- Mod GOP --

    Governor Mod DEM -- Strong DEM --

    House 7 GOP - 5 DEM 7 GOP - 6 DEM 7 GOP - 6 DEM 6 GOP - 7 DEM
    CD-1 Solid DEM Solid DEM Solid DEM Solid DEM
    CD-2 Solid DEM Solid DEM Solid DEM Solid DEM
    CD-3 Solid GOP Solid GOP Solid GOP Solid GOP
    CD-4 Solid DEM Solid DEM Solid DEM Solid DEM
    CD-5 Solid GOP Solid GOP Solid GOP Strong GOP
    CD-6 Solid GOP Solid GOP Solid GOP Solid GOP
    CD-7 Solid DEM Solid DEM Solid DEM Solid DEM
    CD-8 Strong GOP Strong GOP Strong GOP Weak GOP
    CD-9 Solid GOP Solid GOP Solid GOP Solid GOP
    CD-10 Solid GOP Solid GOP Solid GOP Solid GOP
    CD-11 Strong GOP Strong GOP Strong GOP Mod DEM
    CD-12 Solid DEM Solid DEM Solid DEM Solid DEM
    CD-13 NA Strong DEM Solid DEM Solid DEM

    BOLD - party turnover
    Race ratings:
  • "Weak" - less than 5%
  • "Mod" - 5% to less than 10%
  • "Strong" - 10% to 15%
  • "Solid" - greater than 15%
  •  

    North Carolina Race Tracking
    President
    John McCain
    vs
    Barack Obama
    Projected Winner
    Senate
    Elizabeth Dole - inc
    vs
    Kay Hagan
    Projected Winner
    Governor (open)
    Beverly Perdue
    vs
    Pat McCrory
    Projected Winner
    House District 8
    Robin Hayes - inc
    vs
    Larry Kissell
    Projected Winner
    State-by-State

    Alabama
    Alaska
    Arizona
    Arkansas
    California
    Colorado
    Connecticut
    Delaware
    Florida
    Georgia
    Hawaii
    Idaho
    Illinois
    Indiana
    Iowa
    Kansas
    Kentucky
    Louisiana
    Maine
    Maryland
    Massachusetts
    Michigan
    Minnesota
    Mississippi
    Missouri

    Montana
    Nebraska
    Nevada
    New Hampshire
    New Jersey
    New Mexico
    New York
    North Carolina
    North Dakota
    Ohio
    Oklahoma
    Oregon
    Pennsylvania
    Rhode Island
    South Carolina
    South Dakota
    Tennessee
    Texas
    Utah
    Vermont
    Virginia
    Washington
    West Virginia
    Wisconsin
    Wyoming
    Special Thanks To:

    Charlie Cook
    Cook Political


    Congressional Quarterly
    CQ Politics


    D.C. Finegold Sachs
    DC's Political Report


    Dave Leip
    U.S. Election Atlas


    Larry Sabato
    Crystal Ball


    Tom Bevan and John McIntyre
    RealClearPolitics

    Election Projection Resources
    Add this picture to your website

    updated daily

    EP's RSS Feed

    RSS Feed  RSS
    2006 Projection Results

    2004 Projection Results

    Search this site

    provided by Google
    Contact Me

    e-mail Scott at:
    thebloggingcaesar
    @electionprojection.com
    Other Resources

    Election Projection Formulas

    Devotional Messages

    Election Projection Polls
    Tour the Fifty States

    Next Stop: North Dakota

    Previous Stop: New York
     
    ©Copyright 2008 Scott Elliott, All Rights Reserved