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| 2010 Most Likely Takeovers |
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| Race |
Incumbent |
Current
Rank |
Previous
Rank |
First of the Month Rank History |
| Jan |
Feb |
Mar |
Apr |
May |
Jun |
Jul |
Aug |
Sep |
Oct |
Nov |
| New York CD-29 |
OPEN (Massa) |
1 |
1 |
24 |
24 |
28 |
15 |
16 |
6 |
6 |
6 |
5 |
5 |
1 |
| Louisiana CD-3 |
OPEN (Melancon) |
2 |
2 |
4 |
4 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
| Tennessee CD-6 |
OPEN (Gordon) |
3 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
2 |
2 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
3 |
| Louisiana CD-2 |
Joseph Cao |
4 |
5 |
2 |
2 |
8 |
4 |
4 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
4 |
4 |
5 |
| Arkansas CD-2 |
OPEN (Snyder) |
5 |
4 |
-- |
25 |
4 |
6 |
5 |
5 |
5 |
4 |
3 |
3 |
4 |
| Delaware CD-AL |
OPEN (Castle) |
6 |
6 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
2 |
4 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
6 |
6 |
| Illinois CD-11 |
Debbie Halvorson |
7 |
7 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
7 |
| Texas CD-17 |
Chet Edwards |
8 |
9 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
9 |
| Indiana CD-8 |
OPEN (Ellsworth) |
9 |
8 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
16 |
17 |
12 |
12 |
13 |
13 |
13 |
8 |
| Kansas CD-3 |
OPEN (Moore) |
10 |
10 |
6 |
5 |
9 |
5 |
7 |
13 |
13 |
12 |
11 |
11 |
10 |
| Ohio CD-1 |
Steve Driehaus |
11 |
11 |
19 |
17 |
6 |
7 |
6 |
7 |
7 |
7 |
7 |
7 |
11 |
| Ohio CD-15 |
Mary Jo Kilroy |
12 |
12 |
12 |
12 |
14 |
13 |
9 |
9 |
9 |
9 |
8 |
8 |
12 |
| Florida CD-24 |
Suzanne Kosmas |
13 |
13 |
26 |
27 |
26 |
-- |
27 |
25 |
26 |
22 |
20 |
20 |
13 |
| Pennsylvania CD-3 |
Kathy Dahlkemper |
14 |
14 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
14 |
| Colorado CD-4 |
Betsy Markey |
15 |
16 |
20 |
18 |
23 |
23 |
25 |
17 |
15 |
14 |
12 |
12 |
16 |
| Virginia CD-5 |
Tom Perriello |
16 |
15 |
10 |
8 |
15 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
19 |
19 |
21 |
21 |
15 |
| Tennessee CD-8 |
OPEN (Tanner) |
17 |
17 |
5 |
6 |
10 |
9 |
8 |
14 |
14 |
15 |
18 |
18 |
17 |
| Pennsylvania CD-11 |
Paul Kanjorski |
18 |
21 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
21 |
| Washington CD-3 |
OPEN (Baird) |
19 |
18 |
15 |
14 |
22 |
22 |
24 |
24 |
24 |
25 |
26 |
26 |
18 |
| Maryland CD-1 |
Frank Kratovil |
20 |
29 |
11 |
11 |
12 |
11 |
12 |
10 |
10 |
10 |
9 |
9 |
29 |
| Michigan CD-1 |
OPEN (Stupak) |
21 |
19 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
20 |
21 |
21 |
21 |
23 |
23 |
19 |
| New Hampshire CD-1 |
Carol Shea-Porter |
22 |
20 |
21 |
20 |
24 |
24 |
26 |
18 |
18 |
18 |
16 |
16 |
20 |
| Arkansas CD-1 |
OPEN (Berry) |
23 |
22 |
-- |
-- |
5 |
20 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
22 |
| Illinois CD-10 |
OPEN (Kirk) |
24 |
23 |
7 |
7 |
19 |
18 |
29 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
23 |
| Florida CD-8 |
Alan Grayson |
25 |
30 |
17 |
16 |
18 |
26 |
-- |
27 |
-- |
28 |
28 |
28 |
30 |
| Florida CD-2 |
Allen Boyd |
26 |
24 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
24 |
| New Hampshire CD-2 |
OPEN (Hodes) |
27 |
25 |
23 |
22 |
16 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
17 |
15 |
15 |
25 |
| New Mexico CD-2 |
Harry Teague |
28 |
26 |
13 |
9 |
13 |
12 |
13 |
11 |
11 |
11 |
10 |
10 |
26 |
| Arizona CD-1 |
Anne Kirkpatrick |
29 |
27 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
27 |
| Virginia CD-2 |
Glenn Nye |
30 |
28 |
-- |
30 |
25 |
27 |
21 |
20 |
20 |
20 |
22 |
22 |
28 |
| Mississippi CD-1 |
Travis Childers |
-- |
-- |
18 |
19 |
7 |
8 |
10 |
15 |
16 |
16 |
14 |
14 |
-- |
| North Dakota CD-AL |
Earl Pomeroy |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
30 |
25 |
26 |
17 |
17 |
-- |
| Hawaii CD-1 |
Charles Djou |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
19 |
8 |
8 |
8 |
19 |
19 |
-- |
| Michigan CD-7 |
Mark Schauer |
-- |
-- |
27 |
28 |
20 |
19 |
22 |
22 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
24 |
-- |
| Pennsylvania CD-7 |
OPEN (Sestak) |
-- |
-- |
14 |
13 |
21 |
21 |
23 |
23 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
25 |
-- |
| Nevada CD-3 |
Dina Titus |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
28 |
28 |
26 |
27 |
27 |
27 |
27 |
-- |
| New York CD-24 |
Michael Arcuri |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
29 |
29 |
29 |
29 |
29 |
-- |
| South Dakota CD-AL |
Stephanie H-Sandlin |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
30 |
30 |
30 |
30 |
-- |
| Illinois CD-14 |
Bill Foster |
-- |
-- |
28 |
29 |
29 |
-- |
-- |
28 |
28 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
| Idaho CD-1 |
Walter Minnick |
-- |
-- |
8 |
10 |
11 |
10 |
11 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
| Pennsylvania CD-12 |
Mark Critz |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
29 |
14 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
| Alabama CD-2 |
Bobby Bright |
-- |
-- |
16 |
15 |
17 |
25 |
30 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
| Indiana CD-9 |
Baron Hill |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
30 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
| New York CD-23 |
Bill Owens |
-- |
-- |
22 |
21 |
27 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
| Pennsylvania CD-6 |
Jim Gerlach |
-- |
-- |
9 |
23 |
30 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
| Washington CD-8 |
Dave Reichert |
-- |
-- |
25 |
26 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
| California CD-3 |
Dan Lungren |
-- |
-- |
29 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
| California CD-44 |
Ken Calvert |
-- |
-- |
30 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
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