Home  Blog  Election Polls  President 2012  Senate 2012  House 2012  Governors 2012  GOP Primaries 2012  Redistricting 2012  Formulas  Results  About me


 

 
         
    "The Blogging Caesar at Election Projection is one of the web's best prognosticators" - Hugh Hewitt

2012 Projections

President
Senate
House
Governors



Election Projection cannot screen all advertisements appearing here.  Therefore, I do not necessarily endorse the products and/or services shown.



 
Alaska  
 
General Information

Election Timeline


  • June 1, 2010 - Deadline to file for candidacy
  • August 24, 2010 - Primary elections
  • November 2, 2010 - Election day
  • Latest Polls and Updates


    Conservative Ranking


    Alaska is the 6th most conservative state, voting 28.80% more Republican in the 2008 presidential elections than the national average.

    Partisan Trend


    Based on voting patterns since 1992, Alaska is trending REPUBLICAN in presidential elections.

    GOP Trend Ranking


    Alaska ranks 14th among the 50 states.
     

    Senate Race
    OPEN SEAT:  Republican incumbent Lisa Murkowski was seeking a second full term in 2010.  She was defeated in the GOP primary.

    GOP Candidates

  • Joe Miller - Former U.S. Magistrate Judge  
  • Lisa Murkowski - Incumbent
  • DEM Candidates

  • Scott McAdams  
  • Frank Vondersaar
  • Jacob Kern
  • Party nominee -

    Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.

     
    Governor's Race
    Incumbent:  GOP Governor Sean Parnell is running for a first full term in 2010.  He faced primary opposition.

    GOP Candidates

  • Sean Parnell - Incumbent  
  • Gerald Heikes
  • Merica Hlatcu
  • Sam Little
  • Ralph Samuels - Former Alaska State Representative
  • Bill Walker
  • DEM Candidates

  • Ethan Berkowitz - Former Alaska State Representative  
  • Hollis French - Alaska State Senator
  • Bob Poe
  • Party nominee -

    Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.

     
    Competitive House Races
    No competitive races in 2010
     
    Other House Races
    Projected winner listed first
  • District AL:  Don Young (R)-inc vs. Harry Crawford, Jr. (D)
  •  
    Additional Information
    Current Partisan Breakdown
     
    National Delegation
      Senators 1 GOP, 1 DEM
      Representatives 1 GOP
    State Government
      Governor GOP
      Lt. Governor GOP
      State Senate - Joint control 10 GOP, 10 DEM
      State House - GOP control 22 GOP, 18 DEM

    Current Office Holders


  • Governor:  Sean Parnell (R) - 1st term (partial), up for re-election in 2010
  • Lt. Governor:  Craig Campbell (R) - 1st term (partial), tied to Governor
  • Senior Senator:  Lisa Murkowski (R) - 2nd term, defeated in primary in 2010
  • Junior Senator:  Mark Begich (D) - 1st term, up for re-election in 2014
  • House District AL:  Don Young (R) - 19th term
  • Historical Partisan Snapshot


     
      Race 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008

    President Solid R -- Solid R -- Solid R

    Senate
    Class 2 -- Solid R -- -- Weak D
    Class 3 -- -- Weak R -- --

    Governor -- Solid R -- Mod R --

    House 1 GOP 1 GOP 1 GOP 1 GOP 1 GOP
    CD-AL Solid R Solid R Solid R Solid R Weak R

    BOLD - party turnover
     
    Race ratings:
  • "Weak" - less than 5%
  • "Mod" - 5% to less than 10%
  • "Strong" - 10% to 15%
  • "Solid" - greater than 15%
  •  

    Alaska Race Tracking
    Senate (open)
    Joe Miller
    vs
    Scott McAdams
    Projected Winner
    Governor
    Sean Parnell - inc
    vs
    Ethan Berkowitz
    Projected Winner
    Special Thanks To:

    Charlie Cook
    Cook Political


    Congressional Quarterly
    CQ Politics


    D.C. Finegold Sachs
    DC's Political Report


    Dave Leip
    U.S. Election Atlas


    David Wissing
    The Hedgehog Report


    Larry Sabato
    Crystal Ball


    Richard & Tony
    The Green Papers


    Rose Institute
    Redistricting in America


    Tom Bevan and John McIntyre
    RealClearPolitics

    2010 Projections, State-by-State

    Alabama         
    Alaska
    Arizona
    Arkansas
    California
    Colorado
    Connecticut
    Delaware
    Florida
    Georgia
    Hawaii
    Idaho
    Illinois
    Indiana
    Iowa
    Kansas
    Kentucky
    Louisiana
    Maine
    Maryland
    Massachusetts
    Michigan
    Minnesota
    Mississippi
    Missouri

    Montana
    Nebraska
    Nevada
    New Hampshire
    New Jersey
    New Mexico
    New York
    North Carolina
    North Dakota
    Ohio
    Oklahoma
    Oregon
    Pennsylvania
    Rhode Island
    South Carolina
    South Dakota
    Tennessee
    Texas
    Utah
    Vermont
    Virginia
    Washington
    West Virginia
    Wisconsin
    Wyoming
    Election Projection Resources
     
    EP's RSS Feed

    RSS Feed  RSS
    2010 Projection Results

    2008 Projection Results

    2006 Projection Results

    2004 Projection Results

    Search this site

    provided by Google
    Contact Me

    e-mail Scott at:
    electionprojection
    -at- gmail.com
     

    ©Copyright 2003-2013 Scott Elliott, All Rights Reserved