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| Alabama |
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Latest Polls and Updates
Conservative Ranking
Alabama is the 5th most conservative state, voting
28.85% more Republican in the 2008 presidential elections than the national average.
Partisan Trend
Based on voting patterns since 1992, Alabama is trending REPUBLICAN in presidential
elections.
GOP Trend Ranking
Alabama ranks 9th among the 50 states.
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Incumbent: GOP incumbent Richard Shelby seeks a fifth term in 2010. He currently faces no primary opposition.
GOP Candidates
Richard Shelby - Incumbent
DEM Candidates
None at present
Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.
Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries
Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries
Preliminary Projection - Solid GOP Hold
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OPEN SEAT: GOP Governor Bob Riley is term-limited in 2010.
GOP Candidates
Robert Bentley - Alabama State Senator
Bradley Byrne - Former Alabama State Senator
Kay Ivey - Alabama State Treasurer
Roy Moore - Former Alabama Chief Justice
Tim James
DEM Candidates
Artur Davis - U. S. Representative from Alabama
Ron Sparks - Agriculture Commissioner
Sam Thomas
Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.
Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries
Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries
Preliminary Projection - Strong GOP Hold
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District 2
Incumbent: Freshman Democratic incumbent Bobby Bright seeks a second term in 2010. He currently faces no primary opposition.
GOP Candidates
Rick Barber
Martha Roby - Montgomery Councilwoman
DEM Candidates
Bobby Bright - Incumbent
Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.
Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries
Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries
Preliminary Projection - Weak DEM Hold
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Projected winner listed first
District 1: Jo Bonner (R)-inc vs. ??? (D)
District 3: Mike Rogers (R)-inc vs. ??? (D)
District 4: Robert Aderholt (R)-inc vs. ??? (D)
District 5: Parker Griffith (R)-inc vs. ??? (D) - possibly competitive
District 6: Spencer Bachus (R)-inc vs. ??? (D)
District 7: OPEN: ??? (D) vs. ??? (R)
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Election Timeline
June 1, 2010 - Deadline to file for candidacy
August 24, 2010 - Primary elections
September, 2010 - Primary runoff
November 2, 2010 - Election day
Current Partisan Breakdown
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| National Delegation |
| Senators |
2 GOP |
| Representatives |
5 GOP, 2 DEM |
| State Government |
| Governor |
GOP |
| Lt. Governor |
DEM |
| State Senate - DEM control |
13 GOP, 21 DEM, 1 IND |
| State House - DEM control |
44 GOP, 61 DEM |
Current Office Holders
Governor: Bob Riley (R) - 2nd term, term-limited in 2010
Lt. Governor: Jim Folsom, Jr. (D) - 1st term, up for re-election in 2010
Senior Senator: Richard Shelby (R) - 4th term, up for re-election in 2010
Junior Senator: Jeff Sessions (R) - 3rd term, up for re-election in 2014
House District 1: Jo Bonner (R) - 4th term
House District 2: Bobby Bright (D) - 1st term
House District 3: Mike Rogers (R) - 4th term
House District 4: Robert Aderholt (R) - 7th term
House District 5: Parker Griffith (R) - 1st term
House District 6: Spencer Bachus (R) - 9th term
House District 7: Arthur Davis (D) - 4th term (running for governor)
Historical Partisan Snapshot
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| Race |
2000 |
2002 |
2004 |
2006 |
2008 |
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| President |
Solid R |
-- |
Solid R |
-- |
Solid R |
Senate |
| Class 2 |
-- |
Solid R |
-- |
-- |
Solid R |
| Class 3 |
-- |
-- |
Solid R |
-- |
-- |
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| Governor |
-- |
Weak R |
-- |
Solid R |
-- |
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| House |
5 GOP 2 DEM |
5 GOP 2 DEM |
5 GOP 2 DEM |
5 GOP 2 DEM |
4 GOP 3 DEM |
| CD-1 |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
| CD-2 |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid D |
| CD-3 |
Solid R |
Weak R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Mod R |
| CD-4 |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
| CD-5 |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Weak D |
| CD-6 |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
| CD-7 |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
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BOLD - party turnover |
Race ratings:
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"Weak" - less than 5%
"Mod" - 5% to less than 10%
"Strong" - 10% to 15%
"Solid" - greater than 15%
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