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Alabama  
 
General Information

Election Timeline


  • June 1, 2010 - Primary elections
  • July 13, 2010 - Primary runoff
  • November 2, 2010 - Election day
  • Latest Polls and Updates


    Conservative Ranking


    Alabama is the 5th most conservative state, voting 28.85% more Republican in the 2008 presidential elections than the national average.

    Partisan Trend


    Based on voting patterns since 1992, Alabama is trending REPUBLICAN in presidential elections.

    GOP Trend Ranking


    Alabama ranks 9th among the 50 states.
     

    Senate Race
    Incumbent:  GOP incumbent Richard Shelby seeks a fifth term in 2010.  He faced only minor primary opposition.

    GOP Candidates

  • Richard Shelby - Incumbent  
  • Clint Moser
  • DEM Candidates

  • William Barnes  
  • Simone DeMoore
  • Party nominee -

    Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.

     
    Governor's Race
    OPEN SEAT:  GOP Governor Bob Riley is term-limited in 2010.

    GOP Candidates

  • Robert Bentley - Alabama State Representative  
  • Bradley Byrne - Former Alabama State Senator
  • Bill Johnson - Former Birmingham City Councilman
  • Roy Moore - Former Alabama Chief Justice
  • Tim James
  • James Potts
  • Charles Taylor
  • DEM Candidates

  • Ron Sparks - Alabama Agriculture Commissioner  
  • Artur Davis - U. S. Representative from Alabama
  • Party nominee -

    Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.

     
    Competitive House Races

    District 2 (map)
    Incumbent:  Freshman Democratic incumbent Bobby Bright seeks a second term in 2010.  He faced no primary opposition.

    GOP Candidates

  • Martha Roby - Montgomery Councilwoman  
  • Rick Barber
  • Stephanie Wolfe Bell
  • John McKinney, III
  • DEM Candidates

  • Bobby Bright - Incumbent  
  • Party nominee -

    Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.

     
    Other House Races
    Projected winner listed first
  • District 1:  Jo Bonner (R)-inc vs. David Walter (C)
  • District 3:  Mike Rogers (R)-inc vs. Steve Segrest (D)
  • District 4:  Robert Aderholt (R)-inc  (unopposed)
  • District 5:  OPEN:  Mo Brooks (R)-inc vs. Steve Raby (D) - possibly competitive
  • District 6:  Spencer Bachus (R)-inc  (unopposed)
  • District 7:  OPEN:  Terri Sewell (D) vs. Don Chamberlain (R)
  •  
    Additional Information
    Current Partisan Breakdown
     
    National Delegation
      Senators 2 GOP
      Representatives 5 GOP, 2 DEM
    State Government
      Governor GOP
      Lt. Governor DEM
      State Senate - DEM control 13 GOP, 21 DEM, 1 IND
      State House - DEM control 44 GOP, 61 DEM

    Current Office Holders


  • Governor:  Bob Riley (R) - 2nd term, term-limited in 2010
  • Lt. Governor:  Jim Folsom, Jr. (D) - 1st term, up for re-election in 2010
  • Senior Senator:  Richard Shelby (R) - 4th term, up for re-election in 2010
  • Junior Senator:  Jeff Sessions (R) - 3rd term, up for re-election in 2014
  • House District 1:  Jo Bonner (R) - 4th term
  • House District 2:  Bobby Bright (D) - 1st term
  • House District 3:  Mike Rogers (R) - 4th term
  • House District 4:  Robert Aderholt (R) - 7th term
  • House District 5:  Parker Griffith (R) - 1st term (defeated in primary)
  • House District 6:  Spencer Bachus (R) - 9th term
  • House District 7:  Artur Davis (D) - 4th term (lost in gubernatorial primary)
  • Historical Partisan Snapshot


     
      Race 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008

    President Solid R -- Solid R -- Solid R

    Senate
    Class 2 -- Solid R -- -- Solid R
    Class 3 -- -- Solid R -- --

    Governor -- Weak R -- Solid R --

    House 5 GOP
    2 DEM
    5 GOP
    2 DEM
    5 GOP
    2 DEM
    5 GOP
    2 DEM
    4 GOP
    3 DEM
    CD-1 Solid R Solid R Solid R Solid R Solid R
    CD-2 Solid R Solid R Solid R Solid R Solid D
    CD-3 Solid R Weak R Solid R Solid R Mod R
    CD-4 Solid R Solid R Solid R Solid R Solid R
    CD-5 Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D Weak D
    CD-6 Solid R Solid R Solid R Solid R Solid R
    CD-7 Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D

    BOLD - party turnover
     
    Race ratings:
  • "Weak" - less than 5%
  • "Mod" - 5% to less than 10%
  • "Strong" - 10% to 15%
  • "Solid" - greater than 15%
  •  

    Alabama Race Tracking
    Senate
    Richard Shelby - inc
    vs
    William Barnes
    Projected Winner
    Governor (open)
    Robert Bentley
    vs
    Ron Sparks
    Projected Winner
    House District 2
    Bobby Bright - inc
    vs
    Martha Roby
    Projected Winner
    Special Thanks To:

    Charlie Cook
    Cook Political


    Congressional Quarterly
    CQ Politics


    D.C. Finegold Sachs
    DC's Political Report


    Dave Leip
    U.S. Election Atlas


    David Wissing
    The Hedgehog Report


    Larry Sabato
    Crystal Ball


    Richard & Tony
    The Green Papers


    Rose Institute
    Redistricting in America


    Tom Bevan and John McIntyre
    RealClearPolitics

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