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Latest Polls and Updates
Conservative Ranking
Arkansas is the 7th most conservative state, voting
27.13% more Republican in the 2008 presidential elections than the national average.
Partisan Trend
Based on voting patterns since 1992, Arkansas is trending REPUBLICAN in presidential
elections.
NOTE: Arkansas' GOP trend is somewhat inflated due to the presence of former Gov. Bill Clinton on the ballot in 1992 and 1996.
GOP Trend Ranking
Arkansas ranks first among the 50 states.
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Incumbent: Democratic incumbent Blanche Lincoln seeks a third term in 2010. She faces minor primary opposition.
GOP Candidates
John Boozman - U.S. Representative from Arkansas
Gilbert Baker - Arkansas State Senator
Kim Hendren - Arkansas State Senator
Curtis Coleman
Fred Ramey
Conrad Reynolds
DEM Candidates
Blanche Lincoln - Incumbent
Bob Johnson - Arkansas State Representative
Drew Pritt
Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.
Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries
Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries
Preliminary Projection - Weak GOP Gain
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Incumbent: Democratic incumbent Mike Beebe seeks re-election for the first time in 2010. He faces no primary opposition.
GOP Candidates
Allen Kerry - Arkansas State Representative
DEM Candidates
Mike Beebe - Incumbent
Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.
Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries
Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries
Preliminary Projection - Strong DEM Hold
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District 1
OPEN SEAT: Democratic incumbent Marion Berry has decided to retire after seven terms. He is not seeking re-election in 2010.
GOP Candidates
Rick Crawford
DEM Candidates
Steve Bryles - Arkansas State Senator
Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.
Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries
Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries
Preliminary Projection - Weak GOP Gain
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District 2
OPEN SEAT: Democratic incumbent Vic Snyder has also decided to retire after seven terms. He is not seeking re-election in 2010.
GOP Candidates
Tim Griffin - Former U. S. Attorney
David Meeks
Scott Wallace
DEM Candidates
Robbie Wills - Arkansas House Speaker
John Adams - Arkansas Assistant Attorney General
Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.
Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries
Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries
Preliminary Projection - Mod GOP Gain
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Projected winner listed first
District 3: OPEN: ??? (R) vs. Beau Stricklin (D)
District 4: Mike Ross (D)-inc vs. ??? (R) - possibly competitive
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Election Timeline
March 8, 2010 - Deadline to file for candidacy
May 18, 2010 - Primary elections
June 8, 2010 - Primary runoff
November 2, 2010 - Election day
Current Partisan Breakdown
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| National Delegation |
| Senators |
2 DEM |
| Representatives |
1 GOP, 3 DEM |
| State Government |
| Governor |
DEM |
| Lt. Governor |
DEM |
| State Senate - DEM control |
8 GOP, 27 DEM |
| State House - DEM control |
28 GOP, 72 DEM |
Current Office Holders
Governor: Mike Beebe (D) - 1st term, up for re-election in 2010
Lt. Governor: Bill Halter (D) - 1st term, up for re-election in 2010
Senior Senator: Blanche Lincoln (D) - 2nd term, up for re-election in 2010
Junior Senator: Mark Pryor (D) - 2nd term, up for re-election in 2014
House District 1: Marion Berry (D) - 7th term (retiring)
House District 2: Victor Snyder (D) - 7th term (retiring)
House District 3: John Boozman (R) - 5th term (running for Senate)
House District 4: Mike Ross (D) - 5th term
Historical Partisan Snapshot
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| Race |
2000 |
2002 |
2004 |
2006 |
2008 |
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| President |
Mod R |
-- |
Mod R |
-- |
Solid R |
Senate |
| Class 2 |
-- |
Mod D |
-- |
-- |
Solid D |
| Class 3 |
-- |
-- |
Strong D |
-- |
-- |
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| Governor |
-- |
Mod R |
-- |
Strong D |
-- |
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| House |
1 GOP
3 DEM |
1 GOP
3 DEM |
1 GOP
3 DEM |
1 GOP
3 DEM |
1 GOP
3 DEM |
| CD-1 |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
| CD-2 |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Weak D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
| CD-3 |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
| CD-4 |
Weak D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
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BOLD - party turnover
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Race ratings:
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"Weak" - less than 5%
"Mod" - 5% to less than 10%
"Strong" - 10% to 15%
"Solid" - greater than 15%
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