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Arkansas  
 
General Information

Election Timeline


  • March 8, 2010 - Deadline to file for candidacy
  • May 18, 2010 - Primary elections
  • June 8, 2010 - Primary runoff
  • November 2, 2010 - Election day
  • Latest Polls and Updates


    Conservative Ranking


    Arkansas is the 7th most conservative state, voting 27.13% more Republican in the 2008 presidential elections than the national average.

    Partisan Trend


    Based on voting patterns since 1992, Arkansas is trending REPUBLICAN in presidential elections.
    NOTE:  Arkansas' GOP trend is somewhat inflated due to the presence of former Gov. Bill Clinton on the ballot in 1992 and 1996.

    GOP Trend Ranking


    Arkansas ranks first among the 50 states.
     

    Senate Race
    Incumbent:  Democratic incumbent Blanche Lincoln seeks a third term in 2010.  She faced primary opposition.

    GOP Candidates

  • John Boozman - U.S. Representative from Arkansas  
  • John Alexander
  • Gilbert Baker - Arkansas State Senator
  • Kim Hendren - Arkansas State Senator
  • Curtis Coleman
  • Jim Holt - Former Arkansas State Senator
  • Fred Ramey
  • Conrad Reynolds
  • DEM Candidates

  • Blanche Lincoln - Incumbent  
  • William Halter - Arkansas Lt. Governor
  • Daniel Morrison
  • Party nominee -

    Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.

     
    Governor's Race
    Incumbent:  Democratic incumbent Mike Beebe seeks re-election for the first time in 2010.  He faced no primary opposition.

    GOP Candidates

  • Jim Keet  
  • DEM Candidates

  • Mike Beebe - Incumbent  
  • Party nominee -

    Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.

     
    Competitive House Races

    District 1 (map)
    OPEN SEAT:  Democratic incumbent Marion Berry has decided to retire after seven terms.  He is not seeking re-election in 2010.

    GOP Candidates

  • Rick Crawford  
  • Princella Smith
  • DEM Candidates

  • Chad Causey  
  • Tymothe Wooldridge - Former Arkansas State Senator
  • Steve Bryles - Arkansas State Senator
  • David Ray Cook - Arkansas State Representative
  • Terry Green
  • Ben Ponder
  • Party nominee -

    Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.

     

    District 2 (map)
    OPEN SEAT:  Democratic incumbent Vic Snyder has also decided to retire after seven terms.  He is not seeking re-election in 2010.

    GOP Candidates

  • Tim Griffin - Former U. S. Attorney  
  • Scott Wallace
  • DEM Candidates

  • Joyce Ann Elliott - Arkansas State Senator  
  • Robbie Wills, Jr. - Arkansas House Speaker (in runoff, 6/8)
  • John Adams - Arkansas Assistant Attorney General
  • David Alan Boling
  • Patrick Kennedy
  • Party nominee -

    Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.

     
    Other House Races
    Projected winner listed first
  • District 3:  OPEN: Steve Womack (R) vs. David Whitaker (D)
  • District 4:  Mike Ross (D)-inc vs. Beth Anne Rankin (R) - possibly competitive
  •  
    Additional Information
    Current Partisan Breakdown
     
    National Delegation
      Senators 2 DEM
      Representatives 1 GOP, 3 DEM
    State Government
      Governor DEM
      Lt. Governor DEM
      State Senate - DEM control 8 GOP, 27 DEM
      State House - DEM control 28 GOP, 72 DEM

    Current Office Holders


  • Governor:  Mike Beebe (D) - 1st term, up for re-election in 2010
  • Lt. Governor:  Bill Halter (D) - 1st term, up for re-election in 2010
  • Senior Senator:  Blanche Lincoln (D) - 2nd term, up for re-election in 2010
  • Junior Senator:  Mark Pryor (D) - 2nd term, up for re-election in 2014
  • House District 1:  Marion Berry (D) - 7th term (retiring)
  • House District 2:  Victor Snyder (D) - 7th term (retiring)
  • House District 3:  John Boozman (R) - 5th term (running for Senate)
  • House District 4:  Mike Ross (D) - 5th term
  • Historical Partisan Snapshot


     
      Race 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008

    President Mod R -- Mod R -- Solid R

    Senate
    Class 2 -- Mod D -- -- Solid D
    Class 3 -- -- Strong D -- --

    Governor -- Mod R -- Strong D --

    House 1 GOP
    3 DEM
    1 GOP
    3 DEM
    1 GOP
    3 DEM
    1 GOP
    3 DEM
    1 GOP
    3 DEM
    CD-1 Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D
    CD-2 Solid D Solid D Weak D Solid D Solid D
    CD-3 Solid R Solid R Solid R Solid R Solid R
    CD-4 Weak D Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D

    BOLD - party turnover
     
    Race ratings:
  • "Weak" - less than 5%
  • "Mod" - 5% to less than 10%
  • "Strong" - 10% to 15%
  • "Solid" - greater than 15%
  •  

    Arkansas Race Tracking
    Senate
    Blanche Lincoln - inc
    vs
    John Boozman
    Projected Winner
    Governor
    Mike Beebe - inc
    vs
    Jim Keet
    Projected Winner
    House District 1 (open)
    Chad Causey
    vs
    Rick Crawford
    Projected Winner
    House District 2 (open)
    Joyce Elliott
    vs
    Tim Griffin
    Projected Winner
    Special Thanks To:

    Charlie Cook
    Cook Political


    Congressional Quarterly
    CQ Politics


    D.C. Finegold Sachs
    DC's Political Report


    Dave Leip
    U.S. Election Atlas


    David Wissing
    The Hedgehog Report


    Larry Sabato
    Crystal Ball


    Richard & Tony
    The Green Papers


    Rose Institute
    Redistricting in America


    Tom Bevan and John McIntyre
    RealClearPolitics

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