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| Arizona |
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Election Timeline
June 2, 2010 - Deadline to file for candidacy
August 24, 2010 - Primary elections
November 2, 2010 - Election day
Latest Polls and Updates
Conservative Ranking
Arizona is the 18th most conservative state, voting
15.75% more Republican in the 2008 presidential elections than the national average.
Partisan Trend
Based on voting patterns since 1992, Arizona is trending REPUBLICAN in presidential
elections.
GOP Trend Ranking
Arizona ranks 19th among the 50 states.
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Incumbent: GOP incumbent John McCain seeks a fifth term in 2010. He faced primary opposition.
GOP Candidates
John McCain - Incumbent 
J.D. Hayworth - Former U.S. Representative from Arizona
Jim Deakin
DEM Candidates
Rodney Glassman - Tucson Council Member
John Dougherty, III
Catherine Rose Eden
Randy Parraz
Party nominee -
Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.
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Incumbent: GOP incumbent Jan Brewer seeks election to a first full term in 2010. She faced primary opposition.
GOP Candidates
Jan Brewer - Incumbent
Matthew Jette
Dean Martin - Arizona State Treasurer
Owen Mills
DEM Candidates
Bill Brady - Illinois State Senator
Terry Goddard - Arizona Attorney General
Party nominee -
Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.
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District 1 (map)
Incumbent: Democratic incumbent Anne Kirkpatrick is up re-election for the first time in 2010. She faced no primary opposition.
GOP Candidates
Paul Gosar
Bradley Beauchamp
Rusty Bowers
Sydney Hay
Joe Jaraczewski
Jon Jensen
Steve Mehta
Thomas Zaleski
DEM Candidates
Anne Kirkpatrick - Incumbent
Party nominee -
Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.
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District 5 (map)
Incumbent: Democratic incumbent Harry Mitchell is up for a third term in 2010. He faced no primary opposition.
GOP Candidates
David Schweikert - 2008 Nominee
Lee Gentry
Chris Salvino
Susan Bitter Smith
Mark Vincent Spinks
Jim Ward
DEM Candidates
Harry Mitchell - Incumbent
Party nominee -
Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.
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District 8 (map)
Incumbent: Democratic incumbent Gabrielle Giffords is up for a third term in 2010. She faced no primary opposition.
GOP Candidates
Jesse Kelly
Jonathan Paton - Arizona State Senator
Jay Quick
DEM Candidates
Gabrielle Giffords - Incumbent
Party nominee -
Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.
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Projected winner listed first
District 2: Trent Franks (R)-inc vs. John Thrasher (D)
District 3: OPEN: Ben Quayle (R) vs. Jon Hulburd (D) - possibly competitive
District 4: Ed Pastor (D)-inc vs. Janet Contreras (R)
District 6: Jeffrey Flake (R)-inc vs. Rebecca Schneider (D)
District 7: Raul Grijalva (D)-inc vs. Ruth McClung (R)
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Current Partisan Breakdown
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| National Delegation |
| Senators |
2 GOP |
| Representatives |
3 GOP, 5 DEM |
| State Government |
| Governor |
GOP |
| State Senate - GOP control |
18 GOP, 12 DEM |
| State House - GOP control |
35 GOP, 25 DEM |
Current Office Holders
Governor: Jan Brewer (R) - 1st term (partial), up for election in 2010
Senior Senator: John McCain (R) - 4th term, up for re-election in 2010
Junior Senator: Jon Kyl (R) - 3rd term, up for re-election in 2012
House District 1: Anne Kirkpatrick (D) - 1st term
House District 2: Trent Franks (R) - 4th term
House District 3: John Shadegg (R) - 8th term (retiring)
House District 4: Ed Pastor (D) - 10th term
House District 5: Harold Mitchell (D) - 2nd term
House District 6: Jeffrey Flake (R) - 5th term
House District 7: Raul Grijalva (D) - 3rd term
House District 8: Gabrielle Giffords (D) - 2nd term
Historical Partisan Snapshot
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| Race |
2000 |
2002 |
2004 |
2006 |
2008 |
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| President |
Mod R |
-- |
Strong R |
-- |
Mod R |
Senate |
| Class 1 |
Solid R |
-- |
-- |
Mod R |
-- |
| Class 3 |
-- |
-- |
Solid R |
-- |
-- |
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| Governor |
-- |
Weak D |
-- |
Solid D |
-- |
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| House |
4 GOP
2 DEM |
6 GOP
2 DEM |
6 GOP
2 DEM |
4 GOP
4 DEM |
3 GOP
5 DEM |
| CD-1 |
Mod R |
Weak R |
Solid R |
Mod R |
Solid D |
| CD-2 |
Solid D |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
| CD-3 |
Solid R |
Weak R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Strong R |
| CD-4 |
Solid R |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
| CD-5 |
Solid D |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Weak D |
Mod D |
| CD-6 |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
| CD-7 |
NA |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
| CD-8 |
NA |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Mod D |
Strong D |
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BOLD - party turnover
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Race ratings:
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"Weak" - less than 5%
"Mod" - 5% to less than 10%
"Strong" - 10% to 15%
"Solid" - greater than 15%
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