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2010 Projections

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Colorado  
 
General Information
Latest Polls and Updates

Conservative Ranking


Colorado is the 23rd least conservative state, voting 1.68% less Republican in the 2008 presidential elections than the national average.

Partisan Trend


Based on voting patterns since 1992, Colorado is trending DEMOCRAT in presidential elections.

GOP Trend Ranking


Colorado ranks 33rd among the 50 states.
 


Senate Race
Incumbent:  Democratic incumbent Michael Bennet seeks a first full term in 2010.  He faces primary opposition.

GOP Candidates

  • Jane Norton # - Former Colorado Lieutenant Governor
  • Tim Wiens - Former Colorado State Senator
  • Steve Barton
  • Ken Buck
  • Robert Greenheck
  • Gary Dean Kennedy
  • Vincent Martinez
  • Cleve Tidwell
  • Mark Evan Van Wyk
  • DEM Candidates

  • Michael Bennet - Incumbent
  • Andrew Romanoff - Former Colorado Speaker of the House
  • Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.

    Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries

    Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries

    Preliminary Projection - Weak GOP Gain

     
    Governor's Race
    OPEN SEAT:  Democratic incumbent Bill Ritter, Jr. will not seek re-election in 2010.

    GOP Candidates

  • Scott McInnis - Former U. S. Representative from Colorado
  • Dan Maes
  • DEM Candidates

  • John Hickenlooper - Mayor of Denver
  • Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.

    Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries

    Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries

    Preliminary Projection - Weak DEM Hold

     
    Competitive House Races

    District 3
    Incumbent:  Democratic incumbent John Salazar, Jr. is up for a fourth term in 2010.  He currently faces no primary opposition.

    GOP Candidates

  • Scott Tipton - Colorado State Representative
  • Bob McConnell
  • DEM Candidates

  • John Salazar, Jr. - Incumbent
  • Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.

    Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries

    Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries

    Preliminary Projection - Mod DEM Hold

     

    District 4
    Incumbent:  Freshman Democratic incumbent Betsy Markey seeks a second term in 2010.  She currently faces no primary opposition.

    GOP Candidates

  • Diggs Brown - Fort Collins City Councilor
  • Cory Gardner - Colorado State Representative
  • Tom Lucero - Regent for the University of Colorado
  • Dean Madere
  • DEM Candidates

  • Betsy Markey - Incumbent
  • Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.

    Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries

    Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries

    Preliminary Projection - Weak GOP Gain

     
    Other House Races
    Projected winner listed first
  • District 1:  Dianna Degette (D)-inc vs. ??? (R)
  • District 2:  Jared Polis (D) vs. ??? (R)
  • District 3:  John Salazar (D)-inc vs. ??? (R)
  • District 5:  Doug Lamborn (R)-inc vs. ??? (D)
  • District 6:  Mike Coffman (R) vs. ??? (D)
  • District 7:  Ed Perlmutter (D)-inc vs. Ryan Frazier (R) - possibly competitive
  •  
    Additional Information

    Election Timeline


  • May 27, 2010 - Deadline to file for candidacy
  • August 10, 2010 - Primary elections
  • November 2, 2010 - Election day
  • Current Partisan Breakdown


     
    National Delegation
      Senators 2 DEM
      Representatives 2 GOP, 5 DEM
    State Government
      Governor DEM
      Lt. Governor DEM
      State Senate - DEM control 15 GOP, 20 DEM
      State House - DEM control 27 GOP, 38 DEM

    Current Office Holders


  • Governor:  Bill Ritter (D) - 1st term, not seeking re-election in 2010
  • Lt. Governor:  Barbara O'Brien (D) - 1st term, tied to Governor
  • Senior Senator:  Mark Udall (D) - 1st term, up for re-election in 2014
  • Junior Senator:  Michael Bennet (D) - 1st term (partial), election in 2010
  • House District 1:  Dianna Degett (D) - 7th term
  • House District 2:  Jared Polis (D) - 1st term
  • House District 3:  John Salazar (D) - 3rd term
  • House District 4:  Betsy Markey (D) - 1st term
  • House District 5:  Doug Lamborn (R) - 2nd term
  • House District 6:  Mike Coffman (R) - 1st term
  • House District 7:  Ed Perlmutter (D) - 2nd term
  • Historical Partisan Snapshot


     
      Race 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008

    President Mod R -- Weak R -- Mod D

    Senate
    Class 2 -- Weak R -- -- Strong D
    Class 3 -- -- Weak D -- --

    Governor -- Solid R -- Strong D --

    House 3 GOP
    3 DEM
    5 GOP
    2 DEM
    4 GOP
    3 DEM
    3 GOP
    4 DEM
    2 GOP
    5 DEM
    CD-1 Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D
    CD-2 Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D
    CD-3 Solid R Solid R Weak D Solid D Solid D
    CD-4 Solid R Strong R Mod R Weak R Strong D
    CD-5 Solid D Solid R Solid R Solid R Solid R
    CD-6 Strong R Solid R Solid R Solid R Solid R
    CD-7 NA Weak R Strong R Strong D Solid D
    BOLD - party turnover
     
    Race ratings:
  • "Weak" - less than 5%
  • "Mod" - 5% to less than 10%
  • "Strong" - 10% to 15%
  • "Solid" - greater than 15%
  •  

    Colorado Race Tracking
    Senate
    Michael Bennet - inc
    vs
    undetermined
    Preliminary
    Weak GOP Gain
     
    Governor (open)
    John Hickenlooper
    vs
    undetermined
    Preliminary
    Weak DEM Hold
     
    House District 3
    John Salazar, Jr. - inc
    vs
    undetermined
    Preliminary
    Mod DEM Hold
     
    House District 4
    Betsy Markey - inc
    vs
    undetermined
    Preliminary
    Weak GOP Gain
     
    Special Thanks To:

    Charlie Cook
    Cook Political


    Congressional Quarterly
    CQ Politics


    D.C. Finegold Sachs
    DC's Political Report


    Dave Leip
    U.S. Election Atlas


    Larry Sabato
    Crystal Ball


    Tom Bevan and John McIntyre
    RealClearPolitics

    EP's Weekly Poll

    Previous Polls
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