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Latest Polls and Updates
Conservative Ranking
Connecticut is the 10th least conservative state, voting
15.10% less Republican in the 2008 presidential elections than the national average.
Partisan Trend
Based on voting patterns since 1992, Connecticut is trending DEMOCRAT in presidential
elections.
GOP Trend Ranking
Connecticut ranks 47th among the 50 states.
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Incumbent: Democratic incumbent Christopher Dodd will retire at the end of this his fifth term in 2010.
GOP Candidates
Rob Simmons # - Former U.S. Representative from Connnecticut
Sam Caligiuri - Connecticut State Senator
Tom Foley
Steven Simmons
Peter Schiff
Linda McMahon
Vincent Forras
DEM Candidates
Richard Blumenthal - Connecticut Attoney General
Merrick Alpert
Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.
Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries
Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries
Preliminary Projection - Strong DEM Hold
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OPEN SEAT: GOP Governor Jodi Rell is retiring at the end of her current term.
GOP Candidates
Larry Cafero, Jr. - Connecticut State Representative
Michael Fedele - Lt. Governor of Connecticut
DEM Candidates
Susan Bysiewicz - Connecticut Secretary of State
Ned Lamont - 2008 Senate Nominee
Rudy Marconi - Ridgefield Selectman
Gary LeBeau - Connecticut State Senator
Deannel Malloy - Mayor of Stamford
Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.
Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries
Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries
Preliminary Projection - Weak DEM Gain
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District 5
Incumbent: Democratic incumbent Christopher Murphy seeks a third term in 2010. He currently faces no primary opposition.
GOP Candidates
Justin Bernier
Sam Caligiuri
Dan Carter
Bill Evans
Mark Greenberg
Kie Westby
DEM Candidates
Christopher Murphy - Incumbent
Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.
Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries
Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries
Preliminary Projection - Mod DEM Hold
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Projected winner listed first
District 1: John Larson (D)-inc vs. ??? (R)
District 2: Joe Courtney (D)-inc vs. ??? (R)
District 3: Rosa DeLauro (D)-inc vs. ??? (R)
District 4: Jim Himes (D)-inc vs. ??? (R) - possibly competitive
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Election Timeline
June 5, 2010 - Deadline to file for candidacy
August 10, 2010 - Primary elections
November 2, 2010 - Election day
Current Partisan Breakdown
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| National Delegation |
| Senators |
2 DEM |
| Representatives |
5 DEM |
| State Government |
| Governor |
GOP |
| Lt. Governor |
GOP |
| State Senate - DEM control |
12 GOP, 24 DEM |
| State House - DEM control |
37 GOP, 114 DEM |
Current Office Holders
Governor: Jodi Rell (R) - 2nd term, up for re-election in 2010 (retiring)
Lt. Governor: Michael Fedele (R) - 2nd term, tied to Gov. (running for Governor)
Senior Senator: Chris Dodd (D) - 5th term, up for re-election in 2010 (may retire)
Junior Senator: Joseph Lieberman (I) - 4th term, up for re-election in 2012
House District 1: John Larson (D) - 6th term
House District 2: Joe Courtney (D) - 2nd term
House District 3: Rosa DeLauro (D) - 10th term (might retire)
House District 4: Jim Himes (D) - 1st term
House District 5: Christopher Murphy (D) - 2nd term
Historical Partisan Snapshot
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| Race |
2000 |
2002 |
2004 |
2006 |
2008 |
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| President |
Solid D |
-- |
Strong D |
-- |
Solid D |
Senate |
| Class 1 |
Solid D |
-- |
-- |
Strong I |
-- |
| Class 3 |
-- |
-- |
Solid D |
-- |
-- |
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| Governor |
-- |
Strong R |
-- |
Solid R |
-- |
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| House |
3 GOP
3 DEM |
3 GOP
2 DEM |
3 GOP
2 DEM |
1 GOP
4 DEM |
5 DEM |
| CD-1 |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
| CD-2 |
Weak R |
Mod R |
Mod R |
Weak D |
Solid D |
| CD-3 |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
| CD-4 |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Weak R |
Weak R |
Weak D |
| CD-5 |
Mod D |
Strong R |
Solid R |
Strong D |
Solid D |
| CD-6 |
Solid R |
NA |
NA |
NA |
NA |
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BOLD - party turnover
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Race ratings:
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"Weak" - less than 5%
"Mod" - 5% to less than 10%
"Strong" - 10% to 15%
"Solid" - greater than 15%
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