|
| |
|---|
| Florida |
 |
|
|
| |
|---|
|
Latest Polls and Updates
Conservative Ranking
Florida is the 25th most conservative state, voting
for Obama in 2008 but 2.81% more Republican than the national average.
Partisan Trend
Based on voting patterns since 1992, Florida is trending DEMOCRAT in presidential
elections.
GOP Trend Ranking
Florida ranks 28th among the 50 states.
|
|
| |
|
|
|
OPEN SEAT: Former GOP Senator Mel Martinez resigned during his first term. His sucessor, Republican George LeMieux, is
not seeking election in 2010.
GOP Candidates
Charlie Crist - Governor of Florida
Marco Rubio - Former U.S. Representative from Florida
Bob Coggins
Bernie DeCastro
Linda Vasquez Littlefield
Gwyn McClellan
Belinda Noah
Shawn Teeters
Marion Thorpe, Jr. - 2008 Congressional Nominee
Bob Smith - Former U.S. Senator from New Hampshire
Howard Knepper
DEM Candidates
Kendrick Meek - U.S. Representative from Florida
Kevin Burns - Mayor of North Miami
Maurice Ferre - Former Mayor of Miami
Tyrone Brown, Sr.
Chuck Lynch
Lawrence Penpek
Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.
Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries
Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries
Preliminary Projection - Weak GOP Hold
|
| |
|
|
|
OPEN SEAT: GOP Governor Charlie Crist will not run for a second term in 2010. He is running for Senate.
GOP Candidates
Bill McCollum - Florida Attorney General
Paula Dockery - Florida State Senator
Ted Devine
Ed Heeney
Berthram Samuel
DEM Candidates
Alex Sink
Joseph Allen
Michael Arth
Phillip Kennedy
Josue Larose
Farid Khavari
Tony Knox, Sr.
Marc Shepard
David Van Williams
Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.
Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries
Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries
Preliminary Projection - Weak GOP Hold
|
| |
|
District 8
Incumbent: Freshman Democratic incumbent Alan Grayson seeks a second term in 2010. He currently faces no primary opposition.
GOP Candidates
William Collins, IV
Dan Fanelli
Guy Kerr
Todd Long - 2008 Candidate
Ken Miller
Patricia Sullivan
Barry Watson
Prince Brown
DEM Candidates
Alan Grayson - Incumbent
Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.
Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries
Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries
Preliminary Projection - Weak DEM Hold
|
| |
District 12
OPEN SEAT: Republican incumbent Adam Putnam is running for Agriculture Commissioner in 2010. He is not seeking a sixth term.
GOP Candidates
Dennis Ross - Former Florida State Representative
Bradley Kallhoff
John Lindsey, Jr.
DEM Candidates
Lori Edwards - Former Florida State Representative
Doug Tudor
Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.
Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries
Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries
Preliminary Projection - Mod GOP Hold
|
| |
District 24
Incumbent: Freshman Democratic incumbent Susan Kosmas seeks a second term in 2010. She currently faces no primary opposition.
GOP Candidates
Sandy Adams - Florida State Representative
Sean Campbell
Jason Davis
Karen Diebel - Winter Park City Commissioner
Tom Garcia
Jim Heinzelman
Deon Long
Craig Miller
Edward Dedelo
DEM Candidates
Susan Kosmas - Incumbent
Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.
Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries
Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries
Preliminary Projection - Weak DEM Hold
|
| |
|
|
Projected winner listed first
District 1: Jeff Miller (R)-inc vs. James J. Bryan (D)
District 2: Allen Boyd? (D)-inc vs. ??? (R) - possibly competitive
District 3: Corrine Brown (D)-inc vs. ??? (R)
District 4: Ander Crenshaw (R)-inc vs. ??? (D)
District 5: Virginia Brown-Waite? (R)-inc vs. ??? (D)
District 6: Cliff Stearns (R)-inc vs. ??? (D)
District 7: John Mica (R)-inc vs. ??? (D)
District 9: Gus Bilirakis? (R) vs. ??? (D)
District 10: Bill Young? (R)-inc vs. Charlie Justice (D) - possibly competitive
District 11: Kathy Castor (D) vs. ??? (R)
District 13: Vern Buchanan (R)-inc vs. ??? (D) - possibly competitive
District 14: Connie Mack, IV (R)-inc vs. Robert Neeld (D)
District 15: William Posey (R)-inc vs. ??? (D)
District 16: Tom Rooney (R)-inc vs. ??? (D) - possibly competitive
District 17: OPEN: ??? (D) vs. ??? (R)
District 18: Ileana Ros-Lehtinen (R)-inc vs. ??? (D)
District 19: OPEN: ??? (D) vs. ??? (R) -
Special election will be held on April 6, 2010 to fill this seat vacated by
Robert Wexler's resignation on Oct. 26, 2009, effective Jan 3, 2010.
District 20: Debbie Schultz (D)-inc vs. ??? (R)
District 21: OPEN: ??? (R) vs. ??? (D)
District 22: Ron Klein? (D)-inc vs. ??? (R) - possibly competitive
District 23: Alcee Hastings (D)-inc vs. Bernard Sansaricq (R)
District 25: OPEN: ??? (R) vs. Luis Rivera (D) - possibly competitive
|
| |
|
|
Election Timeline
June, 2010 - Deadline to file for candidacy
August, 2010 - Primary elections
November 2, 2010 - Election day
Current Partisan Breakdown
|
| |
| National Delegation |
| Senators |
1 GOP, 1 DEM |
| Representatives |
15 GOP, 9 DEM, 1 vacant |
| State Government |
| Governor |
GOP |
| Lt. Governor |
GOP |
| State Senate - GOP control |
26 GOP, 14 DEM |
| State House - GOP control |
76 GOP, 44 DEM |
Current Office Holders
Governor: Charlie Crist (R) - 1st term, not running in 2010 (running for Senate)
Lt. Governor: Jeff Kottkamp (R) - 1st term, tied to Governor (running for AG)
Senior Senator: Bill Nelson (D) - 2nd term, up for re-election in 2012
Junior Senator: George LeMieux (R) - 1st term (partial), not running in 2010
House District 1: Jeff Miller (R) - 5th term
House District 2: Allen Boyd (D) - 7th term
House District 3: Corrine Brown (D) - 9th term
House District 4: Ander Crenshaw (R) - 5th term
House District 5: Virginia Brown-Waite (R) - 4th term
House District 6: Cliff Stearns (R) - 11th term (might retire)
House District 7: John Mica (R) - 9th term
House District 8: Alan Grayson (D) - 1st term
House District 9: Gus Bilirakis (R) - 2nd term
House District 10: Bill Young (R) - 20th term
House District 11: Kathy Castor (D) - 2nd term
House District 12: Adam Putnam (R) - 5th term (retiring to run for Ag. Comm.)
House District 13: Vern Buchanan (R) - 2nd term
House District 14: Connie Mack, IV (R) - 3rd term
House District 15: William Posey (R) - 1st term
House District 16: Tom Rooney (R) - 1st term
House District 17: Kendrick Meek (D) - 4th term (running for Senate)
House District 18: Ileana Ros-Lehtinen (R) - 11th term (might retire)
House District 19: vacant
Robert Wexler (D) resigned effective January 3, 2010 during his 7th term.
House District 20: Debbie Schultz (D) - 3rd term
House District 21: Lincoln Diaz-Balart (R) - 9th term (retiring)
House District 22: Ron Klein (D) - 2nd term
House District 23: Alcee Hastings (D) - 9th term
House District 24: Susan Kosmas (D) - 1st term
House District 25: Mario Diaz-Balart (R) - 4th term (running for House District 21)
Historical Partisan Snapshot
|
| |
| Race |
2000 |
2002 |
2004 |
2006 |
2008 |
|
| President |
Weak R |
-- |
Mod R |
-- |
Weak D |
Senate |
| Class 1 |
Mod D |
-- |
-- |
Solid D |
-- |
| Class 3 |
-- |
-- |
Weak R |
-- |
-- |
|
| Governor |
-- |
Mod R |
-- |
Mod R |
-- |
|
| House |
15 GOP
8 DEM |
18 GOP
7 DEM |
18 GOP
7 DEM |
16 GOP
9 DEM |
15 GOP
10 DEM |
| CD-1 |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
| CD-2 |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
| CD-3 |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
| CD-4 |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
| CD-5 |
Solid D |
Weak R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
| CD-6 |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
| CD-7 |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
| CD-8 |
Weak R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Mod R |
Weak D |
| CD-9 |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Strong R |
Solid R |
| CD-10 |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
| CD-11 |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
| CD-12 |
Strong R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Strong R |
| CD-13 |
Solid R |
Strong R |
Strong R |
Weak R |
Solid R |
| CD-14 |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
| CD-15 |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Strong R |
Strong R |
| CD-16 |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Weak D |
Solid R |
| CD-17 |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
| CD-18 |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
| CD-19 |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
| CD-20 |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
| CD-21 |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
| CD-22 |
Weak R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Weak D |
Strong D |
| CD-23 |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
| CD-24 |
NA |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid D |
| CD-25 |
NA |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Mod R |
|
BOLD - party turnover
|
Race ratings:
|
"Weak" - less than 5%
"Mod" - 5% to less than 10%
"Strong" - 10% to 15%
"Solid" - greater than 15%
|
|
|
|
| |
|
|
| Florida Race Tracking |
|---|
| Senate (open) |
| undetermined |
| vs |
| undetermined |
| Preliminary |
Weak GOP Hold
|
| Governor (open) |
| undetermined |
| vs |
| undetermined |
| Preliminary |
Weak GOP Hold
|
| House District 8 |
| Alan Grayson - inc |
| vs |
| undetermined |
| Preliminary |
Weak DEM Hold
|
| House District 12 (open) |
| undetermined |
| vs |
| undetermined |
| Preliminary |
Mod GOP Hold
|
| House District 24 |
| Susan Kosmas - inc |
| vs |
| undetermined |
| Preliminary |
Weak DEM Hold
|
|
|
