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2010 Projections

Senate
House
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Georgia  
 
General Information
Latest Polls and Updates

Conservative Ranking


Georgia is the 20th most conservative state, voting 12.47% more Republican in the 2008 presidential elections than the national average.

Partisan Trend


Based on voting patterns since 1992, Georgia is trending REPUBLICAN in presidential elections.

GOP Trend Ranking


Georgia ranks 17th among the 50 states.
 


Senate Race
Incumbent:  GOP incumbent Johnny Isakson is up for re-election for the first time in 2010.  He faces no primary opposition.

GOP Candidates

  • Johnny Isakson - Incumbent
  • DEM Candidates

  • RJ Hadley
  • Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.

    Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries

    Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries

    Preliminary Projection - Strong GOP Hold

     
    Governor's Race
    OPEN SEAT:  GOP Governor Sonny Perdue is term-limited in 2010.

    GOP Candidates

  • Jeff Chapman - Georgia State Senator
  • Eric Johnson - Former Georgia State Senator
  • Nathan Deal - U.S. Representative from Georgia
  • Karen Handel # - Georgia Secretary of State
  • Ray McBerry - 2006 Candidate
  • John Oxendine - Georgia Insurance Commissioner
  • Austine Scott - Georgia State Representative
  • DEM Candidates

  • Thurbert Baker - Georgia State Attorney General
  • Roy Barnes - Former Georgia Governor
  • Dubose Porter - Georgia State Representative
  • David Poythress - Former Georgia Adjunct General
  • Carl Camon
  • Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.

    Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries

    Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries

    Preliminary Projection - Weak GOP Hold

     
    Competitive House Races

    District 8
    Incumbent:  Democratic incumbent Jim Marshall is up for a fifth term in 2010.  He faces no primary opposition.

    GOP Candidates

  • Ken DeLoach
  • Angela Hicks
  • Valerie Meyers
  • Paul Rish
  • Bill Mauldin
  • DEM Candidates

  • Jim Marshall - Incumbent
  • Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.

    Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries

    Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries

    Preliminary Projection - Mod DEM Hold

     
    Other House Races
    Projected winner listed first
  • District 1:  Jack Kingston (R)-inc vs. ??? (D)
  • District 2:  Sanford Bishop (D)-inc vs. ??? (R)
  • District 3:  Lynn Westmoreland (R)-inc vs. ??? (D)
  • District 4:  Hank Johnson (D)-inc vs. Larry Gause (R)
  • District 5:  John Lewis (D)-inc vs. ??? (R)
  • District 6:  Thomas Price (R)-inc vs. ??? (D)
  • District 7:  John Linder (R)-inc vs. ??? (D)
  • District 9:  OPEN:  ??? (R) vs. ??? (D)
  • District 10:  Paul Broun, Jr.? (R)-inc vs. Sandy Untermyer (D)
  • District 11:  Phil Gingrey (R)-inc vs. ??? (D)
  • District 12:  John Barrow? (D) vs. Jeanne Seaver? (R) - possibly competitive
  • District 13:  David Scott (D) vs. ??? (R)
  •  
    Additional Information

    Election Timeline


  • May, 2010 - Deadline to file for candidacy
  • July, 2010 - Primary elections
  • August, 2010 - Primary runoff
  • November 2, 2010 - Election day
  • Current Partisan Breakdown


     
    National Delegation
      Senators 2 GOP
      Representatives 7 GOP, 6 DEM
    State Government
      Governor GOP
      Lt. Governor GOP
      State Senate - GOP control 34 GOP, 22 DEM
      State House - GOP control 105 GOP, 74 DEM, 1 IND

    Current Office Holders


  • Governor:  Sonny Perdue (R) - 2nd term, term-limited in 2010
  • Lt. Governor:  Casey Cagle (R) - 1st term, up for re-election in 2010
  • Senior Senator:  Saxby Chambliss (R) - 2nd term, up for re-election in 2014
  • Junior Senator:  Johnny Isakson (R) - 1st term, up for re-election in 2010
  • House District 1:  Jack Kingston (R) - 9th term
  • House District 2:  Sanford Bishop (D) - 9th term
  • House District 3:  Lynn Westmoreland (R) - 3rd term
  • House District 4:  Hank Johnson (D) - 2nd term
  • House District 5:  John Lewis (D) - 12th term
  • House District 6:  Thomas Price (R) - 3rd term
  • House District 7:  John Linder (R) - 9th term
  • House District 8:  Jim Marshall (D) - 4th term
  • House District 9:  Nathan Deal (R) - 8th term (running for Governor)
  • House District 10:  Paul Broun, Jr. (R) - 2nd term
  • House District 11:  Phil Gingrey (R) - 4th term
  • House District 12:  John Barrow (D) - 3rd term
  • House District 13:  David Scott (D) - 4th term
  • Historical Partisan Snapshot


     
      Race 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008

    President Strong R -- Solid R -- Weak R

    Senate
    Class 2 -- Mod R -- -- Weak R
    Class 3 Solid D -- Solid R -- --

    Governor -- Mod R -- Solid R --

    House 8 GOP
    3 DEM
    8 GOP
    5 DEM
    7 GOP
    6 DEM
    7 GOP
    6 DEM
    7 GOP
    6 DEM
    CD-1 Solid R Solid R Solid R Solid R Solid R
    CD-2 Mod D Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D
    CD-3 Solid R Weak D Solid D Solid R Solid R
    CD-4 Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D
    CD-5 Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D
    CD-6 Solid R Solid R Solid R Solid R Solid R
    CD-7 Mod R Solid R Solid R Solid R Solid R
    CD-8 Solid R Solid R Solid R Weak D Strong D
    CD-9 Solid R Solid R Solid R Solid R Solid R
    CD-10 Solid R Solid R Solid R Solid R Solid R
    CD-11 Solid R Weak R Mod R Solid R Solid R
    CD-12 NA Strong R Weak D Weak D Solid D
    CD-13 NA Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D

    BOLD - party turnover
     
    Race ratings:
  • "Weak" - less than 5%
  • "Mod" - 5% to less than 10%
  • "Strong" - 10% to 15%
  • "Solid" - greater than 15%
  •  

    Georgia Race Tracking
    Senate
    Johnny Isakson - inc
    vs
    undetermined
    Preliminary
    Strong GOP Hold
     
    Governor
    undetermined
    vs
    undetermined
    Preliminary
    Weak GOP Hold
     
    House District 8
    Jim Marshall - inc
    vs
    undetermined
    Preliminary
    Mod DEM Hold
     
    Special Thanks To:

    Charlie Cook
    Cook Political


    Congressional Quarterly
    CQ Politics


    D.C. Finegold Sachs
    DC's Political Report


    Dave Leip
    U.S. Election Atlas


    Larry Sabato
    Crystal Ball


    Tom Bevan and John McIntyre
    RealClearPolitics

    EP's Weekly Poll

    Previous Polls
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