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Hawaii  
 
General Information

Election Timeline


  • July 20, 2010 - Deadline to file for candidacy
  • September 18, 2010 - Primary elections
  • November 2, 2010 - Election day
  • Latest Polls and Updates


    Conservative Ranking


    Hawaii is the least conservative state, voting a whopping 38.00% less Republican in the 2008 presidential elections than the national average.

    Partisan Trend


    Based on voting patterns since 1992, Hawaii is trending DEMOCRAT in presidential elections.

    GOP Trend Ranking


    Hawaii ranks last among the 50 states.
     

    Senate Race
    Incumbent:  Democratic incumbent Daniel Inouye is up for a ninth term in 2010.  He faced only minor primary opposition.

    GOP Candidates

  • Cam Cavasso  
  • Eddie Pirkowski
  • John Roco
  • DEM Candidates

  • Daniel Inouye - Incumbent  
  • Andrew Woerner
  • Party nominee -

    Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.

     
    Governor's Race
    OPEN SEAT:  GOP incumbent Linda Lingle is barred from a third term in 2010.

    GOP Candidates

  • James "Duke" Aiona, Jr. - Hawaii Lt. Governor  
  • John Carroll - Former Hawaii State Senator
  • DEM Candidates

  • Neil Abercrombie - U.S. Representative from Hawaii  
  • Mufi Hannemannn - Mayor of Honolulu
  • Arturo Reyes
  • Miles Shiratori
  • Van Tanabe
  • Party nominee -

    Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.

     
    Competitive House Races

    District 1 (map)
    Incumbent:  Interim Republican Congressman Charles Djou won a special election on May 22, 2010.  He is seeking a first full term in November.

    GOP Candidates

  • Charles Djou - Incumbent  
  • Charles Amsterdam
  • John "Raghu" Giuffre
  • DEM Candidates

  • Colleen Hanabusa - Hawaii State Senator  
  • Rafael del Castillo
  • Party nominee -

    Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.

     
    Other House Races
  • District 2:  Mazie Hirono (D)-inc vs. John Willoughby (R)
  •  
    Additional Information
    Current Partisan Breakdown
     
    National Delegation
      Senators 2 DEM
      Representatives 1 DEM, 1 vacant
    State Government
      Governor GOP
      Lt. Governor GOP
      State Senate - DEM control 2 GOP, 23 DEM
      State House - DEM control 6 GOP, 45 DEM

    Current Office Holders


  • Governor:  Linda Lingle (R) - 2nd term, term-limited in 2010
  • Lt. Governor:  James "Duke" Aiona (R) - 2nd term, tied to Governor
  • Senior Senator:  Daniel Inouye (D) - 8th term, up for re-election in 2010
  • Junior Senator:  Daniel Akaka (D) - 4th term, up for re-election in 2012
  • House District 1:  Charles Djou (R) - 1st term (partial)
  • House District 2:  Mazie Hirono (D) - 2nd term
  • Historical Partisan Snapshot


     
      Race 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008

    President Solid D -- Mod D -- Solid D

    Senate
    Class 1 Solid D -- -- Solid D --
    Class 3 -- -- Solid D -- --

    Governor -- Mod R -- Solid R --

    House 2 DEM 2 DEM 2 DEM 2 DEM 2 DEM
    CD-1 Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D
    CD-2 Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D

    BOLD - party turnover
     
    Race ratings:
  • "Weak" - less than 5%
  • "Mod" - 5% to less than 10%
  • "Strong" - 10% to 15%
  • "Solid" - greater than 15%
  •  

    Hawaii Race Tracking
    Senate
    Daniel Inouye - inc
    vs
    Cam Cavasso
    Projected Winner
    Governor (open)
    Duke Aiona
    vs
    Neil Abercrombie
    Projected Winner
    House District 1
    Charles Djou - interim
    vs
    Colleen Hanabusa
    Projected Winner
    Special Thanks To:

    Charlie Cook
    Cook Political


    Congressional Quarterly
    CQ Politics


    D.C. Finegold Sachs
    DC's Political Report


    Dave Leip
    U.S. Election Atlas


    David Wissing
    The Hedgehog Report


    Larry Sabato
    Crystal Ball


    Richard & Tony
    The Green Papers


    Rose Institute
    Redistricting in America


    Tom Bevan and John McIntyre
    RealClearPolitics

    2010 Projections, State-by-State

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