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Election Timeline
July 20, 2010 - Deadline to file for candidacy
September 18, 2010 - Primary elections
November 2, 2010 - Election day
Latest Polls and Updates
Conservative Ranking
Hawaii is the least conservative state, voting a whopping
38.00% less Republican in the 2008 presidential elections than the national average.
Partisan Trend
Based on voting patterns since 1992, Hawaii is trending DEMOCRAT in presidential
elections.
GOP Trend Ranking
Hawaii ranks last among the 50 states.
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Incumbent: Democratic incumbent Daniel Inouye is up for a ninth term in 2010. He currently faces no primary opposition.
GOP Candidates
Eddie Pirkowski
John Roco
DEM Candidates
Daniel Inouye - Incumbent
Andrew Woerner
Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.
Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries
Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries
Preliminary Projection - Strong DEM Hold
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OPEN SEAT: GOP incumbent Linda Lingle is barred from a third term in 2010.
GOP Candidates
James "Duke" Aiona, Jr. - Hawaii Lt. Governor
John Carroll - Fromer Hawaii State Senator
Lancelot Lincoln
Christopher Steele
DEM Candidates
Neil Abercrombie - U.S. Representative from Hawaii
Mufi Hannemann - Mayor of Honolulu
Arturo Reyes
Miles Shiratori
Van Tanabe
Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.
Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries
Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries
Preliminary Projection - Mod DEM Gain
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District 1 (map)
Incumbent: Interim Republican Congressman Charles Djou won a special election on May 22, 2010. He is seeking a first full term in November.
GOP Candidates
Charles Djou - Incumbent
Charles Amsterdam
John "Raghu" Giuffre
DEM Candidates
Colleen Hanabusa - Hawaii State Senator
Phil Lee
Rafael del Castillo
Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.
Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries
Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries
Preliminary Projection - Weak GOP Hold
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District 2: Mazie Hirono (D)-inc vs. ??? (R)
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Current Partisan Breakdown
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| National Delegation |
| Senators |
2 DEM |
| Representatives |
1 DEM, 1 vacant |
| State Government |
| Governor |
GOP |
| Lt. Governor |
GOP |
| State Senate - DEM control |
2 GOP, 23 DEM |
| State House - DEM control |
6 GOP, 45 DEM |
Current Office Holders
Governor: Linda Lingle (R) - 2nd term, term-limited in 2010
Lt. Governor: James "Duke" Aiona (R) - 2nd term, tied to Governor
Senior Senator: Daniel Inouye (D) - 8th term, up for re-election in 2010
Junior Senator: Daniel Akaka (D) - 4th term, up for re-election in 2012
House District 1: Charles Djou (R) - 1st term (partial)
House District 2: Mazie Hirono (D) - 2nd term
Historical Partisan Snapshot
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| Race |
2000 |
2002 |
2004 |
2006 |
2008 |
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| President |
Solid D |
-- |
Mod D |
-- |
Solid D |
Senate |
| Class 1 |
Solid D |
-- |
-- |
Solid D |
-- |
| Class 3 |
-- |
-- |
Solid D |
-- |
-- |
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| Governor |
-- |
Mod R |
-- |
Solid R |
-- |
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| House |
2 DEM |
2 DEM |
2 DEM |
2 DEM |
2 DEM |
| CD-1 |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
| CD-2 |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
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BOLD - party turnover
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Race ratings:
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"Weak" - less than 5%
"Mod" - 5% to less than 10%
"Strong" - 10% to 15%
"Solid" - greater than 15%
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