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Latest Polls and Updates
Conservative Ranking
Hawaii is the least conservative state, voting a whopping
38.00% less Republican in the 2008 presidential elections than the national average.
Partisan Trend
Based on voting patterns since 1992, Hawaii is trending DEMOCRAT in presidential
elections.
GOP Trend Ranking
Hawaii ranks last among the 50 states.
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Incumbent: Democratic incumbent Daniel Inouye is up for a ninth term in 2010. He currently faces no primary opposition.
GOP Candidates
None at present
DEM Candidates
Daniel Inouye - Incumbent
Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.
Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries
Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries
Preliminary Projection - Strong DEM Hold
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OPEN SEAT: GOP incumbent Linda Lingle is barred from a third term in 2010.
GOP Candidates
James "Duke" Aiona, Jr. - Hawaii Lt. Governor
John Carroll - Fromer Hawaii State Senator
DEM Candidates
Neil Abercrombie - U.S. Representative from Hawaii
Mufi Hannemann - Mayor of Honolulu
Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.
Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries
Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries
Preliminary Projection - Mod DEM Gain
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District 1
SPECIAL ELECTION: Democratic incumbent Neil Abercrombie resigned on December 13, 2009. A special election will be
held either in May, 2010 or on primary election day in September 18, 2010.
GOP Candidates
Charles Djou - Honolulu City Council Member
DEM Candidates
Edward Case - Former U.S. Represetative From Hawaii
Colleen Hanabusa - Hawaii State Senator
Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.
Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries
Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries
Preliminary Projection - Weak DEM Hold
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District 2: Mazie Hirono (D)-inc vs. ??? (R)
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Election Timeline
July 20, 2010 - Deadline to file for candidacy
September 18, 2010 - Primary elections
November 2, 2010 - Election day
Current Partisan Breakdown
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| National Delegation |
| Senators |
2 DEM |
| Representatives |
1 DEM, 1 vacant |
| State Government |
| Governor |
GOP |
| Lt. Governor |
GOP |
| State Senate - DEM control |
2 GOP, 23 DEM |
| State House - DEM control |
6 GOP, 45 DEM |
Current Office Holders
Governor: Linda Lingle (R) - 2nd term, term-limited in 2010
Lt. Governor: James "Duke" Aiona (R) - 2nd term, tied to Governor
Senior Senator: Daniel Inouye (D) - 8th term, up for re-election in 2010
Junior Senator: Daniel Akaka (D) - 4th term, up for re-election in 2012
House District 1: vacant
Neil Abercrombie (D), 11th term, resigned December 13, 2009 to run for Governor
House District 2: Mazie Hirono (D) - 2nd term
Historical Partisan Snapshot
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| Race |
2000 |
2002 |
2004 |
2006 |
2008 |
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| President |
Solid D |
-- |
Mod D |
-- |
Solid D |
Senate |
| Class 1 |
Solid D |
-- |
-- |
Solid D |
-- |
| Class 3 |
-- |
-- |
Solid D |
-- |
-- |
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| Governor |
-- |
Mod R |
-- |
Solid R |
-- |
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| House |
2 DEM |
2 DEM |
2 DEM |
2 DEM |
2 DEM |
| CD-1 |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
| CD-2 |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
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BOLD - party turnover
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Race ratings:
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"Weak" - less than 5%
"Mod" - 5% to less than 10%
"Strong" - 10% to 15%
"Solid" - greater than 15%
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