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Idaho  
 
General Information

Election Timeline


  • March 19, 2010 - Deadline to file for candidacy
  • May 25, 2010 - Primary elections
  • November 2, 2010 - Election day
  • Latest Polls and Updates


    Conservative Ranking


    Idaho is the 4th most conservative state, voting 32.57% more Republican in the 2008 presidential elections than the national average.

    Partisan Trend


    Based on voting patterns since 1992, Idaho is trending REPUBLICAN in presidential elections.

    GOP Trend Ranking


    Idaho ranks 10th among the 50 states.
     

    Senate Race
    Incumbent:  Republican incumbent Mike Crapo seeks a third term in 2010.  He faced only minor primary opposition.

    GOP Candidates

  • Mike Crapo - Incumbent  
  • Skip Davis, III
  • DEM Candidates

  • Tom Sullivan  
  • William Bryk - 2004 Federalist Party Presidential Candidate
  • Party nominee -

    Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.

     
    Governor's Race
    Incumbent:  Republican incumbent Butch Otter seeks re-election for the first time in 2010.  He faced only minor primary opposition.

    GOP Candidates

  • Butch Otter - Incumbent  
  • Ron Peterson
  • Walt Bayes
  • Rex Rammell
  • Sharon Ullman - Ada County Commissioner
  • Tamara Wells
  • DEM Candidates

  • Keith Allred  
  • Lee Chaney, Sr.
  • Party nominee -

    Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.

     
    Competitive House Races

    District 1 (map)
    Incumbent:  Freshman Democratic incumbent Walt Minnick seeks a second term in 2010.  He faced no primary opposition.

    GOP Candidates

  • Raul Labrador - Idaho State Representative  
  • Michael Chadwick
  • Harley Delano Brown
  • Allan Salzberg
  • Vaughn Ward
  • DEM Candidates

  • Walt Minnick - Incumbent  
  • Party nominee -

    Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.

     
    Other House Races
    Projected winner listed first
  • District 2:  Mike Simpson (R)-inc vs. Mike Crawford (D)
  •  
    Additional Information
    Current Partisan Breakdown
     
    National Delegation
      Senators 2 GOP
      Representatives 1 GOP, 1 DEM
    State Government
      Governor GOP
      Lt. Governor GOP
      State Senate - GOP control 28 GOP, 7 DEM
      State House - GOP control 52 GOP, 18 DEM

    Current Office Holders


  • Governor:  C.L. "Butch" Otter (R) - 1st term, up for re-election in 2010
  • Lt. Governor:  Brad Little (R) - 1st term (partial), up for re-election in 2010
  • Senior Senator:  Michael Crapo (R) - 2nd term, up for re-election in 2010
  • Junior Senator:  Jim Risch (R) - 1st term, up for re-election in 2014
  • House District 1:  Walt Minnick (D) - 1st term
  • House District 2:  Michael Simpson (R) - 6th term
  • Historical Partisan Snapshot


     
      Race 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008

    President Solid GOP -- Solid GOP -- Solid GOP

    Senate
    Class 2 -- Solid GOP -- -- Solid GOP
    Class 3 -- -- Solid GOP -- --

    Governor -- Strong GOP -- Mod GOP --

    House 2 GOP 2 GOP 2 GOP 2 GOP 1 GOP
    1 DEM
    CD-1 Solid GOP Solid GOP Solid GOP Mod GOP Weak D
    CD-2 Solid GOP Solid GOP Solid GOP Solid GOP Solid GOP

    BOLD - party turnover
     
    Race ratings:
  • "Weak" - less than 5%
  • "Mod" - 5% to less than 10%
  • "Strong" - 10% to 15%
  • "Solid" - greater than 15%
  •  

    Idaho Race Tracking
    Senate
    Mike Crapo - inc
    vs
    Tom Sullivan
    Projected Winner
    Governor
    Butch Otter - inc
    vs
    Keith Allred
    Projected Winner
    House District 1
    Walt Minnick - inc
    vs
    Raul Labrador
    Projected Winner
    Special Thanks To:

    Charlie Cook
    Cook Political


    Congressional Quarterly
    CQ Politics


    D.C. Finegold Sachs
    DC's Political Report


    Dave Leip
    U.S. Election Atlas


    David Wissing
    The Hedgehog Report


    Larry Sabato
    Crystal Ball


    Richard & Tony
    The Green Papers


    Rose Institute
    Redistricting in America


    Tom Bevan and John McIntyre
    RealClearPolitics

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