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Indiana  
 
General Information

Election Timeline


  • February 19, 2010 - Deadline to file for candidacy
  • May 4, 2010 - Primary elections
  • November 2, 2010 - Election day
  • Latest Polls and Updates


    Conservative Ranking


    Indiana is the 23th most conservative state, voting Democrat in the 2008 presidential elections but 6.24% more Republican than the national average.

    Partisan Trend


    Based on voting patterns since 1992, Indiana is trending DEMOCRAT in presidential elections.

    GOP Trend Ranking


    Indiana ranks 29th among the 50 states.
     

    Senate Race
    OPEN SEAT:  Two-term Democrat incumbent Evan Bayh will retire.  He is not seeking a third term in 2010.

    GOP Candidates

  • Dan Coats - Former U.S. Senator from Indiana  
  • John Hostettler - Former U.S. Representative from Indiana
  • Marlin Stutzman - Indiana State Senator
  • Richard Behney
  • Don Bates, Jr.
  • DEM Candidates

  • Brad Ellsworth - U.S. Representative from Indiana  
  • Party nominee -

    Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.

     
    Governor's Race
    No race in 2010
     
    Competitive House Races

    District 2 (map)
    Incumbent:  Democratic incumbent Joseph Donnelly seeks a third term in 2010.  He faced no primary opposition.

    GOP Candidates

  • Jackie Walorski - Indiana State Representative  
  • Jack Jordan
  • Tony Zirkle
  • DEM Candidates

  • Joseph Donnelly - Incumbent  
  • Party nominee -

    Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.

     

    District 8 (map)
    OPEN SEAT:  Two-term Democratic incumbent Brad Ellsworth is running for Senate in 2010.  He is not seeking re-election.

    GOP Candidates

  • Larry Bucshon  
  • Bud Bernitt
  • Billy Mahoney
  • Kristi Risk
  • John Lee Smith
  • John Snyder
  • Dan Stockton
  • Steven Westell
  • DEM Candidates

  • Trent VanHaaften - Indiana State Representative  
  • Party nominee -

    Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.

     

    District 9 (map)
    Incumbent:  Democratic incumbent Baron Hill seeks a sixth non-consecutive term in 2010.  He faced no primary opposition.

    GOP Candidates

  • Todd Young  
  • Mike Sodrel - Former U.S. Representative from Indiana
  • Travis Hankins
  • Rick Warren
  • DEM Candidates

  • Baron Hill - Incumbent  
  • James McClure
  • Lendall Terry
  • Carol Johnson-Smith
  • John Bottorff
  • Party nominee -

    Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.

     
    Other House Races
    Projected winner listed first
  • District 1:  Peter Visclosky (D)-inc vs. Mark Leyva (R)
  • District 3:  OPEN: Marlin Stutzman (R) vs. Thomas Hayhurst (D)
  • District 4:  OPEN: Todd Rokita (R) vs. David Sanders (D)
  • District 5:  Dan Burton (R)-inc vs. Tim Crawford (D)
  • District 6:  Mike Pence (R)-inc vs. Barry Welsh (D)
  • District 7:  Andre Carson (D)-inc vs. Marvin Scott (R)
  •  
    Additional Information
    Current Partisan Breakdown
     
    National Delegation
      Senators 1 GOP, 1 DEM
      Representatives 3 GOP, 5 DEM, 1 vacant
    State Government
      Governor GOP
      Lt. Governor GOP
      State Senate - GOP control 33 GOP, 17 DEM
      State House - DEM control 48 GOP, 52 DEM

    Current Office Holders


  • Governor:  Mitch Daniels, Jr. (R) - 2nd term, term-limited in 2012
  • Lt. Governor:  Becky Skillman (R) - 2nd term, tied to Governor
  • Senior Senator:  Richard Lugar (R) - 6th term, up for re-election in 2012
  • Junior Senator:  Evan Bayh (D) - 2nd term, not seeking re-election in 2010
  • House District 1:  Peter Visclosky (D) - 13th term
  • House District 2:  Joe Donnelly (D) - 2nd term
  • House District 3:  vacant
         Mark Souder (R) resigned effective May 21, 2010 during his 8th term
  • House District 4:  Stephen Buyer (R) - 9th term (retiring)
  • House District 5:  Dan Burton (R) - 14th term
  • House District 6:  Mike Pence (R) - 5th term
  • House District 7:  Andre Carson (D) - 2nd term
  • House District 8:  Brad Ellsworth (D) - 2nd term
  • House District 9:  Baron Hill (D) - 5th term (non-consecutive)
  • Historical Partisan Snapshot


     
      Race 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008

    President Solid R -- Solid R -- Weak D

    Senate
    Class 1 Solid R -- -- Solid R --
    Class 3 -- -- Solid D -- --

    Governor Mod D -- Mod R -- Solid R

    House 6 GOP
    4 DEM
    6 GOP
    3 DEM
    7 GOP
    2 DEM
    4 GOP
    5 DEM
    4 GOP
    5 DEM
    CD-1 Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D
    CD-2 Solid R Weak R Mod R Mod D Solid D
    CD-3 Weak D Solid R Solid R Mod R Solid R
    CD-4 Solid R Solid R Solid R Solid R Solid R
    CD-5 Solid R Solid R Solid R Solid R Solid R
    CD-6 Solid R Solid R Solid R Solid R Solid R
    CD-7 Solid R Mod D Strong D Mod D Solid D
    CD-8 Mod R Mod R Mod R Solid D Solid D
    CD-9 Strong D Mod D Weak R Weak D Solid D
    CD-10 Solid D NA NA NA NA
    BOLD - party turnover
     
    Race ratings:
  • "Weak" - less than 5%
  • "Mod" - 5% to less than 10%
  • "Strong" - 10% to 15%
  • "Solid" - greater than 15%
  •  

    Indiana Race Tracking
    Senate (open)
    Brad Ellsworth
    vs
    Dan Coats
    Projected Winner
    House District 2
    Joseph Donnelly - inc
    vs
    Jackie Walorski
    Projected Winner
    House District 8 (open)
    Trent VanHaaften
    vs
    Larry Bucshon
    Projected Winner
    House District 9
    Baron Hill - inc
    vs
    Todd Young
    Projected Winner
    Special Thanks To:

    Charlie Cook
    Cook Political


    Congressional Quarterly
    CQ Politics


    D.C. Finegold Sachs
    DC's Political Report


    Dave Leip
    U.S. Election Atlas


    David Wissing
    The Hedgehog Report


    Larry Sabato
    Crystal Ball


    Richard & Tony
    The Green Papers


    Rose Institute
    Redistricting in America


    Tom Bevan and John McIntyre
    RealClearPolitics

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