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| Indiana |
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Latest Polls and Updates
Conservative Ranking
Indiana is the 23th most conservative state, voting Democrat in the 2008 presidential elections
but 6.24% more Republican than the national average.
Partisan Trend
Based on voting patterns since 1992, Indiana is trending DEMOCRAT in presidential
elections.
GOP Trend Ranking
Indiana ranks 29th among the 50 states.
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OPEN SEAT: Two-term Democrat incumbent Evan Bayh will retire. He is not seeking a third term in 2010.
GOP Candidates
Dan Coats - Former U.S. Senator from Indiana
John Hostettler - Former U.S. Representative from Indiana
Marlin Stutzman - Indiana State Senator
Richard Behney
Don Bates, Jr.
DEM Candidates
Brad Ellsworth - U.S. Representative from Indiana
Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.
Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries
Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries
Preliminary Projection - Weak GOP Gain
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District 2 (map)
Incumbent: Democratic incumbent Joseph Donnelly seeks a third term in 2010. He currently faces no primary opposition.
GOP Candidates
Jackie Walorski - Indiana State Representative
Jack Jordan
Martin Dolan
Tony Zirkle
DEM Candidates
Joseph Donnelly - Incumbent
Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.
Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries
Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries
Preliminary Projection - Mod DEM Hold
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District 8
OPEN SEAT: Two-term Democratic incumbent Brad Ellsworth is running for Senate in 2010. He is not seeking re-election.
GOP Candidates
Bud Bernitt
Larry Bucshon
Billy Mahoney
Kristi Risk
John Lee Smith
John Snyder
Dan Stockton
Steven Westell
DEM Candidates
Trent VanHaaften - Indiana State Representative
Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.
Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries
Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries
Preliminary Projection - Weak GOP Gain
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District 9
Incumbent: Democratic incumbent Baron Hill seeks a sixth non-consecutive term in 2010. He currently faces no primary opposition.
GOP Candidates
Mike Sodrel - Former U.S. Representative from Indiana
Todd Young
Travis Hankins
Rick Warren
DEM Candidates
Baron Hill - Incumbent
James McClure
Lendall Terry
Carol Johnson-Smith
John Bottorff
Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.
Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries
Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries
Preliminary Projection - Weak GOP Gain
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Projected winner listed first
District 1: Peter Visclosky? (D)-inc vs. ??? (R)
District 3: Mark Souder? (R)-inc vs. ??? (D)
District 4: OPEN: ??? (R) vs. ??? (D)
District 5: Dan Burton? (R)-inc vs. ??? (D)
District 6: Mike Pence (R)-inc vs. George Holland (D)
District 7: Andre Carson? (D)-inc vs. ??? (R)
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Election Timeline
February 19, 2010 - Deadline to file for candidacy
May 4, 2010 - Primary elections
November 2, 2010 - Election day
Current Partisan Breakdown
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| National Delegation |
| Senators |
1 GOP, 1 DEM |
| Representatives |
4 GOP, 5 DEM |
| State Government |
| Governor |
GOP |
| Lt. Governor |
GOP |
| State Senate - GOP control |
33 GOP, 17 DEM |
| State House - DEM control |
47 GOP, 52 DEM, 1 IND |
Current Office Holders
Governor: Mitch Daniels, Jr. (R) - 2nd term, up for re-election in 2012
Lt. Governor: Becky Skillman (R) - 2nd term, tied to Governor
Senior Senator: Richard Lugar (R) - 6th term, up for re-election in 2012
Junior Senator: Evan Bayh (D) - 2nd term, not seeking re-election in 2010
House District 1: Peter Visclosky (D) - 13th term
House District 2: Joe Donnelly (D) - 2nd term
House District 3: Mark Souder (R) - 8th term
House District 4: Stephen Buyer (R) - 9th term (retiring)
House District 5: Dan Burton (R) - 14th term
House District 6: Mike Pence (R) - 5th term
House District 7: Andre Carson (D) - 2nd term
House District 8: Brad Ellsworth (D) - 2nd term
House District 9: Baron Hill (R) - 5th term (non-consecutive)
Historical Partisan Snapshot
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| Race |
2000 |
2002 |
2004 |
2006 |
2008 |
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| President |
Solid R |
-- |
Solid R |
-- |
Weak D |
Senate |
| Class 1 |
Solid R |
-- |
-- |
Solid R |
-- |
| Class 3 |
-- |
-- |
Solid D |
-- |
-- |
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| Governor |
Mod D |
-- |
Mod R |
-- |
Solid R |
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| House |
6 GOP
4 DEM |
6 GOP
3 DEM |
7 GOP
2 DEM |
4 GOP
5 DEM |
4 GOP
5 DEM |
| CD-1 |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
| CD-2 |
Solid R |
Weak R |
Mod R |
Mod D |
Solid D |
| CD-3 |
Weak D |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Mod R |
Solid R |
| CD-4 |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
| CD-5 |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
| CD-6 |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
| CD-7 |
Solid R |
Mod D |
Strong D |
Mod D |
Solid D |
| CD-8 |
Mod R |
Mod R |
Mod R |
Solid D |
Solid D |
| CD-9 |
Strong D |
Mod D |
Weak R |
Weak D |
Solid D |
| CD-10 |
Solid D |
NA |
NA |
NA |
NA |
BOLD - party turnover
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Race ratings:
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"Weak" - less than 5%
"Mod" - 5% to less than 10%
"Strong" - 10% to 15%
"Solid" - greater than 15%
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