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Maryland  
 
General Information

Election Timeline


  • July 6, 2010 - Deadline to file for candidacy
  • September 14, 2010 - Primary elections
  • November 2, 2010 - Election day
  • Latest Polls and Updates


    Conservative Ranking


    Maryland is the 6th least conservative state, voting 18.18% less Republican in the 2008 presidential elections than the national average.

    Partisan Trend


    Based on voting patterns since 1992, Maryland is trending DEMOCRAT in presidential elections.

    GOP Trend Ranking


    Maryland ranks 46th among the 50 states.
     


    Senate Race
    Incumbent:  Democratic incumbent Barbara Mikulski seeks a fifth in 2010.  She faces only minor primary opposition.

    GOP Candidates

  • Joseph Alexander
  • Jeff Currean
  • Stephens Dempsey
  • Daniel McAndrew
  • Eric Wargotz - Queen Anne's County Commissioner
  • Corrogan Vaughn
  • Eddie Vendetti
  • Jim Rutledge, III
  • DEM Candidates

  • Barbara Mikulski - Incumbent
  • Christopher Garner
  • Billy Bob Jaworski
  • Blaine Taylor
  • Sanquetta Taylor
  • Lih Young
  • Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.

    Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries

    Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries

    Preliminary Projection - Solid DEM Hold

     
    Governor's Race
    Incumbent:  Democratic incumbent Martin O'Malley is running for 2nd term in 2010.  He faces only minor primary opposition.

    GOP Candidates

  • Robert Ehrlich, Jr. - Former Governor of Maryland
  • Brian Murphy
  • DEM Candidates

  • Martin O'Malley - Incumbent
  • J. P. Cusick
  • Ralph Jaffe
  • George Owings, III - Former Maryland State Delagate
  • Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.

    Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries

    Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries

    Preliminary Projection - Weak DEM Hold

     
    Competitive House Races

    District 1 (map)
    Incumbent:  Democratic incumbent Frank Kratovil, Jr. is up for re-election for the first time in 2010.  He currently faces no primary opposition.

    GOP Candidates

  • Andy Harris - Maryland State Senator
  • Jeff Ghrist, Jr. - Caroline County Commissioner
  • Robert Fisher, Jr.
  • Grady Romblad
  • DEM Candidates

  • Frank Kratovil, Jr. - Incumbent
  • Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.

    Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries

    Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries

    Preliminary Projection - Weak GOP Gain

     
    Other House Races
    Projected winner listed first
  • District 2:  Dutch Ruppersberger? (D)-inc vs. ??? (R)
  • District 3:  John Sarbanes (D)-inc vs. ??? (R)
  • District 4:  Donna Edwards? (D)-inc vs. Robert Broadus (R)
  • District 5:  Steny Hoyer? (D)-inc vs. ??? (R)
  • District 6:  Roscoe Bartlett? (R)-inc vs. ??? (D)
  • District 7:  Elijah Cummings (D)-inc vs. J. B. Jennings (R)
  • District 8:  Christopher van Hollen, Jr. (D)-inc vs. ??? (R)
  •  
    Additional Information
    Current Partisan Breakdown
     
    National Delegation
      Senators 2 DEM
      Representatives 1 GOP, 7 DEM
    State Government
      Governor DEM
      Lt. Governor - tied to Governor DEM
      State Senate - DEM control 14 GOP, 33 DEM
      State House - DEM control 36 GOP, 104 DEM

    Current Office Holders


  • Governor:  Martin O'Malley (D) - 1st term, up for re-election in 2010
  • Lt. Governor:  Anthony Brown (D) - 1st term, tied to Governor
  • Senior Senator:  Barbara Mikulski (D) - 4th term, up for re-election in 2010
  • Junior Senator:  Benjamin Cardin (D) - 1st term, up for re-election in 2012
  • House District 1:  Frank Kratovil, Jr. (D) - 1st term
  • House District 2:  Dutch Ruppersberger (D) - 4th term
  • House District 3:  John Sarbanes (D) - 2nd term
  • House District 4:  Donna Edwards (D) - 2nd term
  • House District 5:  Steny Hoyer (D) - 15th term
  • House District 6:  Roscoe Bartlett (R) - 9th term
  • House District 7:  Elijah Cummings (D) - 8th term
  • House District 8:  Christopher van Hollen (D) - 4th term
  • Historical Partisan Snapshot


     
      Race 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008

    President Solid D -- Strong D -- Solid D

    Senate
    Class 1 Solid D -- -- Strong D --
    Class 3 -- -- Solid D -- --

    Governor -- Weak R -- Mod D --

    House 4 GOP
    4 DEM
    2 GOP
    6 DEM
    2 GOP
    6 DEM
    2 GOP
    6 DEM
    CD-1 Solid R Solid R Solid R Solid R Weak D
    CD-2 Solid R Strong D Solid D Solid D Solid D
    CD-3 Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D
    CD-4 Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D
    CD-5 Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D
    CD-6 Solid R Solid R Solid R Solid R Solid R
    CD-7 Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D
    CD-8 Weak R Mod D Solid D Solid D Solid D

    BOLD - party turnover
    Race ratings:
  • "Weak" - less than 5%
  • "Mod" - 5% to less than 10%
  • "Strong" - 10% to 15%
  • "Solid" - greater than 15%
  •  

    Massachusetts Race Tracking
    Senate
    Barbara Mikulski - inc
    vs
    undetermined
    Preliminary
    Solid DEM Hold
     
    Governor
    Martin O'Malley - inc
    vs
    Robert Ehrlich?
    Preliminary
    Weak DEM Hold
     
    House District 1
    Frank Kratovil, Jr. - inc
    vs
    undetermined
    Preliminary
    Weak GOP Gain
     
    Special Thanks To:

    Charlie Cook
    Cook Political


    Congressional Quarterly
    CQ Politics


    D.C. Finegold Sachs
    DC's Political Report


    Dave Leip
    U.S. Election Atlas


    David Wissing
    The Hedgehog Report


    Larry Sabato
    Crystal Ball


    Richard & Tony
    The Green Papers


    Tom Bevan and John McIntyre
    RealClearPolitics

    EP's Weekly Poll

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