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Election Timeline
July 6, 2010 - Deadline to file for candidacy
September 14, 2010 - Primary elections
November 2, 2010 - Election day
Latest Polls and Updates
Conservative Ranking
Maryland is the 6th least conservative state, voting
18.18% less Republican in the 2008 presidential elections than the national average.
Partisan Trend
Based on voting patterns since 1992, Maryland is trending DEMOCRAT in presidential
elections.
GOP Trend Ranking
Maryland ranks 46th among the 50 states.
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Incumbent: Democratic incumbent Barbara Mikulski seeks a fifth in 2010. She faced only minor primary opposition.
GOP Candidates
Eric Wargotz - Queen Anne's County Commissioner 
Joseph Alexander
Jeff Currean
Stephens Dempsey
Daniel McAndrew
Corrogan Vaughn
Eddie Vendetti
Jim Rutledge, III
DEM Candidates
Barbara Mikulski - Incumbent
Christopher Garner
Billy Bob Jaworski
Blaine Taylor
Sanquetta Taylor
Lih Young
Party nominee -
Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.
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Incumbent: Democratic incumbent Martin O'Malley is running for 2nd term in 2010. He faced only minor primary opposition.
GOP Candidates
Robert Ehrlich, Jr. - Former Governor of Maryland
Brian Murphy
DEM Candidates
Martin O'Malley - Incumbent
J. P. Cusick
Ralph Jaffe
George Owings, III - Former Maryland State Delagate
Party nominee -
Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.
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District 1 (map)
Incumbent: Democratic incumbent Frank Kratovil, Jr. is up for re-election for the first time in 2010. He faced no primary opposition.
GOP Candidates
Andy Harris - Maryland State Senator
Jeff Ghrist, Jr. - Caroline County Commissioner
Robert Fisher, Jr.
Grady Romblad
DEM Candidates
Frank Kratovil, Jr. - Incumbent
Party nominee -
Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.
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Projected winner listed first
District 2: Dutch Ruppersberger (D)-inc vs. Marcelo Cardarelli (R)
District 3: John Sarbanes (D)-inc vs. Jim Wilhelm (R)
District 4: Donna Edwards (D)-inc vs. Robert Broadus (R)
District 5: Steny Hoyer (D)-inc vs. Charles Lollar (R)
District 6: Roscoe Bartlett (R)-inc vs. Andrew Duck (D)
District 7: Elijah Cummings (D)-inc vs. Frank Mirabile (R)
District 8: Christopher van Hollen, Jr. (D)-inc vs. Michael Philips (R)
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Current Partisan Breakdown
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| National Delegation |
| Senators |
2 DEM |
| Representatives |
1 GOP, 7 DEM |
| State Government |
| Governor |
DEM |
| Lt. Governor - tied to Governor |
DEM |
| State Senate - DEM control |
14 GOP, 33 DEM |
| State House - DEM control |
36 GOP, 104 DEM |
Current Office Holders
Governor: Martin O'Malley (D) - 1st term, up for re-election in 2010
Lt. Governor: Anthony Brown (D) - 1st term, tied to Governor
Senior Senator: Barbara Mikulski (D) - 4th term, up for re-election in 2010
Junior Senator: Benjamin Cardin (D) - 1st term, up for re-election in 2012
House District 1: Frank Kratovil, Jr. (D) - 1st term
House District 2: Dutch Ruppersberger (D) - 4th term
House District 3: John Sarbanes (D) - 2nd term
House District 4: Donna Edwards (D) - 2nd term
House District 5: Steny Hoyer (D) - 15th term
House District 6: Roscoe Bartlett (R) - 9th term
House District 7: Elijah Cummings (D) - 8th term
House District 8: Christopher van Hollen (D) - 4th term
Historical Partisan Snapshot
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| Race |
2000 |
2002 |
2004 |
2006 |
2008 |
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| President |
Solid D |
-- |
Strong D |
-- |
Solid D |
Senate |
| Class 1 |
Solid D |
-- |
-- |
Strong D |
-- |
| Class 3 |
-- |
-- |
Solid D |
-- |
-- |
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| Governor |
-- |
Weak R |
-- |
Mod D |
-- |
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| House |
4 GOP
4 DEM |
2 GOP
6 DEM |
2 GOP
6 DEM |
2 GOP
6 DEM |
| CD-1 |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Weak D |
| CD-2 |
Solid R |
Strong D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
| CD-3 |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
| CD-4 |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
| CD-5 |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
| CD-6 |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
| CD-7 |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
| CD-8 |
Weak R |
Mod D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
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| BOLD - party turnover
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Race ratings:
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"Weak" - less than 5%
"Mod" - 5% to less than 10%
"Strong" - 10% to 15%
"Solid" - greater than 15%
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| Maryland Race Tracking |
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| Senate |
| Barbara Mikulski - inc |
| vs |
| Eric Wargotz |
| Projected Winner |
| Governor |
| Martin O'Malley - inc |
| vs |
| Robert Ehrlich |
| Projected Winner |
| House District 1 |
| Frank Kratovil, Jr. - inc |
| vs |
| Andy Harris |
| Projected Winner |
| Election Projection Resources |
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| 2006 Projection Results |
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| 2004 Projection Results |
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| Contact Me |
e-mail Scott at:
electionprojection
-at- gmail.com
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