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| Michigan |
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Latest Polls and Updates
Conservative Ranking
Michigan is the 13th least conservative state, voting
2.08% less Republican in the 2008 presidential elections than the national average.
Partisan Trend
Based on voting patterns since 1992, Michigan is trending DEMOCRAT in presidential
elections.
GOP Trend Ranking
Michigan ranks 38th among the 50 states.
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OPEN SEAT: Two-term Democratic incumbent Jennifer Granholm is term-limited in 2010.
GOP Candidates
Peter Hoekstra - U.S. Representative from Michigan
Michael Bouchard - Oakland County Sheriff
Mike Cox - Michigan Attorney General
Tom George - Michigan State Senator
David Brandon
Rick Snyder
DEM Candidates
Bob Bowman - Former Michigan State Treasurer
Andy Dillon - Michigan State House Speaker
Alma Wheeler Smith - Michigan State Representative
Virg Bernero - Mayor of Lansing
Don Williamson
Daniel Kildee
Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.
Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries
Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries
Preliminary Projection - Weak GOP Gain
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District 7
Incumbent: Democratic incumbent Mark Schauer seeks a second term in 2010. He currently faces no primary opposition.
GOP Candidates
Tim Wahlberg - Former U.S. Representative from Michigan
Marvin Carlson
Brian Rooney
DEM Candidates
Mark Schuaer - Incumbent
Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.
Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries
Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries
Preliminary Projection - Weak GOP Gain
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District 9
Incumbent: Democratic incumbent Gary Peters seeks a second term in 2010. He currently faces no primary opposition.
GOP Candidates
Gene Goodman
Andrew Raczkowski - 2002 and 2008 Senate Nominee
Paul Welday
DEM Candidates
Gary Peters - Incumbent
Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.
Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries
Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries
Preliminary Projection - Mod DEM Hold
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Projected winner listed first
District 1: Bart Stupak (D)-inc vs. ??? (R)
District 2: OPEN: ??? (R) vs. Fred Johnson, III (D)
District 3: OPEN: ??? (R) (currently unopposed)
District 4: Dave Lee Camp (R)-inc (currently unopposed)
District 5: Dale Kildee (D)-inc (currently unopposed)
District 6: Fred Upton (R)-inc (currently unopposed)
District 8: Michael Rogers (R)-inc (currently unopposed)
District 10: Candice Miller (R)-inc (currently unopposed)
District 11: Thad McCotter (R)-inc vs. ??? (D)
District 12: Sandy Levin? (D)-inc vs. ??? (R)
District 13: Carolyn Kilpatrick (D)-inc (currently unopposed)
District 14: John Conyers Jr. (D)-inc (currently unopposed)
District 15: John Dingell (D)-inc (currently unopposed)
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Election Timeline
May 11, 2010 - Deadline to file for candidacy
August 3, 2010 - Primary elections
November 2, 2010 - Election day
Current Partisan Breakdown
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| National Delegation |
| Senators |
2 DEM |
| Representatives |
7 GOP, 8 DEM |
| State Government |
| Governor |
DEM |
| Lt. Governor - tied to Governor |
DEM |
| State Senate - GOP control |
21 GOP, 17 DEM |
| State House - DEM control |
43 GOP, 67 DEM |
Current Office Holders
Governor: Jennifer Granholm (D) - 2nd term, term-limited in 2010
Lt. Governor: John Cherry (D) - 2nd term, tied to Governor
Senior Senator: Carl Levin (D) - 6th term, up for re-election in 2014
Junior Senator: Debbie Stabenow (D) - 2nd term, up for re-election in 2012
House District 1: Bart Stupak (D) - 9th term
House District 2: Peter Hoekstra (R) - 9th term (running for Governor)
House District 3: Vernon Ehlers (R) - 9th term (retiring)
House District 4: Dave Lee Camp (R) - 10th term
House District 5: Dale Kildee (D) - 17th term
House District 6: Fred Upton (R) - 12th term
House District 7: Mark Schauer (D) - 1st term
House District 8: Michael Rogers (R) - 5th term
House District 9: Gary Peters (D) - 1st term
House District 10: Candice Miller (R) - 4th term
House District 11: Thad McCotter (R) - 4th term
House District 12: Sandy Levin (D) - 14th term
House District 13: Carolyn Kilpatrick (D) - 7th term
House District 14: John Conyers Jr. (D) - 23rd term (might retire)
House District 15: John Dingell (D) - 28th term (might retire)
Historical Partisan Snapshot
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| Race |
2000 |
2002 |
2004 |
2006 |
2008 |
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| President |
Weak D |
-- |
Weak D |
-- |
Strong D |
Senate |
| Class 1 |
Weak D |
-- |
-- |
Solid D |
-- |
| Class 2 |
-- |
Solid D |
-- |
-- |
Solid D |
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| Governor |
-- |
Weak D |
-- |
Strong D |
-- |
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| House |
7 GOP
9 DEM |
9 GOP
6 DEM |
9 GOP
6 DEM |
9 GOP
6 DEM |
7 GOP
8 DEM |
| CD-1 |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
| CD-2 |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
| CD-3 |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
| CD-4 |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
| CD-5 |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
| CD-6 |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
| CD-7 |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Mod R |
Weak D |
| CD-8 |
Weak R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Strong R |
Solid R |
| CD-9 |
Solid D |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Mod R |
Weak D |
| CD-10 |
Solid D |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
| CD-11 |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Strong R |
Mod R |
| CD-12 |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
| CD-13 |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
| CD-14 |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
| CD-15 |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
| CD-16 |
Solid D |
NA |
NA |
NA |
NA |
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BOLD - party turnover
Party changes not bolded resulted from redistricting before the 2002 election.
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Race ratings:
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"Weak" - less than 5%
"Mod" - 5% to less than 10%
"Strong" - 10% to 15%
"Solid" - greater than 15%
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