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Minnesota  
 
General Information

Election Timeline


  • July 20, 2010 - Deadline to file for candidacy
  • August 10, 2010 - Primary elections
  • November 2, 2010 - Election day
  • Latest Polls and Updates


    Conservative Ranking


    Minnesota is the 20th least conservative state, voting 2.97% less Republican in the 2008 presidential elections than the national average.

    Partisan Trend


    Based on voting patterns since 1992, Minnesota is trending DEMOCRAT in presidential elections.

    GOP Trend Ranking


    Minnesota ranks 20th among the 50 states.
     

    Senate Race
    No race in 2010
     
    Governor's Race
    OPEN SEAT:  Republican incumbent Tim Pawlenty is not seeking a 3rd term in 2010.

    GOP Candidates

  • Tom Emmer - Minnesota State Representative  
  • Robert Carney, Jr.
  • Leslie Davis
  • Oloveuse Scorpio "Ole" Savior
  • DFL Candidates

  • Mark Dayton - Former U.S. Senator from Minnesota  
  • Margaret Anderson Kelliher - Minnesota State Representative
  • Matt Entrenza - Former Minnesota State Representative
  • Peter Idusogie
  • IND Candidates

  • Tom Horner
  • Party nominee -

    Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.

     
    Competitive House Races

    District 1 (map)
    Incumbent:  DFL incumbent Tim Walz seeks a third term in 2010.

    GOP Candidates

  • Randy Demmer  
  • DFL Candidates

  • Tim Walz  
  • Party nominee -

    Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.

     

    District 8 (map)
    Incumbent:  DFL incumbent James Oberstar seeks a 19th term in 2010.

    GOP Candidates

  • Chip Cravaack  
  • DFL Candidates

  • James Oberstar  
  • Party nominee -

    Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.

     
    Other House Races
    Projected winner listed first
  • District 2:  John Kline (R)-inc vs. Shelley Madore (DFL)
  • District 3:  Erik Paulsen (R)-inc vs. James Meffert (DFL)
  • District 4:  Betty McCollum (DFL)-inc vs. Teresa Collett (R)
  • District 5:  Keith Ellison (DFL)-inc vs. Joel "Alexander" Demos (R)
  • District 6:  Michele Bachmann (R)-inc vs. Tarryl Clark (DFL) - possibly competitive
  • District 7:  Collin Peterson (DFL)-inc vs. Lee Byberg (R)
  •  
    Additional Information
    Current Partisan Breakdown
     
    National Delegation
      Senators 2 DFL
      Representatives 3 GOP, 5 DFL
    State Government
      Governor GOP
      Lt. Governor - tied to Governor GOP
      State Senate - DFL control 21 GOP, 46 DFL
      State House - DFL control 47 GOP, 87 DFL

    Current Office Holders


  • Governor:  Tim Pawlenty (R) - 2nd term, not seeking re-election in 2010
  • Lt. Governor:  Carol Molnau (R) - 2nd term, tied to Governor
  • Senior Senator:  Amy Klobuchar (D) - 1st term, up for re-election in 2012
  • Junior Senator:  Al Franken (D) - 1st term, up for re-election in 2014
  • House District 1:  Tim Walz (D) - 2nd term
  • House District 2:  John Kline (R) - 4th term
  • House District 3:  Erik Paulson (R) - 1st term
  • House District 4:  Betty McCollum (D) - 5th term
  • House District 5:  Keith Ellison (D) - 2nd term
  • House District 6:  Michele Bachmann (R) - 2nd term
  • House District 7:  Collin Peterson (D) - 10th term
  • House District 8:  James Oberstar (D) - 18th term
  • Historical Partisan Snapshot


     
      Race 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008

    President Weak D -- Weak D -- Strong D

    Senate
    Class 1 Weak D -- -- Solid D --
    Class 2 -- Weak R -- -- Weak D

    Governor -- Mod R -- Weak R --

    House 3 GOP
    5 DFL
    4 GOP
    4 DFL
    4 GOP
    4 DFL
    3 GOP
    5 DFL
    3 GOP
    5 DFL
    CD-1 Solid R Solid R Solid R Mod D Solid D
    CD-2 Weak R Strong R Solid R Solid R Strong R
    CD-3 Solid R Solid R Solid R Solid R Mod R
    CD-4 Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D
    CD-5 Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D
    CD-6 Weak D Solid R Mod R Mod R Weak R
    CD-7 Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D
    CD-8 Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D

    BOLD - party turnover
    Party changes not bolded resulted from redistricting before the 2002 election.
    Race ratings:
  • "Weak" - less than 5%
  • "Mod" - 5% to less than 10%
  • "Strong" - 10% to 15%
  • "Solid" - greater than 15%
  •  

    Minnesota Race Tracking
    Governor (open)
    Tom Emmer
    vs
    Mark Dayton
    Projected Winner
    House District 1
    Tim Walz - inc
    vs
    Randy Demmer
    Projected Winner
    House District 8
    James Oberstar - inc
    vs
    Chip Cravaack
    Projected Winner
    Special Thanks To:

    Charlie Cook
    Cook Political


    Congressional Quarterly
    CQ Politics


    D.C. Finegold Sachs
    DC's Political Report


    Dave Leip
    U.S. Election Atlas


    David Wissing
    The Hedgehog Report


    Larry Sabato
    Crystal Ball


    Richard & Tony
    The Green Papers


    Rose Institute
    Redistricting in America


    Tom Bevan and John McIntyre
    RealClearPolitics

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