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Latest Polls and Updates
Conservative Ranking
Minnesota is the 20th least conservative state, voting
2.97% less Republican in the 2008 presidential elections than the national average.
Partisan Trend
Based on voting patterns since 1992, Minnesota is trending DEMOCRAT in presidential
elections.
GOP Trend Ranking
Minnesota ranks 20th among the 50 states.
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OPEN SEAT: Republican incumbent Tim Pawlenty is not seeking a 3rd term in 2010.
GOP Candidates
Robert Carney, Jr.
Leslie Davis
Tom Emmer - Minnesota State Representative
Bill Haas - Former Minnesota State Representative
Phil Herwig
Marty Seifert - Minnesota State Representative
DFL Candidates
Tom Bakk - Minnesota State Senator
Mark Dayton
Matt Entrenza - Former Minnesota State Representative
Susan Gaertner
Margaret Anderson Kelliher - Minnesota State Representative
John Marty - Minnesota State Senator
Peter Roess
Tom Rukavina - Minnesota State Representative
R.T. Rybak - Mayor of Minneapolis
Paul Thissen - Minnesota State Representative
Oloveuse Savior
Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.
Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries
Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries
Preliminary Projection - Weak DEM Gain
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District 6
Incumbent: Republican incumbent Michele Bachmann is up for a third term in 2010. She faces only minor primary opposition.
GOP Candidates
Michele Bachmann - Incumbent
Chris Johnson
DEM Candidates
Tarryl Clark - Minnesota State Senator
Maureen Reed
Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.
Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries
Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries
Preliminary Projection - Mod GOP Hold
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Projected winner listed first
District 1: Tim Walz (DFL)-inc vs. ??? (R) - possibly competitive
District 2: John Kline (R)-inc vs. ??? (DFL)
District 3: Erik Paulsen (R)-inc vs. ??? (DFL) - possibly competitive
District 4: Betty McCollum (DFL)-inc vs. ??? (R)
District 5: Keith Ellison (DFL)-inc vs. ??? (R)
District 7: Collin Peterson (DFL)-inc vs. ??? (R)
District 8: James Oberstar (DFL)-inc vs. Michael Cummins (R)
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Election Timeline
July 20, 2010 - Deadline to file for candidacy
September 14, 2010 - Primary elections
November 2, 2010 - Election day
Current Partisan Breakdown
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| National Delegation |
| Senators |
2 DFL |
| Representatives |
3 GOP, 5 DFL |
| State Government |
| Governor |
GOP |
| Lt. Governor - tied to Governor |
GOP |
| State Senate - DFL control |
21 GOP, 46 DFL |
| State House - DFL control |
47 GOP, 87 DFL |
Current Office Holders
Governor: Tim Pawlenty (R) - 2nd term, not seeking re-election in 2010
Lt. Governor: Carol Molnau (R) - 2nd term, tied to Governor
Senior Senator: Amy Klobuchar (D) - 1st term, up for re-election in 2012
Junior Senator: Al Franken (D) - 1st term, up for re-election in 2014
House District 1: Tim Walz (D) - 2nd term
House District 2: John Kline (R) - 4th term
House District 3: Erik Paulson (R) - 1st term
House District 4: Betty McCollum (D) - 5th term
House District 5: Keith Ellison (D) - 2nd term
House District 6: Michele Bachmann (R) - 2nd term
House District 7: Collin Peterson (D) - 10th term
House District 8: James Oberstar (D) - 18th term
Historical Partisan Snapshot
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| Race |
2000 |
2002 |
2004 |
2006 |
2008 |
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| President |
Weak D |
-- |
Weak D |
-- |
Strong D |
Senate |
| Class 1 |
Weak D |
-- |
-- |
Solid D |
-- |
| Class 2 |
-- |
Weak R |
-- |
-- |
Weak D |
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| Governor |
-- |
Mod R |
-- |
Weak R |
-- |
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| House |
3 GOP
5 DFL |
4 GOP
4 DFL |
4 GOP
4 DFL |
3 GOP
5 DFL |
3 GOP
5 DFL |
| CD-1 |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Mod D |
Solid D |
| CD-2 |
Weak R |
Strong R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Strong R |
| CD-3 |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Mod R |
| CD-4 |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
| CD-5 |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
| CD-6 |
Weak D |
Solid R |
Mod R |
Mod R |
Weak R |
| CD-7 |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
| CD-8 |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
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BOLD - party turnover
Party changes not bolded resulted from redistricting before the 2002 election.
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Race ratings:
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"Weak" - less than 5%
"Mod" - 5% to less than 10%
"Strong" - 10% to 15%
"Solid" - greater than 15%
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