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Missouri  
 
General Information

Election Timeline


  • March 30, 2010 - Deadline to file for candidacy
  • August 3, 2010 - Primary elections
  • November 2, 2010 - Election day
  • Latest Polls and Updates


    Conservative Ranking


    Missouri is the 22nd most conservative state, voting 7.4% more Republican in the 2008 presidential elections than the national average.

    Partisan Trend


    Based on voting patterns since 1992, Missouri is trending REPUBLICAN in presidential elections.

    GOP Trend Ranking


    Missouri ranks 13th among the 50 states.
     

    Senate Race
    OPEN SEAT:  Republican incumbent Kit Bond is not seeking a 5th term in 2010.

    GOP Candidates

  • Roy Blunt - U.S. Representative from Missouri  
  • Chuck Purgason - Missouri State Senator
  • Davis Conway
  • Antonio Laszacs
  • Hector Maldonado
  • Kristi Nichols
  • Robert Praprotnik
  • Debra Solomon
  • Michael Vontz
  • DEM Candidates

  • Robin Carnahan - Missouri Secretary of State  
  • Richard Tolbert
  • Francis Vangeli
  • Party nominee -

    Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.

     
    Governor's Race
    No race in 2010
     
    Competitive House Races

    District 3 (map)
    Incumbent:  Democratic incumbent Russ Carnahan seeks a fourth term in 2010.

    GOP Candidates

  • Ed Martin  
  • DEM Candidates

  • Russ Carnahan - Incumbent  
  • Party nominee -

    Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.

     

    District 4 (map)
    Incumbent:  Democratic incumbent Ike Skelton seeks an eigthteenth term in 2010.  He faced only minor primary opposition.

    GOP Candidates

  • Vicky Hartzler - Former Missouri State Representative  
  • Bill Stouffer - Missouri State Senator
  • Roy Viessman - Former Jefferson City Councilman
  • Brian Clark
  • Arthur Madden
  • Eric McElroy
  • Jeff Parnell
  • Brian Riley
  • James Schotz
  • DEM Candidates

  • Ike Skelton - Incumbent  
  • Leonard Steinman
  • Party nominee -

    Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.

     
    Other House Races
    Projected winner listed first
  • District 1:  Lacy Clay Jr. (D)-inc vs. Robyn Hamlin (R)
  • District 2:  Todd Akin (R)-inc vs. Arthur Lieber (D)
  • District 5:  Emmanuel Cleaver, II (D)-inc vs. Jacob Turk (R)
  • District 6:  Sam Graves (R)-inc vs. Cliff Hylton (D)
  • District 7:  OPEN: Billy Long (R) vs. Scott Eckersly (D)
  • District 8:  Jo Ann Emerson (R)-inc vs. Tommy Sowers (D)
  • District 9:  Blaine Luetkemeyer (R)-inc  (unopposed)
  •  
    Additional Information
    Current Partisan Breakdown
     
    National Delegation
      Senators 1 GOP, 1 DEM
      Representatives 5 GOP, 4 DEM
    State Government
      Governor DEM
      Lt. Governor GOP
      State Senate - GOP control 23 GOP, 11 DEM
      State House - GOP control 89 GOP, 74 DEM

    Current Office Holders


  • Governor:  Jay Nixon- 1st term, up for re-election in 2012
  • Lt. Governor:  Peter Kinder - 2nd term, up for re-election in 2012
  • Senior Senator:  Kit Bond - 4th term, not seeking re-election in 2010
  • Junior Senator:  Claire McCaskill - 1st term, up for re-election in 2012
  • House District 1:  Lacy Clay Jr. (D) - 5th term
  • House District 2:  Todd Akin (R) - 5th term
  • House District 3:  Russ Carnahan (D) - 3rd term
  • House District 4:  Ike Skelton (D) - 17th term
  • House District 5:  Emmanuel Cleaver, II (D) - 3rd term
  • House District 6:  Samuel Graves, Jr. (R) - 5th term
  • House District 7:  Roy Blunt (R) - 6th term (running for Senate)
  • House District 8:  Jo Ann Emerson (R) - 7th term
  • House District 9:  Blaine Luetkemeyer (R) - 1st term
  • Historical Partisan Snapshot


     
      Race 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008

    President Weak R -- Mod R -- Weak R

    Senate
    Class 1 Weak D Weak R -- Weak D --
    Class 3 -- -- Strong R -- --

    Governor Weak D -- Weak R -- Solid D

    House 6 GOP
    3 DEM
    5 GOP
    4 DEM
    5 GOP
    4 DEM
    5 GOP
    4 DEM
    5 GOP
    4 DEM
    CD-1 Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D
    CD-2 Strong R Solid R Solid R Solid R Solid R
    CD-3 Solid D Solid D Mod D Solid D Solid D
    CD-4 Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D
    CD-5 Solid R Solid D Strong D Solid D Solid D
    CD-6 Weak R Solid R Solid R Solid R Solid R
    CD-7 Solid R Solid R Solid R Solid R Solid R
    CD-8 Solid R Solid R Solid R Solid R Solid R
    CD-9 Solid R Solid R Solid R Solid R Weak R

    BOLD - party turnover
    Party changes not bolded resulted from redistricting before the 2002 election.
    Race ratings:
  • "Weak" - less than 5%
  • "Mod" - 5% to less than 10%
  • "Strong" - 10% to 15%
  • "Solid" - greater than 15%
  •  

    Missouri Race Tracking
    Senate (open)
    Roy Blunt
    vs
    Robin Carnahan
    Projected Winner
    House District 3
    Russ Carnahan - inc
    vs
    Ed Martin
    Projected Winner
    House District 4
    Ike Skelton - inc
    vs
    Vicky Hartzler
    Projected Winner
    Special Thanks To:

    Charlie Cook
    Cook Political


    Congressional Quarterly
    CQ Politics


    D.C. Finegold Sachs
    DC's Political Report


    Dave Leip
    U.S. Election Atlas


    David Wissing
    The Hedgehog Report


    Larry Sabato
    Crystal Ball


    Richard & Tony
    The Green Papers


    Rose Institute
    Redistricting in America


    Tom Bevan and John McIntyre
    RealClearPolitics

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