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Latest Polls and Updates
Conservative Ranking
Missouri is the 22nd most conservative state, voting
7.4% more Republican in the 2008 presidential elections than the national average.
Partisan Trend
Based on voting patterns since 1992, Missouri is trending REPUBLICAN in presidential
elections.
GOP Trend Ranking
Missouri ranks 13th among the 50 states.
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OPEN SEAT: Republican incumbent Kit Bond is not seeking a 5th term in 2010.
GOP Candidates
Roy Blunt - U.S. Representative from Missouri
Chuck Purgason - Missouri State Senator
Mark Memoly
DEM Candidates
Robin Carnahan - Missouri Secretary of State
Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.
Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries
Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries
Preliminary Projection - Weak GOP Hold
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District 4
Incumbent: Democratic incumbent Ike Skelton seeks an eigthteenth term in 2010. He currently faces no primary opposition.
GOP Candidates
Bill Stouffer - Missouri State Senator
Vicky Hartzler - Former Missouri State Representative
DEM Candidates
Ike Skelton - Incumbent
Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.
Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries
Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries
Preliminary Projection - Mod DEM Hold
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Projected winner listed first
District 1: Lacy Clay Jr. (D)-inc (currently unopposed)
District 2: Todd Akin (R)-inc (currently unopposed)
District 3: Russ Carnahan (D)-inc vs. Ed Martin (R)
District 5: Emmanuel Cleaver, II (D)-inc vs. Jacob Turk (R)
District 6: Sam Graves (R)-inc (currently unopposed)
District 7: OPEN: ??? (R) (currently unopposed)
District 8: Jo Ann Emerson? (R)-inc vs. Tommy Sowers (D)
District 9: Blaine Luetkemeyer (R)-inc vs. ??? (D)
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Election Timeline
March 30, 2010 - Deadline to file for candidacy
August 3, 2010 - Primary elections
November 2, 2010 - Election day
Current Partisan Breakdown
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| National Delegation |
| Senators |
1 GOP, 1 DEM |
| Representatives |
5 GOP, 4 DEM |
| State Government |
| Governor |
DEM |
| Lt. Governor |
GOP |
| State Senate - GOP control |
23 GOP, 11 DEM |
| State House - GOP control |
89 GOP, 74 DEM |
Current Office Holders
Governor: Jay Nixon- 1st term, up for re-election in 2012
Lt. Governor: Peter Kinder - 2nd term, up for re-election in 2012
Senior Senator: Kit Bond - 4th term, not seeking re-election in 2010
Junior Senator: Claire McCaskill - 1st term, up for re-election in 2012
House District 1: Lacy Clay Jr. (D) - 5th term
House District 2: Todd Akin (R) - 5th term
House District 3: Russ Carnahan (D) - 3rd term
House District 4: Ike Skelton (D) - 17th term
House District 5: Emmanuel Cleaver, II (D) - 3rd term
House District 6: Samuel Graves, Jr. (R) - 5th term
House District 7: Roy Blunt (R) - 6th term (running for Senate)
House District 8: Jo Ann Emerson (R) - 7th term
House District 9: Blaine Luetkemeyer (R) - 1st term
Historical Partisan Snapshot
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| Race |
2000 |
2002 |
2004 |
2006 |
2008 |
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| President |
Weak R |
-- |
Mod R |
-- |
Weak R |
Senate |
| Class 1 |
Weak D |
Weak R |
-- |
Weak D |
-- |
| Class 3 |
-- |
-- |
Strong R |
-- |
-- |
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| Governor |
Weak D |
-- |
Weak R |
-- |
Solid D |
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| House |
6 GOP
3 DEM |
5 GOP
4 DEM |
5 GOP
4 DEM |
5 GOP
4 DEM |
5 GOP
4 DEM |
| CD-1 |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
| CD-2 |
Strong R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
| CD-3 |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Mod D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
| CD-4 |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
| CD-5 |
Solid R |
Solid D |
Strong D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
| CD-6 |
Weak R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
| CD-7 |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
| CD-8 |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
| CD-9 |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Weak R |
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BOLD - party turnover
Party changes not bolded resulted from redistricting before the 2002 election.
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Race ratings:
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"Weak" - less than 5%
"Mod" - 5% to less than 10%
"Strong" - 10% to 15%
"Solid" - greater than 15%
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