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2010 Projections

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Montana  
 
General Information
Latest Polls and Updates

Conservative Ranking


Montana is the 21st most conservative state, voting 9.65% more Republican in the 2008 presidential elections than the national average.

Partisan Trend


Based on voting patterns since 1992, Montana is trending REPUBLICAN in presidential elections.

GOP Trend Ranking


Montana ranks 16th among the 50 states.
 


Senate Race
No race in 2010
 
Governor's Race
No race in 2010
 
Competitive House Races
No competitive races in 2010
 
Other House Races
Projected winner listed first
  • District AL:  Dennis Rehberg? (R)-inc vs. ??? (D)
  •  
    Additional Information

    Election Timeline


  • March 15, 2010 - Deadline to file for candidacy
  • June 8, 2010 - Primary elections
  • November 2, 2010 - Election day
  • Current Partisan Breakdown


     
    National Delegation
      Senators 2 DEM
      Representatives 1 GOP
    State Government
      Governor DEM
      Lt. Governor - tied to Governor DEM
      State Senate - DEM control 23 GOP, 27 DEM
      State House - DEM control 49 GOP, 51 DEM

    Current Office Holders


  • Governor:  Brian Schweitzer (D) - 2nd term, up for re-election in 2012
  • Lt. Governor:  John Bohlinger (D) - 2nd term, up for re-election in 2012
  • Senior Senator:  Max Baucus (D) - 6th term, up for re-election in 2014
  • Junior Senator:  Jon Tester (D) - 1st term, up for re-election in 2012
  • House District 1:  Dennis Rehberg (R) - 5th term
  • Historical Partisan Snapshot


     
      Race 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008

    President Solid R -- Solid R -- Weak R

    Senate
    Class 1 Weak R -- -- Weak D --
    Class 2 -- Solid D -- -- Solid D

    Governor Weak R -- Weak D -- Weak D

    House 1 GOP 1 GOP 1 GOP 1 GOP 1 GOP
    CD-1 Mod R Solid R Solid R Solid R Solid R

    BOLD - party turnover
    Race ratings:
  • "Weak" - less than 5%
  • "Mod" - 5% to less than 10%
  • "Strong" - 10% to 15%
  • "Solid" - greater than 15%
  •  

    Special Thanks To:

    Charlie Cook
    Cook Political


    Congressional Quarterly
    CQ Politics


    D.C. Finegold Sachs
    DC's Political Report


    Dave Leip
    U.S. Election Atlas


    Larry Sabato
    Crystal Ball


    Tom Bevan and John McIntyre
    RealClearPolitics

    EP's Weekly Poll

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