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North Carolina  
 
General Information

Election Timeline


  • February 26, 2010 - Deadline to file for candidacy
  • May 4, 2010 - Primary elections
  • June 22, 2010 - Primary runoff
  • November 2, 2010 - Election day
  • Latest Polls and Updates


    Conservative Ranking


    North Carolina is the 23rd most conservative state, voting for Obama in 2008 but 6.95% more Republican than the national average.

    Partisan Trend


    Based on voting patterns since 1992, North Carolina is trending DEMOCRAT in presidential elections.

    GOP Trend Ranking


    North Carolina ranks 24th among the 50 states.
     

    Senate Race
    Incumbent:  Republican incumbent Richard Burr seeks a second term in 2010.  He faced no primary opposition.

    GOP Candidates

  • Richard Burr - Incumbent  
  • Edward Burks
  • Bradford Jones
  • Larry Linney
  • DEM Candidates

  • Elaine Marshall - North Carolina Secretary of State  
  • Cal Cunningham, III - Former North Carolina State Senator
  • Susan Harris
  • Kenneth Lewis
  • Marcus Williams
  • Ann Worthy
  • Party nominee -

    Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.

     
    Governor's Race
    No race in 2010
     
    Competitive House Races

    District 2 (map)
    Incumbent:  Democratic incumbent Bob Etheridge seeks an 8th term in 2010.

    GOP Candidates

  • Renee Ellmers  
  • DEM Candidates

  • Bob Etheridge - Incumbent  
  • Party nominee -

    Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.

     

    District 7 (map)
    Incumbent:  Democratic incumbent Mike McIntyre seeks an 8th term in 2010.

    GOP Candidates

  • Ilario Pantano  
  • DEM Candidates

  • Mike McIntyre - Incumbent  
  • Party nominee -

    Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.

     

    District 8 (map)
    Incumbent:  Democratic incumbent Larry Kissell seeks a second term in 2010.  He faced primary opposition.

    GOP Candidates

  • Harold Johnson  
  • Timothy D'Annunzio
  • Lee Cornelison
  • Darrell Day
  • Lou Huddleston
  • Hal Jordon
  • DEM Candidates

  • Larry Kissell - Incumbent  
  • Nancy Clark Shakir
  • Party nominee -

    Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.

     

    District 11 (map)
    Incumbent:  Democratic incumbent Heath Shuler seeks a 3rd term in 2010.  He faced only minor primary opposition.

    GOP Candidates

  • Jeff Miller  
  • Dan Eichenbaum
  • Jake Howard
  • Ed Krause
  • Greg Newman
  • Kenny West
  • DEM Candidates

  • Heath Shuler - Incumbent  
  • Aixa Wilson
  • Party nominee -

    Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.

     
    Other House Races
    Projected winner listed first
  • District 1:  G.K. Butterfield (D)-inc vs. Ashley Woolard (R)
  • District 2:  Bob Etheridge (D)-inc vs. Renee Ellmers (R) - possibly competitive
  • District 3:  Walter Jones, Jr. (R)-inc vs. Johnny Rouse (D)
  • District 4:  David Price (D)-inc vs. William Lawson (R)
  • District 5:  Virginia Foxx (R)-inc vs. Billy Kennedy (D)
  • District 6:  Howard Coble (R)-inc vs. Sam Turner (D)
  • District 9:  Sue Myrick (R)-inc vs. Jeff Doctor (D)
  • District 10:  Patrick McHenry (R)-inc vs. Jeff Gregory (D)
  • District 12:  Melvin Watt (D)-inc vs. Greg Dority (R)
  • District 13:  Brad Miller (D)-inc vs. William Randall (R)
  •  
    Additional Information
    Current Partisan Breakdown
     
    National Delegation
      Senators 1 GOP, 1 DEM
      Representatives 5 GOP, 8 DEM
    State Government
      Governor DEM
      Lt. Governor DEM
      State Senate - DEM control 20 GOP, 30 DEM
      State House - DEM control 52 GOP, 68 DEM

    Current Office Holders


  • Governor:  Beverly Perdue (D) - 1st term, up for re-election in 2012
  • Lt. Governor:  Walter Dalton (D) - 1st term, up for re-election in 2012
  • Senior Senator:  Richard Burr (R) - 1st term, up for re-election in 2010
  • Junior Senator:  Kay Hagan (D) - 1st term, up for re-election in 2014
  • House District 1:  G.K. Butterfield (D) - 4th term
  • House District 2:  Bob Etheridge (D) - 7th term
  • House District 3:  Walter Jones, Jr. (R) - 8th term
  • House District 4:  David Price (D) - 11th term
  • House District 5:  Virginia Foxx (R) - 3rd term
  • House District 6:  Howard Coble (R) - 13th term
  • House District 7:  Mike McIntyre (D) - 7th term
  • House District 8:  Larry Kissell (D) - 1st term
  • House District 9:  Sue Myrick (R) - 8th term
  • House District 10:  Patrick McHenry (R) - 3rd term
  • House District 11:  Heath Shuler (D) - 2nd term
  • House District 12:  Melvin Watt (D) - 9th term
  • House District 13:  Brad Miller (D) - 4th term
  • Historical Partisan Snapshot


     
      Race 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008

    President Strong R -- Strong R -- Weak D

    Senate
    Class 2 -- Mod R -- -- Mod R
    Class 3 -- -- Mod R -- --

    Governor Mod D -- Strong D -- Weak D

    House 7 GOP
    5 DEM
    7 GOP
    6 DEM
    7 GOP
    6 DEM
    6 GOP
    7 DEM
    5 GOP
    8 DEM
    CD-1 Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D
    CD-2 Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D
    CD-3 Solid R Solid R Solid R Solid R Solid R
    CD-4 Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D
    CD-5 Solid R Solid R Solid R Strong R Solid R
    CD-6 Solid R Solid R Solid R Solid R Solid R
    CD-7 Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D
    CD-8 Strong R Strong R Strong R Weak R Strong D
    CD-9 Solid R Solid R Solid R Solid R Solid R
    CD-10 Solid R Solid R Solid R Solid R Solid R
    CD-11 Strong R Strong R Strong R Mod D Solid D
    CD-12 Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D
    CD-13 NA Strong D Solid D Solid D Solid D

    BOLD - party turnover
    Race ratings:
  • "Weak" - less than 5%
  • "Mod" - 5% to less than 10%
  • "Strong" - 10% to 15%
  • "Solid" - greater than 15%
  •  

    North Carolina Race Tracking
    Senate
    Richard Burr - inc
    vs
    Elaine Marshall
    Projected Winner
    House District 2
    Bob Etheridge - inc
    vs
    Renee Ellmers
    Projected Winner
    House District 7
    Mike McIntyre - inc
    vs
    Ilario Pantano
    Projected Winner
    House District 8
    Larry Kissell - inc
    vs
    Harold Johnson
    Projected Winner
    House District 11
    Heath Shuler - inc
    vs
    Jeff Miller
    Projected Winner
    Special Thanks To:

    Charlie Cook
    Cook Political


    Congressional Quarterly
    CQ Politics


    D.C. Finegold Sachs
    DC's Political Report


    Dave Leip
    U.S. Election Atlas


    David Wissing
    The Hedgehog Report


    Larry Sabato
    Crystal Ball


    Richard & Tony
    The Green Papers


    Rose Institute
    Redistricting in America


    Tom Bevan and John McIntyre
    RealClearPolitics

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