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| North Carolina |
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Latest Polls and Updates
Conservative Ranking
North Carolina is the 23rd most conservative state, voting
for Obama in 2008 but 6.95% more Republican than the national average.
Partisan Trend
Based on voting patterns since 1992, North Carolina is trending DEMOCRAT in presidential
elections.
GOP Trend Ranking
North Carolina ranks 24th among the 50 states.
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Incumbent: Republican incumbent Richard Burr seeks a second term in 2010. He faces no primary opposition.
GOP Candidates
Richard Burr - Incumbent
DEM Candidates
Elaine Marshall - North Carolina Secretary of State
Cal Cunningham, III - Former North Carolina State Senator
Malcolm Graham - North Carolina State Senator
Nathaniel Cooper
Susan Harris
John Hendrix
Kenneth Lewis
Marcus Williams
Ann Worthy
Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.
Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries
Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries
Preliminary Projection - Weak GOP Hold
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District 8
Incumbent: Democratic incumbent Larry Kissell seeks a second term in 2010. He faces primary opposition.
GOP Candidates
Lou Huddleston
Darrell Day
Lee Cornelison
Harold Johnson
Timothy D'Annunzio
Hal Jordon
Bob Palisin
Thomas Sweeney
DEM Candidates
Larry Kissell - Incumbent
Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.
Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries
Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries
Preliminary Projection - Mod DEM Hold
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Projected winner listed first
District 1: G.K. Butterfield? (D)-inc vs. ??? (R)
District 2: Bob Etheridge (D)-inc vs. ??? (R)
District 3: Walter Jones, Jr.? (R)-inc vs. ??? (D)
District 4: David Price (D)-inc vs. ??? (R)
District 5: Virginia Foxx? (R)-inc vs. Billy Kennedy (D)
District 6: Howard Coble? (R)-inc vs. Sam Turner (D)
District 7: Mike McIntyre (D)-inc vs. ??? (R)
District 9: Sue Myrick (R)-inc vs. Jeff Doctor (D)
District 10: Patrick McHenry? (R)-inc vs. ??? (D)
District 11: Heath Shuler? (D)-inc vs. ??? (R) - possibly competitive
District 12: Melvin Watt (D)-inc vs. ??? (R)
District 13: Brad Miller (D)-inc vs. ??? (R)
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Election Timeline
February 26, 2010 - Deadline to file for candidacy
May 4, 2010 - Primary elections
November 2, 2010 - Election day
Current Partisan Breakdown
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| National Delegation |
| Senators |
1 GOP, 1 DEM |
| Representatives |
5 GOP, 8 DEM |
| State Government |
| Governor |
DEM |
| Lt. Governor |
DEM |
| State Senate - DEM control |
20 GOP, 30 DEM |
| State House - DEM control |
52 GOP, 68 DEM |
Current Office Holders
Governor: Beverly Perdue (D) - 1st term, up for re-election in 2012
Lt. Governor: Walter Dalton (D) - 1st term, up for re-election in 2012
Senior Senator: Richard Burr (R) - 1st term, up for re-election in 2010
Junior Senator: Kay Hagan (D) - 1st term, up for re-election in 2014
House District 1: G.K. Butterfield (D) - 4th term
House District 2: Bob Etheridge (D) - 7th term
House District 3: Walter Jones, Jr. (R) - 8th term
House District 4: David Price (D) - 11th term
House District 5: Virginia Foxx (R) - 3rd term
House District 6: Howard Coble (R) - 13th term
House District 7: Mike McIntyre (D) - 7th term
House District 8: Larry Kissell (D) - 1st term
House District 9: Sue Myrick (R) - 8th term
House District 10: Patrick McHenry (R) - 3rd term
House District 11: Heath Shuler (D) - 2nd term
House District 12: Melvin Watt (D) - 9th term
House District 13: Brad Miller (D) - 4th term
Historical Partisan Snapshot
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| Race |
2000 |
2002 |
2004 |
2006 |
2008 |
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| President |
Strong R |
-- |
Strong R |
-- |
Weak D |
Senate |
| Class 2 |
-- |
Mod R |
-- |
-- |
Mod R |
| Class 3 |
-- |
-- |
Mod R |
-- |
-- |
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| Governor |
Mod D |
-- |
Strong D |
-- |
Weak D |
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| House |
7 GOP 5 DEM |
7 GOP 6 DEM |
7 GOP 6 DEM |
6 GOP 7 DEM |
5 GOP 8 DEM |
| CD-1 |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
| CD-2 |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
| CD-3 |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
| CD-4 |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
| CD-5 |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Strong R |
Solid R |
| CD-6 |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
| CD-7 |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
| CD-8 |
Strong R |
Strong R |
Strong R |
Weak R |
Strong D |
| CD-9 |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
| CD-10 |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
| CD-11 |
Strong R |
Strong R |
Strong R |
Mod D |
Solid D |
| CD-12 |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
| CD-13 |
NA |
Strong D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
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| BOLD - party turnover |
Race ratings:
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"Weak" - less than 5%
"Mod" - 5% to less than 10%
"Strong" - 10% to 15%
"Solid" - greater than 15%
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