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2010 Projections

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North Dakota  
 
General Information
Latest Polls and Updates

Conservative Ranking


North Dakota is the 17th most conservative state, voting 15.87% more Republican in the 2008 presidential elections than the national average.

Partisan Trend


Based on voting patterns since 1992, North Dakota is trending DEMOCRAT in presidential elections.

GOP Trend Ranking


North Dakota ranks 21st among the 50 states.
 


Senate Race
OPEN SEAT:  Democratic incumbent Bryon Dorgan is not seeking a 4th term in 2010.

GOP Candidates

  • John Hoeven - Governor of North Dakota
  • DEM Candidates

  • Pam Gulleson
  • Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.

    Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries

    Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries

    Preliminary Projection - Solid GOP Gain

     
    Governor's Race
    No race in 2010
     
    Competitive House Races

    At-large District
    Incumbent:  Democratic incumbent Earl Pomeroy seeks a 10th term in 2010.  He currently faces no primary opposition.

    GOP Candidates

  • Rick Berg - North Dakota State Representative
  • Paul Schaffner
  • Kevin Cramer
  • DEM Candidates

  • Earl Pomeroy - Incumbent
  • Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.

    Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries

    Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries

    Preliminary Projection - Mod DEM Hold

     
    Other House Races
    None
     
    Additional Information

    Election Timeline


  • April 9, 2010 - Deadline to file for candidacy
  • June 8, 2010 - Primary elections
  • November 2, 2010 - Election day
  • Current Partisan Breakdown


     
    National Delegation
      Senators 2 DEM
      Representatives 1 DEM
    State Government
      Governor GOP
      Lt. Governor - tied to Governor GOP
      State Senate - GOP control 26 GOP, 21 DNL
      State House - GOP control 58 GOP, 36 DNL

    Current Office Holders


  • Governor:  John Hoeven (R) - 3rd term, next election in 2012 (running for Senate in 2010)
  • Lt. Governor:  Jack Dalrymple (R) - 3rd term, tied to Governor
  • Senior Senator:  Kent Conrad (D) - 4th term, up for re-election in 2012
  • Junior Senator:  Byron Dorgan (D) - 3rd term, not seeking re-election in 2010
  • House District 1:  Earl Pomeroy (D) - 9th term
  • Historical Partisan Snapshot


     
      Race 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008

    President Solid R -- Solid R -- Mod R

    Senate
    Class 1 Solid D -- -- Solid D --
    Class 3 -- -- Solid D -- --

    Governor Strong R -- Solid R -- Solid R

    House 1 DEM 1 DEM 1 DEM 1 DEM 1 DEM
    CD-AL Mod D Weak D Solid D Solid D Solid D

    BOLD - party turnover
    Race ratings:
  • "Weak" - less than 5%
  • "Mod" - 5% to less than 10%
  • "Strong" - 10% to 15%
  • "Solid" - greater than 15%
  •  

    North Dakota Race Tracking
    Senate (open)
    undetermined
    vs
    John Hoeven
    Preliminary
    Solid GOP Gain
     
    House District AL
    Earl Pomeroy - inc
    vs
    undetermined
    Preliminary
    Mod DEM Hold
     
    Special Thanks To:

    Charlie Cook
    Cook Political


    Congressional Quarterly
    CQ Politics


    D.C. Finegold Sachs
    DC's Political Report


    Dave Leip
    U.S. Election Atlas


    Larry Sabato
    Crystal Ball


    Tom Bevan and John McIntyre
    RealClearPolitics

    EP's Weekly Poll

    Previous Polls
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