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Nebraska  
 
General Information

Election Timeline


  • February 15, 2010 - Deadline to file for candidacy
  • May 11, 2010 - Primary elections
  • November 2, 2010 - Election day
  • Latest Polls and Updates


    Conservative Ranking


    Nebraska is the 11th most conservative state, voting 22.2% more Republican in the 2008 presidential elections than the national average.

    Partisan Trend


    Based on voting patterns since 1992, Nebraska is trending DEMOCRAT in presidential elections.

    GOP Trend Ranking


    Nebraska ranks 23rd among the 50 states.
     


    Senate Race
    No race in 2010
     
    Governor's Race
    Incumbent:  Republican incumbent Dave Heineman is up for re-election for the first time in 2010.  He faced only minor primary opposition.

    GOP Candidates

  • Dave Heineman - Incumbent  
  • Paul Anderson
  • Christopher Nathan Geary
  • DEM Candidates

  • Dave Meister  
  • Party nominee -

    Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.

     
    Competitive House Races

    District 2 (map)
    Incumbent:  Republican incumbent Lee Terry seeks a 7th term in 2010.  He faced only minor primary opposition.

    GOP Candidates

  • Lee Terry - Incumbent  
  • Matt Sakalosky
  • DEM Candidates

  • Thomas White - Nebraska State Senator  
  • Party nominee -

    Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.

     
    Other House Races
    Projected winner listed first
  • District 1:  Jeff Fortenberry (R)-inc vs. Ivy Harper (D)
  • District 3:  Adrian Smith (R)-inc vs. Rebekah Davis (D)
  •  
    Additional Information
    Current Partisan Breakdown
     
    National Delegation
      Senators 1 GOP, 1 DEM
      Representatives 3 GOP
    State Government
      Governor GOP
      Lt. Governor - tied to Governor GOP
      State Senate 49 members

    Current Office Holders


  • Governor:  Dave Heinaman (R) - 1st term, up for re-election in 2010
  • Lt. Governor:  Rick Sheehy (R) - 1st term, tied to Governor
  • Senior Senator:  Ben Nelson (D) - 2nd term, up for re-election in 2012
  • Junior Senator:  Mike Johanns (R) - 1st term, up for re-election in 2014
  • House District 1:  Jeff Fortenberry (R) - 3rd term
  • House District 2:  Lee Terry (R) - 6th term
  • House District 3:  Adrian Smith (R) - 2nd term
  • Historical Partisan Snapshot


     
      Race 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008

    President Solid R -- Solid R -- Solid R

    Senate
    Class 1 Weak D -- -- Solid D --
    Class 2 -- Solid R -- -- Solid R

    Governor -- Solid R -- Solid R --

    House 3 GOP 3 GOP 3 GOP 3 GOP
    CD-1 Solid R Solid R Strong R Solid R Solid R
    CD-2 Solid R Solid R Solid R Strong R Weak R
    CD-3 Solid R Solid R Solid R Strong R Solid R

    BOLD - party turnover
    Race ratings:
  • "Weak" - less than 5%
  • "Mod" - 5% to less than 10%
  • "Strong" - 10% to 15%
  • "Solid" - greater than 15%
  •  

    Nebraska Race Tracking
    Governor
    Dave Heineman - inc
    vs
    Dave Meister
    Projected Winner
    House District 2
    Lee Terry - inc
    vs
    Tom White
    Projected Winner
    Special Thanks To:

    Charlie Cook
    Cook Political


    Congressional Quarterly
    CQ Politics


    D.C. Finegold Sachs
    DC's Political Report


    Dave Leip
    U.S. Election Atlas


    David Wissing
    The Hedgehog Report


    Larry Sabato
    Crystal Ball


    Richard & Tony
    The Green Papers


    Tom Bevan and John McIntyre
    RealClearPolitics

    EP's Weekly Poll

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