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| New Jersey |
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Latest Polls and Updates
Conservative Ranking
New Jersey is the 15th least conservative state, voting
8.26% less Republican in the 2008 presidential elections than the national average.
Partisan Trend
Based on voting patterns since 1992, New Jersey is trending DEMOCRAT in presidential
elections.
GOP Trend Ranking
New Jersey ranks 43th among the 50 states.
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District 3
Incumbent: Democratic incumbent John Adler seeks a second term in 2010. He faces only minor primary opposition.
GOP Candidates
Scott Rudder - New Jersey State Assemblyman
Brian Rumpf - New Jersey State Assemblyman
John Culbertson
Virginia Haines
Maurice Hill
Jack Kelly
Gerry Little
Justin Murphy
Joseph Rullo
Jon Runyan
Joseph Vicari
DEM Candidates
John Adler - Incumbent
Barry Bendar
Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.
Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries
Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries
Preliminary Projection - Mod DEM Hold
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Projected winner listed first
District 1: Robert Andrews (D) (currently unopposed)
District 2: Frank LoBiondo (R)-inc vs. Gerald Sakura (D)
District 4: Christopher Smith? (R)-inc vs. Howard Kleinhendler (D)
District 5: Scott Garrett (R)-inc vs. Dennis Shulman (D)
District 6: Frank Pallone, Jr. (D)-inc (currently unopposed)
District 7: Leonard Lance (R)-inc vs. Bruce Baker (R)
District 8: Bill Pascrell, Jr. (D)-inc vs. Danielle Staub (R)
District 9: Steven Rothman(D)-inc (currently unopposed)
District 10: Donald Payne (D)-inc (currently unopposed)
District 11: Rodney Frelinghuysen (R)-inc (currently unopposed)
District 12: Rush Holt? (D)-inc vs. ??? (R)
District 13: Albio Sires (D) (currently unopposed)
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Election Timeline
April 12, 2010 - Deadline to file for candidacy
June 8, 2010 - Primary elections
November 2, 2010 - Election day
Current Partisan Breakdown
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| National Delegation |
| Senators |
2 DEM |
| Representatives |
5 GOP, 8 DEM |
| State Government |
| Governor |
GOP |
| State Senate - DEM control |
17 GOP, 23 DEM |
| State House - DEM control |
33 GOP, 47 DEM |
Current Office Holders
Governor: Chris Christie (R) - 1st term, up for re-election in 2013
Senior Senator: Frank Lautenberg (D) - 4th term, up for re-election in 2014
Junior Senator: Robert Menendez (D) - 1st term, up for re-election in 2012
House District 1: Robert Andrews (D) - 10th term
House District 2: Frank LoBiondo (R) - 8th term
House District 3: John Adler (D) - 1st term
House District 4: Christopher Smith (R) - 15th term
House District 5: Scott Garrett (R) - 4th term
House District 6: Frank Pallone, Jr. (D) - 12th term
House District 7: Leonard Lance (R) - 1st term
House District 8: Bill Pascrell, Jr. (D) - 7th term
House District 9: Steven Rothman(D) - 7th term
House District 10: Donald Payne (D) - 11th term
House District 11: Rodney Frelinghuysen (R) - 8th term
House District 12: Rush Holt (D) - 6th term
House District 13: Albio Sires (D) - 2nd term
Historical Partisan Snapshot
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| Race |
2000 |
2002 |
2004 |
2006 |
2008 |
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| President |
Solid D |
-- |
Mod D |
-- |
Solid D |
Senate |
| Class 1 |
Weak D |
-- |
-- |
Mod D |
-- |
| Class 2 |
-- |
Strong D |
-- |
-- |
Strong D |
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Governor (2001-2009) |
Mod D |
-- |
Strong D |
-- |
Weak R |
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| House |
6 GOP 7 DEM |
6 GOP 7 DEM |
6 GOP 7 DEM |
6 GOP 7 DEM |
5 GOP 8 DEM |
| CD-1 |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
| CD-2 |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
| CD-3 |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Weak D |
| CD-4 |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
| CD-5 |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Strong R |
Strong R |
| CD-6 |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
| CD-7 |
Weak R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Weak R |
Mod R |
| CD-8 |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
| CD-9 |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
| CD-10 |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
| CD-11 |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
| CD-12 |
Weak D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
| CD-13 |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
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| BOLD - party turnover
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Race ratings:
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"Weak" - less than 5%
"Mod" - 5% to less than 10%
"Strong" - 10% to 15%
"Solid" - greater than 15%
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