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New Jersey  
 
General Information

Election Timeline


  • April 12, 2010 - Deadline to file for candidacy
  • June 8, 2010 - Primary elections
  • November 2, 2010 - Election day
  • Latest Polls and Updates


    Conservative Ranking


    New Jersey is the 15th least conservative state, voting 8.26% less Republican in the 2008 presidential elections than the national average.

    Partisan Trend


    Based on voting patterns since 1992, New Jersey is trending DEMOCRAT in presidential elections.

    GOP Trend Ranking


    New Jersey ranks 43th among the 50 states.
     

    Senate Race
    No race in 2010
     
    Governor's Race
    No race in 2010
     
    Competitive House Races

    District 3 (map)
    Incumbent:  Democratic incumbent John Adler seeks a second term in 2010.  He faced only minor primary opposition.

    GOP Candidates

  • Jon Runyan  
  • Justin Murphy
  • DEM Candidates

  • John Adler - Incumbent  
  • Barry Bendar
  • Party nominee -

    Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.

     
    Other House Races
    Projected winner listed first
  • District 1:  Robert Andrews (D) vs. Dale Glading (R)
  • District 2:  Frank LoBiondo (R)-inc vs. Gary Stein (D)
  • District 4:  Christopher Smith (R)-inc vs. Howard Kleinhendler (D)
  • District 5:  Scott Garrett (R)-inc vs. Tod Theise (D)
  • District 6:  Frank Pallone, Jr. (D)-inc vs. Anna Little (R) - possibly competitive
  • District 7:  Leonard Lance (R)-inc vs. Edward Potosnak, III (D)
  • District 8:  Bill Pascrell, Jr. (D)-inc vs. Roland Straten (R)
  • District 9:  Steven Rothman (D)-inc vs. John Aslanian (R)
  • District 10:  Donald Payne (D)-inc vs. Michael Alonso (R)
  • District 11:  Rodney Frelinghuysen (R)-inc vs. Douglas Herbert (D)
  • District 12:  Rush Holt (D)-inc vs. Scott Sipprelle (R) - possibly competitive
  • District 13:  Albio Sires (D) vs. Henrietta Dwyer (R)
  •  
    Additional Information
    Current Partisan Breakdown
     
    National Delegation
      Senators 2 DEM
      Representatives 5 GOP, 8 DEM
    State Government
      Governor GOP
      State Senate - DEM control 17 GOP, 23 DEM
      State House - DEM control 33 GOP, 47 DEM

    Current Office Holders


  • Governor:  Chris Christie (R) - 1st term, up for re-election in 2013
  • Senior Senator:  Frank Lautenberg (D) - 4th term, up for re-election in 2014
  • Junior Senator:  Robert Menendez (D) - 1st term, up for re-election in 2012
  • House District 1:  Robert Andrews (D) - 10th term
  • House District 2:  Frank LoBiondo (R) - 8th term
  • House District 3:  John Adler (D) - 1st term
  • House District 4:  Christopher Smith (R) - 15th term
  • House District 5:  Scott Garrett (R) - 4th term
  • House District 6:  Frank Pallone, Jr. (D) - 12th term
  • House District 7:  Leonard Lance (R) - 1st term
  • House District 8:  Bill Pascrell, Jr. (D) - 7th term
  • House District 9:  Steven Rothman(D) - 7th term
  • House District 10:  Donald Payne (D) - 11th term
  • House District 11:  Rodney Frelinghuysen (R) - 8th term
  • House District 12:  Rush Holt (D) - 6th term
  • House District 13:  Albio Sires (D) - 2nd term
  • Historical Partisan Snapshot


     
      Race 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008

    President Solid D -- Mod D -- Solid D

    Senate
    Class 1 Weak D -- -- Mod D --
    Class 2 -- Strong D -- -- Strong D

    Governor
    (2001-2009)
    Mod D -- Strong D -- Weak R

    House 6 GOP
    7 DEM
    6 GOP
    7 DEM
    6 GOP
    7 DEM
    6 GOP
    7 DEM
    5 GOP
    8 DEM
    CD-1 Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D
    CD-2 Solid R Solid R Solid R Solid R Solid R
    CD-3 Solid R Solid R Solid R Solid R Weak D
    CD-4 Solid R Solid R Solid R Solid R Solid R
    CD-5 Solid R Solid R Solid R Strong R Strong R
    CD-6 Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D
    CD-7 Weak R Solid R Solid R Weak R Mod R
    CD-8 Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D
    CD-9 Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D
    CD-10 Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D
    CD-11 Solid R Solid R Solid R Solid R Solid R
    CD-12 Weak D Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D
    CD-13 Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D

    BOLD - party turnover
    Race ratings:
  • "Weak" - less than 5%
  • "Mod" - 5% to less than 10%
  • "Strong" - 10% to 15%
  • "Solid" - greater than 15%
  •  

    New Jersey Race Tracking
    House District 3
    John Adler - inc
    vs
    Jon Runyan
    Projected Winner
    Special Thanks To:

    Charlie Cook
    Cook Political


    Congressional Quarterly
    CQ Politics


    D.C. Finegold Sachs
    DC's Political Report


    Dave Leip
    U.S. Election Atlas


    David Wissing
    The Hedgehog Report


    Larry Sabato
    Crystal Ball


    Richard & Tony
    The Green Papers


    Rose Institute
    Redistricting in America


    Tom Bevan and John McIntyre
    RealClearPolitics

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