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New Mexico  
 
General Information

Election Timeline


  • February 9, 2010 - Deadline to file for candidacy
  • June 1, 2010 - Primary elections
  • November 2, 2010 - Election day
  • Latest Polls and Updates


    Conservative Ranking


    New Mexico is the 16th least conservative state, voting 7.86% less Republican in the 2008 presidential elections than the national average.

    Partisan Trend


    Based on voting patterns since 1992, New Mexico is trending DEMOCRAT in presidential elections.

    GOP Trend Ranking


    New Mexico ranks 30th among the 50 states.
     

    Senate Race
    No race in 2010
     
    Governor's Race
    OPEN SEAT:  Two-term Democratic incumbent Bill Richardson is term-limited in 2010.

    GOP Candidates

  • Susana Martinez  
  • Janice Arnold-Jones - New Mexico State Representative
  • Pete Domenici, Jr.
  • Douglas Turner
  • Allen Weh
  • DEM Candidates

  • Diane Denish - New Mexico Lt. Governor  
  • Party nominee -

    Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.

     
    Competitive House Races

    District 1 (map)
    Incumbent:  Democratic incumbent Martin Heinrich seeks re-election for the first time in 2010.  He faced no primary opposition.

    GOP Candidates

  • Jon Barela - Former U.S. Representative from New Mexico  
  • DEM Candidates

  • Martin Heinrich - Incumbent  
  • Party nominee -

    Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.

     

    District 2 (map)
    Incumbent:  Democratic incumbent Harry Teague seeks re-election for the first time in 2010.  He faced no primary opposition.

    GOP Candidates

  • Steve Pearce - Former U.S. Representative from New Mexico  
  • Cliff Pirtle
  • DEM Candidates

  • Harry Teague - Incumbent  
  • Party nominee -

    Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.

     
    Other House Races
    Projected winner listed first
  • District 3:  Ray Lujan, Jr. (D) vs. Tom Mullins (R)
  •  
    Additional Information
    Current Partisan Breakdown
     
    National Delegation
      Senators 2 DEM
      Representatives 3 DEM
    State Government
      Governor DEM
      Lt. Governor - tied to Governor DEM
      State Senate - DEM control 15 GOP, 27 DEM
      State House - DEM control 25 GOP, 45 DEM

    Current Office Holders


  • Governor:  Bill Richardson (D) - 2nd term, term-limited in 2010
  • Lt. Governor:  Diane Denish (D) - 2nd term, tied to Governor
  • Senior Senator:  Jeff Bingaman, Jr. (D) - 5th term, up for re-election in 2012
  • Junior Senator:  Tom Udall (D) - 1st term, up for re-election in 2014
  • House District 1:  Martin Heinrich (D) - 1st term
  • House District 2:  Harry Teague (D) - 1st term
  • House District 3:  Ray Lujan, Jr. (D) - 1st term
  • Historical Partisan Snapshot


     
      Race 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008

    President Weak D -- Weak R -- Solid D

    Senate
    Class 1 Solid D -- -- Solid D --
    Class 2 -- Solid R -- -- Solid D

    Governor -- Solid D -- Solid D --

    House 2 GOP
    1 DEM
    2 GOP
    1 DEM
    2 GOP
    1 DEM
    2 GOP
    1 DEM
    3 DEM
    CD-1 Mod R Strong R Mod R Weak R Strong D
    CD-2 Solid R Strong R Solid R Solid R Strong D
    CD-3 Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D
    BOLD - party turnover
    Race ratings:
  • "Weak" - less than 5%
  • "Mod" - 5% to less than 10%
  • "Strong" - 10% to 15%
  • "Solid" - greater than 15%
  •  

    New Mexico Race Tracking
    Governor (open)
    Diane Denish
    vs
    Susana Martinez
    Projected Winner
    House District 1
    Martin Heinrich - inc
    vs
    Jon Barela
    Projected Winner
    House District 2
    Harry Teague - inc
    vs
    Steve Pearce
    Projected Winner
    Special Thanks To:

    Charlie Cook
    Cook Political


    Congressional Quarterly
    CQ Politics


    D.C. Finegold Sachs
    DC's Political Report


    Dave Leip
    U.S. Election Atlas


    David Wissing
    The Hedgehog Report


    Larry Sabato
    Crystal Ball


    Richard & Tony
    The Green Papers


    Rose Institute
    Redistricting in America


    Tom Bevan and John McIntyre
    RealClearPolitics

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