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| Ohio |
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Latest Polls and Updates
Conservative Ranking
Ohio is the 26th most conservative state, voting
for Obama in 2008 but 2.69% more Republican than the national average.
Partisan Trend
Based on voting patterns since 1992, Ohio is trending DEMOCRAT in presidential
elections.
GOP Trend Ranking
Ohio ranks 27th among the 50 states.
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OPEN SEAT: Two-term Republican incumbent George Voinovich is retiring. He is not running for re-election in 2010.
GOP Candidates
Rob Portman - Former U.S. Representative from Ohio
DEM Candidates
Lee Fisher - Ohio Lt. Governor
Jennifer Brunner - Ohio Secretary of State
Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.
Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries
Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries
Preliminary Projection - Weak GOP Hold
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Incumbent: Democratic incumbent Ted Strickland seeks a second term in 2010. He faces no primary opposition.
GOP Candidates
John Kasich - Former U.S. Representative from Ohio
DEM Candidates
Ted Strickland - Incumbent
Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.
Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries
Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries
Preliminary Projection - Weak GOP Gain
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District 1
Incumbent: Democratic incumbent Steve Driehaus seeks a 2nd term in 2010. He faces only minor primary opposition.
GOP Candidates
Steve Chabot
DEM Candidates
Steve Driehaus
Eric Wilson
Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.
Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries
Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries
Preliminary Projection - Weak GOP Gain
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District 2
Incumbent: Republican incumbent Jean Schmidt seeks a 4th term in 2010. She faces primary opposition.
GOP Candidates
Jean Schmidt - Incumbent
Bryan Hawkins - Milford Town Councilor
Michael Kilburn - Warren County Commissioner
DEM Candidates
David Krikorian
Jim Parker
Victories Wuslin
Surya Yalamanchili
Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.
Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries
Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries
Preliminary Projection - Mod GOP Hold
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District 12
Incumbent: Republican incumbent Patrick Tiberi seeks a 6th term in 2010. He currently faces no primary opposition.
GOP Candidates
Patrick Tiberi - Incumbent
Andrew Kuzowski
DEM Candidates
Paula Brooks - Franklin County Commissioner
Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.
Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries
Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries
Preliminary Projection - Mod GOP Hold
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District 15
Incumbent: Democrat incumbent Mary Jo Kilroy seeks a 2nd term in 2010. She currently faces no primary opposition.
GOP Candidates
Steve Stivers - Former Ohio State Senator
John Adams
DEM Candidates
Mary Jo Kilroy - Incumbent
Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.
Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries
Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries
Preliminary Projection - Weak GOP Gain
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District 16
Incumbent: Democratic incumbent John Boccieri seeks a 2nd term in 2010. He currently faces no primary opposition.
GOP Candidates
Matt Miller - Ashland County Commissioner
Jim Renacci
Kevin Kapel
Paul Schiffer
Herbert Smith
DEM Candidates
John Boccieri - Incumbent
Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.
Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries
Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries
Preliminary Projection - Mod DEM Hold
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District 18
Incumbent: Democratic incumbent Zack Space seeks a 2nd term in 2010. He currently faces no primary opposition.
GOP Candidates
Bob Gibbs - Ohio State Senator
Beau Bromberg
Dave Daubenmire
Ron Hood - Former Ohio State Representative
Hombre Michael Liggett
Fred Dailey
Michael Royer
Helen Haskett Wolfe
Jeanette Moll
DEM Candidates
Zack Space - Incumbent
Mark Patrone
Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.
Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries
Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries
Preliminary Projection - Mod DEM Hold
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Projected winner listed first
District 3: Mike Turner? (R)-inc vs. Mark MacNealey (D)
District 4: Jim Jordan (R)-inc (unopposed)
District 5: Bob Latta (R)-inc (unopposed)
District 6: Charlie Wilson? (D)-inc vs. ??? (R) - possibly competitive
District 7: Steve Austria (R)-inc (unopposed)
District 8: John Boehner? (R)-inc vs. Justin Coussoule (D)
District 9: Marcy Kaptur? (D)-inc vs. ??? (R)
District 10: Dennis Kucinich (D)-inc vs. ??? (R)
District 11: Marcia Fudge? (D)-inc vs. Matt Brakey (R)
District 13: Betty Sutton? (D) vs. ??? (R) - possibly competitive
District 14: Steven LaTourette (R)-inc vs. ??? (D)
District 17: Tim Ryan? (D)-inc ??? (R)
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Election Timeline
February 18, 2010 - Deadline to file for candidacy
May 4, 2010 - Primary elections
November 2, 2010 - Election day
Current Partisan Breakdown
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| National Delegation |
| Senators |
1 GOP, 1 DEM |
| Representatives |
8 GOP, 10 DEM |
| State Government |
| Governor |
DEM |
| Lt. Governor - tied to Governor |
DEM |
| State Senate - GOP control |
21 GOP, 12 DEM |
| State House - DEM control |
46 GOP, 53 DEM |
Current Office Holders
Governor: Ted Strickland (D) - 1st term, up for re-election in 2010
Lt. Governor: Lee Fisher (D) - 1st term, tied to Governor (running for Senate)
Senior Senator: George Voinovich (R) - 2nd term, not seeking re-election in 2010
Junior Senator: Sherrod Brown (D) - 1st term, up for re-election in 2012
House District 1: Steve Driehaus (D) - 1st term
House District 2: Jean Schmidt (R) - 3rd term
House District 3: Mike Turner (R) - 4th term
House District 4: Jim Jordan (R) - 2nd term
House District 5: Bob Latta (R) - 2nd term
House District 6: Charles Wilson (D) - 2nd term
House District 7: Steve Austria (R) - 1st term
House District 8: John Boehner (R) - 10th term
House District 9: Marcy Kaptur (D) - 14th term (might retire)
House District 10: Dennis Kucinich (D) - 7th term
House District 11: Marcia Fudge (D) - 1st term
House District 12: Pat Tiberi (R) - 5th term
House District 13: Betty Sutton (D) - 2nd term
House District 14: Steven LaTourette (R) - 7th term
House District 15: Mary Jo Kilroy (D) - 1st term
House District 16: John Boccieri (D) - 1st term
House District 17: Tim Ryan (D) - 4th term
House District 18: Zack Space (D) - 2nd term
Historical Partisan Snapshot
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| Race |
2000 |
2002 |
2004 |
2006 |
2008 |
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| President |
Weak R |
-- |
Weak R |
-- |
Mod D |
Senate |
| Class 1 |
Solid R |
-- |
-- |
Strong D |
-- |
| Class 3 |
-- |
-- |
Solid R |
-- |
-- |
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| Governor |
-- |
Solid R |
-- |
Solid D |
-- |
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| House |
11 GOP
8 DEM |
12 GOP
6 DEM |
12 GOP
6 DEM |
11 GOP
7 DEM |
8 GOP
10 DEM |
| CD-1 |
Mod R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Mod R |
Weak D |
| CD-2 |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Weak R |
Mod R |
| CD-3 |
Solid D |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
| CD-4 |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
| CD-5 |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
| CD-6 |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
| CD-7 |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
| CD-8 |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
| CD-9 |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
| CD-10 |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
| CD-11 |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
| CD-12 |
Mod R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Strong R |
| CD-13 |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
| CD-14 |
Solid D |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
| CD-15 |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Weak R |
Weak D |
| CD-16 |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Strong D |
| CD-17 |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
| CD-18 |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid D |
Solid D |
| CD-19 |
Solid R |
NA |
NA |
NA |
NA |
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BOLD - party turnover
Party changes not bolded resulted from redistricting before the 2002 election. |
Race ratings:
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"Weak" - less than 5%
"Mod" - 5% to less than 10%
"Strong" - 10% to 15%
"Solid" - greater than 15%
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