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| Oklahoma |
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Latest Polls and Updates
Conservative Ranking
Oklahoma is the second most conservative state, voting
38.57% more Republican in the 2008 presidential elections than the national average.
Partisan Trend
Based on voting patterns since 1992, Oklahoma is trending REPUBLICAN in presidential
elections.
GOP Trend Ranking
Oklahoma ranks 5th among the 50 states.
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Incumbent: Republican incumbent Tom Coburn seeks a 2nd term in 2010. He faces no primary opposition.
GOP Candidates
Tom Coburn - Incumbent
DEM Candidates
None at present
Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.
Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries
Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries
Preliminary Projection - Strong GOP Hold
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OPEN SEAT: Two-term Democratic incumbent Brad Henry is term-limited in 2010.
GOP Candidates
Mary Fallin - U.S. Representative from Oklahoma
Randy Brogdon - Oklahoma State Senator
Robert Hubbard
DEM Candidates
Jari Askins - Oklahoma Lt. Governor
Drew Edmondson - Oklahoma Attorney General
Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.
Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries
Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries
Preliminary Projection - Mod GOP Gain
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No competitive races in 2010
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Projected winner listed first
District 1: John Sullivan? (R)-inc vs. ??? (D)
District 2: Dan Boren (D)-inc (currently unopposed)
District 3: Frank Lucas (R)-inc (currently unopposed)
District 4: Tom Cole (R)-inc (currently unopposed)
District 5: OPEN: ??? (R) vs. ??? (D)
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Election Timeline
June 9, 2010 - Deadline to file for candidacy
July 27, 2010 - Primary elections
August 24, 2010 - Primary runoff
November 2, 2010 - Election day
Current Partisan Breakdown
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| National Delegation |
| Senators |
2 GOP |
| Representatives |
4 GOP, 1 DEM |
| State Government |
| Governor |
DEM |
| Lt. Governor |
DEM |
| State Senate - GOP control |
26 GOP, 22 DEM |
| State House - GOP control |
62 GOP, 39 DEM |
Current Office Holders
Governor: Brad Henry (D) - 2nd term, term-limited in 2010
Lt. Governor: Jari Askins (D) - 1st term, running for Governor in 2010
Senior Senator: Jim Inhofe (R) - 3rd term, up for re-election in 2014
Junior Senator: Tom Coburn (R) - 1st term, up for re-election in 2010
House District 1: John Sullivan (R) - 5th term
House District 2: Dan Boren (D) - 3rd term
House District 3: Frank Lucas (R) - 9th term
House District 4: Tom Cole (R) - 4th term
House District 5: Mary Fallin (R) - 2nd term (running for Governor)
Historical Partisan Snapshot
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| Race |
2000 |
2002 |
2004 |
2006 |
2008 |
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| President |
Solid R |
-- |
Solid R |
-- |
Solid R |
Senate |
| Class 2 |
-- |
Solid R |
-- |
-- |
Solid R |
| Class 3 |
-- |
-- |
Mod R |
-- |
-- |
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| Governor |
-- |
Weak D |
-- |
Strong D |
-- |
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| House |
5 GOP
1 DEM |
4 GOP
1 DEM |
4 GOP
1 DEM |
4 GOP
1 DEM |
| CD-1 |
Solid R |
Strong R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
| CD-2 |
Strong D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
| CD-3 |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
| CD-4 |
Mod R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
| CD-5 |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
| CD-6 |
Solid R |
NA |
NA |
NA |
NA |
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| BOLD - party turnover |
Race ratings:
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"Weak" - less than 5%
"Mod" - 5% to less than 10%
"Strong" - 10% to 15%
"Solid" - greater than 15%
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