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| Oregon |
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Latest Polls and Updates
Conservative Ranking
Oregon is the 14th least conservative state, voting
9.08% less Republican in the 2008 presidential elections than the national average.
Partisan Trend
Based on voting patterns since 1992, Oregon is trending DEMOCRAT in presidential
elections.
GOP Trend Ranking
Oregon ranks 37th among the 50 states.
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Incumbent: Democratic incumbent Ron Wyden seeks a 4th in 2010. He faces only minor primary opposition.
GOP Candidates
Thomas Stutzman
DEM Candidates
Ron Wyden - Incumbent
Pavel Goberman
Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.
Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries
Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries
Preliminary Projection - Solid DEM Hold
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OPEN SEAT: Two-term Democratic incumbent Ted Kulongoski is term-limited in 2010.
GOP Candidates
John Lim - Former Oregon State Senator
Allen Alley
Chris Dudley
Bill Sizemore
Jerry Wilson
DEM Candidates
Bill Bradbury - Former Oregon Secretary of State
John Kitzhaber - Former Governor of Oregon
Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.
Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries
Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries
Preliminary Projection - Mod DEM Hold
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No competitive races in 2010
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Projected winner listed first
District 1: David Wu (D)-inc vs. ??? (R) - possibly competitive
District 2: Greg Walden (R)-inc (currently unopposed)
District 3: Earl Blumenauer (D)-inc (currently unopposed)
District 4: Pete DeFazio (D)-inc vs. Sid Leiken (R)
District 5: Kurt Schrader (D)-inc vs. Mike Erickson (R) - possibly competitive
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Election Timeline
March 9, 2010 - Deadline to file for candidacy
May 18, 2010 - Primary elections
November 2, 2010 - Election day
Current Partisan Breakdown
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| National Delegation |
| Senators |
2 DEM |
| Representatives |
1 GOP, 4 DEM |
| State Government |
| Governor |
DEM |
| State Senate - DEM control |
12 GOP, 18 DEM |
| State Senate - DEM control |
24 GOP, 36 DEM |
Current Office Holders
Governor: Ted Kulongoski (D) - 2nd term, term-limited in 2010
Senior Senator: Ron Wyden (D) - 3rd term, up for re-election in 2010
Junior Senator: Jeff Merkley (D) - 1st term, up for re-election in 2014
House District 1: David Wu (D) - 6th term
House District 2: Greg Walden (R) - 6th term
House District 3: Earl Blumenauer (D) - 8th term
House District 4: Pete DeFazio (D) - 12th term
House District 5: Kurt Schrader (D) - 1st term
Historical Partisan Snapshot
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| Race |
2000 |
2002 |
2004 |
2006 |
2008 |
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| President |
Weak D |
-- |
Weak D |
-- |
Solid D |
Senate |
| Class 2 |
-- |
Solid R |
-- |
-- |
Weak D |
| Class 3 |
-- |
-- |
Solid D |
-- |
-- |
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| Governor |
-- |
Weak D |
-- |
Mod D |
-- |
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| House |
1 GOP 4 DEM |
1 GOP 4 DEM |
1 GOP 4 DEM |
1 GOP 4 DEM |
1 GOP 4 DEM |
| CD-1 |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
| CD-2 |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
| CD-3 |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
| CD-4 |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
| CD-5 |
Strong D |
Strong D |
Mod D |
Strong D |
Solid D |
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| BOLD - party turnover |
Race ratings:
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"Weak" - less than 5%
"Mod" - 5% to less than 10%
"Strong" - 10% to 15%
"Solid" - greater than 15%
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