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| South Carolina |
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Latest Polls and Updates
Conservative Ranking
South Carolina is the 16th most conservative state, voting
16.24% more Republican in the 2008 presidential elections than the national average.
Partisan Trend
Based on voting patterns since 1992, South Carolina is trending DEMOCRAT in presidential
elections.
GOP Trend Ranking
South Carolina ranks 22nd among the 50 states.
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Incumbent: Democratic incumbent Jim DeMint seeks a 2nd in 2010. He faces no primary opposition.
GOP Candidates
Jim DeMint - Incumbent
DEM Candidates
Mike Ruckes
Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.
Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries
Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries
Preliminary Projection - Solid GOP Hold
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OPEN SEAT: Two-term Republican incumbent Mark Sanford, Jr. is term-limited in 2010.
GOP Candidates
Andre Bauer - South Carolina Lt. Governor
Gresham Barrett - U.S. Representative from South Carolina
Henry McMaster - South Carolina Attorney General
Nikki Haley
DEM Candidates
Dwight Drake
Amos Elliott
Robert Ford - South Carolina State Senator
Jim Rex - South Carolina State School Superintendant
Vincent Sheheen - South Carolina State Senator
Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.
Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries
Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries
Preliminary Projection - Mod GOP Hold
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District 5
Incumbent: Democratic incumbent John Spratt, Jr. seeks a 15th term in 2010. He currently faces no primary opposition.
GOP Candidates
Mick Mulvaney - South Carolina State Senator
DEM Candidates
John Spratt, Jr. - Incumbent
Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.
Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries
Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries
Preliminary Projection - Mod DEM Hold
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Projected winner listed first
District 1: OPEN: ??? (R) vs. ??? (D) - possibly competitive
District 2: Joe Wilson (R)-inc vs. Rob Miller (D) - possibly competitive
District 3: OPEN: ??? (R) vs. ??? (D)
District 4: Bob Inglis? (R)-inc (currently unopposed)
District 6: Jim Clyburn (D)-inc (currently unopposed)
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Election Timeline
March 30, 2010 - Deadline to file for candidacy
June 8, 2010 - Primary elections
June 22, 2010 - Primary runoff
November 2, 2010 - Election day
Current Partisan Breakdown
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| National Delegation |
| Senators |
2 GOP |
| Representatives |
4 GOP, 2 DEM |
| State Government |
| Governor |
GOP |
| Lt. Governor |
GOP |
| State Senate - GOP control |
27 GOP, 19 DEM |
| State House - GOP control |
71 GOP, 53 DEM |
Current Office Holders
Governor: Mark Sanford (R) - 2nd term, term-limited in 2010
Lt. Governor: Andre Bauer (R) - 2nd term, running for Governor in 2010
Senior Senator: Lindsey Graham (R) - 2nd term, up for re-election in 2014
Junior Senator: Jim DeMint (R) - 1st term, up for re-election in 2010
House District 1: Henry Brown (R) - 5th term (retiring)
House District 2: Joe Wilson (R) - 5th term
House District 3: Gresham Barrett (R) - 4th term (running for Governor)
House District 4: Bob Inglis (R) - 6th term
House District 5: John Spratt, Jr. (D) - 14th term
House District 6: Jim Clyburn (D) - 9th term
Historical Partisan Snapshot
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| Race |
2000 |
2002 |
2004 |
2006 |
2008 |
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| President |
Solid R |
-- |
Solid R |
-- |
Mod R |
Senate |
| Class 2 |
-- |
Strong R |
-- |
-- |
Solid R |
| Class 3 |
-- |
-- |
Strong R |
-- |
-- |
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| Governor |
-- |
Mod R |
-- |
Strong R |
-- |
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| House |
4 GOP
2 DEM |
4 GOP
2 DEM |
4 GOP
2 DEM |
4 GOP
2 DEM |
4 GOP
2 DEM |
| CD-1 |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
| CD-2 |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
| CD-3 |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
| CD-4 |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
| CD-5 |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
| CD-6 |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
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| BOLD - party turnover |
Race ratings:
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"Weak" - less than 5%
"Mod" - 5% to less than 10%
"Strong" - 10% to 15%
"Solid" - greater than 15%
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