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Tennessee  
 
General Information

Election Timeline


  • April 1, 2010 - Deadline to file for candidacy
  • August 5, 2010 - Primary elections
  • November 2, 2010 - Election day
  • Latest Polls and Updates


    Conservative Ranking


    Tennessee is the 10th most conservative state, voting 22.33% more Republican in the 2008 presidential elections than the national average.

    Partisan Trend


    Based on voting patterns since 1992, Tennessee is trending REPUBLICAN in presidential elections.

    GOP Trend Ranking


    Tennessee ranks 8th among the 50 states.
     

    Senate Race
    No race in 2010
     
    Governor's Race
    OPEN SEAT:  Two-term Democratic incumbent Phil Bredesen is term-limited in 2010.

    GOP Candidates

  • Bill Haslam - Mayor of Knoxville  
  • Zach Wamp - U.S. Representative from Tennessee
  • Ron Ramsey - Tennessee State Senator
  • Joe Kirkpatrick
  • Basil Marceaux, Sr.
  • DEM Candidates

  • Mike McWherter  
  • Party nominee -

    Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.

     
    Competitive House Races

    District 4 (map)
    Incumbent:  Democratic incumbent Lincoln Davis seeks a fifth term in 2010.  He faced no primary opposition.

    GOP Candidates

  • Scott DesJarlais  
  • DEM Candidates

  • Lincoln Davis - Incumbent  
  • Party nominee -

    Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.

     

    District 6 (map)
    OPEN SEAT:  Thirteen-term Democratic incumbent Bart Gordon is retiring in 2010.

    GOP Candidates

  • Diane Black - Tennessee State Senator  
  • Jim Tracy - Tennessee State Senator
  • Dave Evans
  • Gary Mann
  • Bruce McLellan
  • Kerry Roberts
  • Lou Ann Zelenik
  • DEM Candidates

  • Brett Carter  
  • Henry Barry
  • Devora Butler
  • George Erdel
  • Benjamin Leming
  • Party nominee -

    Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.

     

    District 8 (map)
    OPEN SEAT:  Eleventh-term Democratic incumbent John Tanner is retiring in 2010.

    GOP Candidates

  • Stephen Fincher  
  • George Flinn, Jr. - Shelby County Commissioner
  • Ron Kirkland
  • Randy Smith
  • Bennie Watts
  • DEM Candidates

  • Roy Herron - Tennessee State Senator  
  • Kimberlee Smith
  • Party nominee -

    Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.

     
    Other House Races
    Projected winner listed first
  • District 1:  Phil Roe (R)-inc vs. Michael Clark (D)
  • District 2:  John Duncan, Jr. (R)-inc vs. Dave Hancock (D)
  • District 3:  OPEN: Chuck Fleischmann (R) vs. John Wolfe (D)
  • District 5:  Jim Cooper (D)-inc vs. David Hall (R)
  • District 7:  Marsha Blackburn (R)-inc vs. Greg Rabidoux (D)
  • District 9:  Steve Cohen (D)-inc vs. Charlotte Bergmann (R)
  •  
    Additional Information
    Current Partisan Breakdown
     
    National Delegation
      Senators 2 GOP
      Representatives 4 GOP, 5 DEM
    State Government
      Governor DEM
      State Senate - GOP control 19 GOP, 14 DEM
      State House - GOP control 50 GOP, 48 DEM, 1 IND

    Current Office Holders


  • Governor:  Phil Bredesen (D) - 2nd term, term-limited in 2010
  • Senior Senator:  Lamar Alexander (R) - 2nd term, up for re-election in 2014
  • Junior Senator:  Bob Corker (R) - 1st term, up for re-election in 2012
  • House District 1:  Phil Roe (R) - 1st term
  • House District 2:  John Duncan (R) - 12th term
  • House District 3:  Zach Wamp (R) - 8th term (running for Governor)
  • House District 4:  Lincoln Davis (D) - 4th term
  • House District 5:  Jim Cooper (D) - 4th term
  • House District 6:  Bart Gordon (D) - 13th term (retiring)
  • House District 7:  Marsha Blackburn (R) - 4th term
  • House District 8:  John Tanner (D) - 11th term (retiring)
  • House District 9:  Steve Cohen (D) - 2nd term
  • Historical Partisan Snapshot


     
      Race 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008

    President Weak R -- Strong R -- Solid R

    Senate
    Class 1 Solid R -- -- Weak R --
    Class 2 -- Strong R -- -- Solid R

    Governor -- Weak D -- Solid D --

    House 5 GOP
    4 DEM
    4 GOP
    5 DEM
    4 GOP
    5 DEM
    4 GOP
    5 DEM
    4 GOP
    5 DEM
    CD-1 Solid R Solid R Solid R Solid R Solid R
    CD-2 Solid R Solid R Solid R Solid R Solid R
    CD-3 Solid R Solid R Solid R Solid R Solid R
    CD-4 Solid R Mod D Strong D Solid D Solid D
    CD-5 Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D
    CD-6 Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D
    CD-7 Solid R Solid R Solid R Solid R Solid R
    CD-8 Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D
    CD-9 Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D

    BOLD - party turnover
    Race ratings:
  • "Weak" - less than 5%
  • "Mod" - 5% to less than 10%
  • "Strong" - 10% to 15%
  • "Solid" - greater than 15%
  •  

    Tennessee Race Tracking
    Governor (open)
    Mark McWerter
    vs
    Bill Haslam
    Projected Winner
    House District 4
    Lincoln Davis
    vs
    Scott DesJarlais
    Projected Winner
    House District 6 (open)
    Brett Carter
    vs
    Diane Black
    Projected Winner
    House District 8 (open)
    Roy Herron
    vs
    Stephen Fincher
    Projected Winner
    Special Thanks To:

    Charlie Cook
    Cook Political


    Congressional Quarterly
    CQ Politics


    D.C. Finegold Sachs
    DC's Political Report


    Dave Leip
    U.S. Election Atlas


    David Wissing
    The Hedgehog Report


    Larry Sabato
    Crystal Ball


    Richard & Tony
    The Green Papers


    Rose Institute
    Redistricting in America


    Tom Bevan and John McIntyre
    RealClearPolitics

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