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Latest Polls and Updates
Conservative Ranking
Tennessee is the 10th most conservative state, voting
22.33% more Republican in the 2008 presidential elections than the national average.
Partisan Trend
Based on voting patterns since 1992, Tennessee is trending REPUBLICAN in presidential
elections.
GOP Trend Ranking
Tennessee ranks 8th among the 50 states.
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OPEN SEAT: Two-term Democratic incumbent Phil Bredesen is term-limited in 2010.
GOP Candidates
Zach Wamp - U.S. Representative from Tennessee
Bill Haslam - Mayor of Knoxville
Ron Ramsey - Tennessee State Senator
Bill Gibbons
Joe Kirkpatrick
Basil Marceaux
Carl Whitaker
DEM Candidates
Jim Kyle, Jr. - Tennessee State Senator
Kim McMillan - Former Tennessee State Representative
Mike McWherter
Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.
Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries
Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries
Preliminary Projection - Weak GOP Gain
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District 6
OPEN SEAT: Thirteen-term Democratic incumbent Bart Gordon is retiring in 2010.
GOP Candidates
Diane Black - Tennessee State Senator
Jim Tracy - Tennessee State Senator
Dave Evans
John Farmer
Gary Mann
Kerry Roberts
Lou Ann Zelenik
DEM Candidates
George Erdel
Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.
Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries
Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries
Preliminary Projection - Mod GOP Gain
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District 8
OPEN SEAT: Eleventh-term Democratic incumbent John Tanner is retiring in 2010.
GOP Candidates
George Flinn, Jr. - Shelby County Commissioner
Stephen Fincher
Ron Kirkland
DEM Candidates
Roy Herron - Tennessee State Senator
Luther Mercer, Jr.
Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.
Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries
Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries
Preliminary Projection - Weak GOP Gain
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Projected winner listed first
District 1: Phil Roe? (R)-inc (currently unopposed)
District 2: John Duncan, Jr. (R)-inc (currently unopposed)
District 3: OPEN: ??? (R) vs. ??? (D)
District 4: Lincoln Davis (D)-inc vs. ??? (R) - possibly competitive
District 5: Jim Cooper (D)-inc vs. Lonnie Spivak (R)
District 7: Marsha Blackburn (R)-inc vs. Greg Rabidoux (D)
District 9: Steve Cohen (D)-inc vs. Charlotte Bergmann (R)
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Election Timeline
April 1, 2010 - Deadline to file for candidacy
August 5, 2010 - Primary elections
November 2, 2010 - Election day
Current Partisan Breakdown
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| National Delegation |
| Senators |
2 GOP |
| Representatives |
4 GOP, 5 DEM |
| State Government |
| Governor |
DEM |
| State Senate - GOP control |
19 GOP, 14 DEM |
| State House - GOP control |
50 GOP, 48 DEM, 1 IND |
Current Office Holders
Governor: Phil Bredesen (D) - 2nd term, term-limited in 2010
Senior Senator: Lamar Alexander (R) - 2nd term, up for re-election in 2014
Junior Senator: Bob Corker (R) - 1st term, up for re-election in 2012
House District 1: Phil Roe (R) - 1st term
House District 2: John Duncan (R) - 12th term
House District 3: Zach Wamp (R) - 8th term (running for Governor)
House District 4: Lincoln Davis (D) - 4th term
House District 5: Jim Cooper (D) - 4th term
House District 6: Bart Gordon (D) - 13th term (retiring)
House District 7: Marsha Blackburn (R) - 4th term
House District 8: John Tanner (D) - 11th term (retiring)
House District 9: Steve Cohen (D) - 2nd term
Historical Partisan Snapshot
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| Race |
2000 |
2002 |
2004 |
2006 |
2008 |
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| President |
Weak R |
-- |
Strong R |
-- |
Solid R |
Senate |
| Class 1 |
Solid R |
-- |
-- |
Weak R |
-- |
| Class 2 |
-- |
Strong R |
-- |
-- |
Solid R |
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| Governor |
-- |
Weak D |
-- |
Solid D |
-- |
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| House |
5 GOP
4 DEM |
4 GOP
5 DEM |
4 GOP
5 DEM |
4 GOP
5 DEM |
4 GOP
5 DEM |
| CD-1 |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
| CD-2 |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
| CD-3 |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
| CD-4 |
Solid R |
Mod D |
Strong D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
| CD-5 |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
| CD-6 |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
| CD-7 |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
| CD-8 |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
| CD-9 |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
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| BOLD - party turnover |
Race ratings:
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"Weak" - less than 5%
"Mod" - 5% to less than 10%
"Strong" - 10% to 15%
"Solid" - greater than 15%
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