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2010 Projections

Senate
House
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Utah  
 
General Information
Latest Polls and Updates

Conservative Ranking


Utah is the 3rd most conservative state, voting 35.30% more Republican in the 2008 presidential elections than the national average.

Partisan Trend


Based on voting patterns since 1992, Utah is trending REPUBLICAN in presidential elections.

GOP Trend Ranking


Utah ranks 11th among the 50 states.
 


Senate Race
Incumbent:  Republican incumbent Bob Bennett seeks a 4th in 2010.  He faces only minor primary opposition.

GOP Candidates

  • Bob Bennett - Incumbent
  • Tim Bridgewater
  • Cherilyn Eager
  • David Leavitt
  • Mike Lee
  • Chris Stout
  • James William, III
  • DEM Candidates

  • Sam Granato
  • Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.

    Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries

    Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries

    Preliminary Projection - Solid GOP Hold

     
    Governor's Race (special)
    Interim:  Republican Gary Herbert seeks election to a first term in 2010.  He faces no primary opposition.

    GOP Candidates

  • Gary Herbert - Incumbent
  • DEM Candidates

  • None at present
  • Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.

    Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries

    Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries

    Preliminary Projection - Strong GOP Hold

     
    Competitive House Races
    No competitive races in 2010
     
    Other House Races
    Projected winner listed first
  • District 1:  Rob Bishop (R)-inc  (currently unopposed)
  • District 2:  Jim Matheson (D)-inc vs. Morgan Philpot (R)
  • District 3:  Jason Chaffetz (R)-inc  (currently unopposed)
  •  
    Additional Information

    Election Timeline


  • March 20, 2010 - Deadline to file for candidacy
  • June 22, 2010 - Primary elections
  • November 2, 2010 - Election day
  • Current Partisan Breakdown


     
    National Delegation
      Senators 2 GOP
      Representatives 2 GOP, 1 DEM
    State Government
      Governor GOP
      Lt. Governor GOP
      State Senate - GOP control 21 GOP, 8 DEM
      State House - GOP control 53 GOP, 22 DEM

    Current Office Holders


  • Governor:  Gary Herbert (R) - 1st term (partial), special election in 2010
  • Lt. Governor:  Gregory Bell (R) - 1st term (partial), up for election in 2012
  • Senior Senator:  Orrin Hatch (R) - 6th term, up for re-election in 2012
  • Junior Senator:  Bob Bennett (R) - 3rd term, up for re-election in 2010
  • House District 1:  Rob Bishop (R) - 4th term
  • House District 2:  Jim Matheson (D) - 5th term
  • House District 3:  Jason Chaffetz (R) - 1st term
  • Historical Partisan Snapshot


     
      Race 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008

    President Solid R -- Solid R -- Solid R

    Senate
    Class 1 Solid R -- -- Solid R --
    Class 3 -- -- Solid R -- --

    Governor Solid R -- Solid R -- Solid R

    House 2 GOP
    1 DEM
    2 GOP
    1 DEM
    2 GOP
    1 DEM
    2 GOP
    1 DEM
    2 GOP
    1 DEM
    CD-1 Solid R Solid R Solid R Solid R Solid R
    CD-2 Strong D Weak D Strong D Solid D Solid D
    CD-3 Solid R Solid R Solid R Solid R Solid R

    BOLD - party turnover
    Race ratings:
  • "Weak" - less than 5%
  • "Mod" - 5% to less than 10%
  • "Strong" - 10% to 15%
  • "Solid" - greater than 15%
  •  

    Utah Race Tracking
    Senate
    Bob Bennett - inc
    vs
    undetermined
    Preliminary
    Solid GOP Hold
     
    Governor
    Gary Herbert - inc
    vs
    undetermined
    Preliminary
    Strong GOP Hold
     
    Special Thanks To:

    Charlie Cook
    Cook Political


    Congressional Quarterly
    CQ Politics


    D.C. Finegold Sachs
    DC's Political Report


    Dave Leip
    U.S. Election Atlas


    Larry Sabato
    Crystal Ball


    Tom Bevan and John McIntyre
    RealClearPolitics

    EP's Weekly Poll

    Previous Polls
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