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Latest Polls and Updates
Conservative Ranking
Virginia is the 27th most conservative state, voting
for Obama in 2008 but 0.97% more Republican than the national average.
Partisan Trend
Based on voting patterns since 1992, Virginia is trending DEMOCRAT in presidential
elections.
GOP Trend Ranking
Virginia ranks 42nd among the 50 states.
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District 2
Incumbent: Democratic incumbent Glenn Nye, III seeks a 2nd term in 2010. He currently faces no primary opposition.
GOP Candidates
Ben Loyola
Kenny Golden
Ed Maulbeck
Bert Mizusawa
Scott Rigell
Scott Taylor
DEM Candidates
Glenn Nye, III - Incumbent
Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.
Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries
Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries
Preliminary Projection - Weak DEM Hold
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District 5
Incumbent: Democrat incumbent Tom Perriello seeks a 2nd term in 2010. He currently faces no primary opposition.
GOP Candidates
Kenneth Boyd
Ron Ferrin
Robert Hurt - Virginia State Senator
Feda Kidd Morton
Jim McKelvey
Michael McPadden
Laurence Verga
DEM Candidates
Tom Perriello - Incumbent
Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.
Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries
Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries
Preliminary Projection - Weak GOP Gain
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District 9
Incumbent: Democrat incumbent Rick Boucher seeks a 2nd term in 2010. He currently faces no primary opposition.
GOP Candidates
Morgan Griffith - Virginia State Delegate
Jim Bebout
Adam Light
David Moore
Jessee Ring
DEM Candidates
Rick Boucher - Incumbent
Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.
Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries
Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries
Preliminary Projection - Mod DEM Hold
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District 11
Incumbent: Democrat incumbent Gerry Connolly seeks a 2nd term in 2010. He currently faces no primary opposition.
GOP Candidates
Keith Fimian - 2008 Nominee
DEM Candidates
Gerry Connolly - Incumbent
Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.
Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries
Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries
Preliminary Projection - Mod DEM Hold
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Projected winner listed first
District 1: Robert Wittman (R)-inc vs. ??? (D)
District 3: Bobby Scott (D)-inc vs. Coby Dillard (R)
District 4: Randy Forbes (R)-inc (currently unopposed)
District 6: Bob Goodlatte (R)-inc (currently unopposed)
District 7: Eric Cantor (R)-inc vs. ??? (D)
District 8: Jim Moran, Jr.? (D)-inc vs. ??? (R)
District 9: Rick Boucher (D)-inc vs. Jim Bebout (R) - possibly competitive
District 10: Frank Wolf? (R)-inc vs. ??? (D)
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Election Timeline
April 9, 2010 - Deadline to file for candidacy
June 8, 2010 - Primary elections
November 2, 2010 - Election day
Current Partisan Breakdown
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| National Delegation |
| Senators |
2 DEM |
| Representatives |
5 GOP, 6 DEM |
| State Government |
| Governor |
GOP |
| Lt. Governor |
GOP |
| State Senate - DEM control |
19 GOP, 21 DEM |
| State House - GOP control |
52 GOP, 44 DEM, 2 IND |
Current Office Holders
Governor: Bob McDonnell (R) - 1st term, term-limited in 2013
Lt. Governor: Bill Bolling (R) - 2nd term, next election in 2009
Senior Senator: James Webb, Jr. (D) - 1st term, up for re-election in 2012
Junior Senator: Mark Warner (D) - 1st term, up for re-election in 2014
House District 1: Robert Wittman (R) - 2nd term
House District 2: Glenn Nye, III (D) - 1st term
House District 3: Bobby Scott (D) - 9th term
House District 4: Randy Forbes (R) - 5th term
House District 5: Tom Perriello (D) - 1st term
House District 6: Bob Goodlatte (R) - 9th term
House District 7: Eric Cantor (R) - 5th term
House District 8: Jim Moran, Jr. (D) - 10th term
House District 9: Rick Boucher (D) - 14th term
House District 10: Frank Wolf (R) - 15th term
House District 11: Gerry Connolly (D) - 1st term
Historical Partisan Snapshot
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| Race |
2000 |
2002 |
2004 |
2006 |
2008 |
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| President |
Strong R |
-- |
Mod R |
-- |
Mod D |
Senate |
| Class 1 |
Weak R |
-- |
-- |
Weak D |
-- |
| Class 2 |
-- |
Solid R |
-- |
-- |
Solid D |
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Governor
(2001-09) |
Mod D |
-- |
Mod D |
-- |
Solid R |
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| House |
6 R, 4 D, 1 I |
8 GOP
3 DEM |
8 GOP
3 DEM |
8 GOP
3 DEM |
5 GOP
6 DEM |
| CD-1 |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
| CD-2 |
Weak R |
Solid R |
Strong R |
Weak R |
Weak D |
| CD-3 |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
| CD-4 |
Solid D |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
| CD-5 |
Solid IND |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Weak D |
| CD-6 |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
| CD-7 |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
| CD-8 |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
| CD-9 |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
| CD-10 |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
| CD-11 |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Strong R |
Weak D |
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BOLD - party turnover
Party changes not bolded resulted from redistricting before the 2002 election. |
Race ratings:
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"Weak" - less than 5%
"Mod" - 5% to less than 10%
"Strong" - 10% to 15%
"Solid" - greater than 15%
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