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Vermont  
 
General Information

Election Timeline


  • July 19, 2010 - Deadline to file for candidacy
  • August 24, 2010 - Primary elections
  • November 2, 2010 - Election day
  • Latest Polls and Updates


    Conservative Ranking


    Vermont is the second least conservative state, voting 29.74% less Republican in the 2008 presidential elections than the national average.

    Partisan Trend


    Based on voting patterns since 1992, Vermont is trending DEMOCRAT in presidential elections.

    GOP Trend Ranking


    Vermont ranks 49th among the 50 states.
     

    Senate Race
    Incumbent:  Democratic incumbent Patrick Leahy seeks a 7th in 2010.  He faced only minor primary opposition.

    GOP Candidates

  • Len Britton  
  • DEM Candidates

  • Patrick Leahy - Incumbent  
  • Daniel Freilich
  • Party nominee -

    Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.

     
    Governor's Race
    OPEN SEAT:  Republican incumbent Jim Douglas is retiring.  He is not running for a fourth term in 2010.

    GOP Candidates

  • Brian Dubie - Vermont Lt. Governor  
  • DEM Candidates

  • Peter Shumlin - Vermont State Senator  
  • Sue Bartlett - Vermont State Senator
  • Matt Dunne - Former Vermont State Senator
  • Deborah Markowitz - Vermont Secretary of State
  • Doug Racine - Vermont State Senator
  • Party nominee -

    Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.

     
    Competitive House Races
    No competitive races in 2010
     
    Other House Races
    Projected winner listed first
  • District AL:  Peter Welch (D)-inc vs. Paul Beaudry (R)
  •  
    Additional Information
    Current Partisan Breakdown
     
    National Delegation
      Senators 1 DEM, 1 IND
      Representatives 1 DEM
    State Government
      Governor GOP
      Lt. Governor GOP
      State Senate - DEM control 7 GOP, 23 DEM
      State House - DEM control 48 GOP, 95 DEM, 7 other

    Current Office Holders


  • Governor:  Jim Douglas (R) - 4th term, not seeking re-election in 2010
  • Lt. Governor:  Brian Dubie (R) - 4th term, running for Governor in 2010
  • Senior Senator:  Patrick Leahy (D) - 6th term, up for re-election in 2010
  • Junior Senator:  Bernie Sanders (I) - 1st term, up for re-election in 2012
  • House District AL:  Peter Welch (D) - 2nd term
  • Historical Partisan Snapshot


     
      Race 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008

    President Mod D -- Solid D -- Solid D

    Senate
    Class 1 Solid R -- -- Solid I --
    Class 3 -- -- Solid D -- --

    Governor Mod D Strong R Solid R Solid R Solid R

    House 1 IND 1 IND 1 IND 1 DEM 1 DEM
    CD-AL Solid I Solid I Solid I Mod D Solid D

    BOLD - party turnover
    Race ratings:
  • "Weak" - less than 5%
  • "Mod" - 5% to less than 10%
  • "Strong" - 10% to 15%
  • "Solid" - greater than 15%
  •  

    Arizona Race Tracking
    Senate
    Patrick Leahy - inc
    vs
    Len Britton
    Projected Winner
    Governor (open)
    Brian Dubie
    vs
    Peter Shumlin
    Projected Winner
    Special Thanks To:

    Charlie Cook
    Cook Political


    Congressional Quarterly
    CQ Politics


    D.C. Finegold Sachs
    DC's Political Report


    Dave Leip
    U.S. Election Atlas


    David Wissing
    The Hedgehog Report


    Larry Sabato
    Crystal Ball


    Richard & Tony
    The Green Papers


    Rose Institute
    Redistricting in America


    Tom Bevan and John McIntyre
    RealClearPolitics

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