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| Vermont |
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Latest Polls and Updates
Conservative Ranking
Vermont is the second least conservative state, voting
29.74% less Republican in the 2008 presidential elections than the national average.
Partisan Trend
Based on voting patterns since 1992, Vermont is trending DEMOCRAT in presidential
elections.
GOP Trend Ranking
Vermont ranks 49th among the 50 states.
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Incumbent: Democratic incumbent Patrick Leahy seeks a 7th in 2010. He faces only minor primary opposition.
GOP Candidates
Len Britton
DEM Candidates
Patrick Leahy - Incumbent
Daniel Freilich
Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.
Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries
Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries
Preliminary Projection - Solid DEM Hold
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OPEN SEAT: Republican incumbent Jim Douglas is retiring. He is not running for a fourth term in 2010.
GOP Candidates
Brian Dubie - Vermont Lt. Governor
Rodolphe Vallee - Former U.S. Ambassador
DEM Candidates
Sue Bartlett - Vermont State Senator
Matt Dunne - Former Vermont State Senator
Deborah Markowitz - Vermont Secretary of State
Doug Racine - Vermont State Senator
Peter Shumlin - Vermont State Senator
Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.
Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries
Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries
Preliminary Projection - Mod DEM Gain
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No competitive races in 2010
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Projected winner listed first
District AL: Peter Welch? (D)-inc (currently unopposed)
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Election Timeline
July 19, 2010 - Deadline to file for candidacy
September 14, 2010 - Primary elections
November 2, 2010 - Election day
Current Partisan Breakdown
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| National Delegation |
| Senators |
1 DEM, 1 IND |
| Representatives |
1 DEM |
| State Government |
| Governor |
GOP |
| Lt. Governor |
GOP |
| State Senate - DEM control |
7 GOP, 23 DEM |
| State House - DEM control |
48 GOP, 95 DEM, 7 other |
Current Office Holders
Governor: Jim Douglas (R) - 4th term, not seeking re-election in 2010
Lt. Governor: Brain Dubie (D) - 4th term, running for Governor in 2010
Senior Senator: Patrick Leahy (D) - 6th term, up for re-election in 2010
Junior Senator: Bernie Sanders (I) - 2nd term, up for re-election in 2014
House District AL: Peter Welch (D) - 2nd term
Historical Partisan Snapshot
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| Race |
2000 |
2002 |
2004 |
2006 |
2008 |
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| President |
Mod D |
-- |
Solid D |
-- |
Solid D |
Senate |
| Class 1 |
Solid R |
-- |
-- |
Solid I |
-- |
| Class 3 |
-- |
-- |
Solid D |
-- |
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| Governor |
Mod D |
Strong R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
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| House |
1 IND |
1 IND |
1 IND |
1 DEM |
1 DEM |
| CD-AL |
Solid I |
Solid I |
Solid I |
Mod D |
Solid D |
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| BOLD - party turnover |
Race ratings:
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"Weak" - less than 5%
"Mod" - 5% to less than 10%
"Strong" - 10% to 15%
"Solid" - greater than 15%
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