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Latest Polls and Updates
Conservative Ranking
Washington is the 12th least conservative state, voting
9.81% less Republican in the 2008 presidential elections than the national average.
Partisan Trend
Based on voting patterns since 1992, Washington is trending DEMOCRAT in presidential
elections.
GOP Trend Ranking
Washington ranks 31st among the 50 states.
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Incumbent: Democratic incumbent Patty Murray seeks a 4th in 2010. She faces primary opposition.
GOP Candidates
Arthur Coday, Jr.
Clint Didier
Wayne Glover
Scott Johnson
Rod Rieger
Sean Salazar
Chris Widener
Craig Williams
DEM Candidates
Patty Murray - Incumbent
Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.
Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries
Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries
Preliminary Projection - Solid DEM Hold
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District 3
OPEN SEAT: Democratic incumbent Brian Baird is retiring. He is not running for a 7th term in 2010.
GOP Candidates
Joe Zarelli - Washington State Senator
Jaime Herrera - Washington State Representative
Jon Russell - Washougal City Councilor
David Castillo
David Hedrick
DEM Candidates
Denny Heck - Former Washington State Senator
Craig Pridemore - Washington State Senator
Deb Wallace - Washington State Representative
Maria Rodriguez-Salazar
Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.
Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries
Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries
Preliminary Projection - Weak GOP Gain
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District 8
Incumbent: Republican incumbent Dave Reichert seeks a 4th term in 2010. He currently faces no primary opposition.
GOP Candidates
Dave Reichert - Incumbent
DEM Candidates
Suzan DelBene
Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.
Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries
Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries
Preliminary Projection - Weak GOP Hold
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Projected winner listed first
District 1: Jay Inslee (D)-inc vs. James Watkins (R)
District 2: Rick Larsen? (D)-inc vs. John Koster (R) - possibly competitive
District 4: Richard "Doc" Hastings (R)-inc vs. Jay Clough (D)
District 5: Cathy Rodgers (R)-inc (currently unopposed)
District 6: Norman Dicks (D)-inc (currently unopposed)
District 7: Jim McDermott? (D)-inc (currently unopposed)
District 9: Adam Smith (D)-inc vs. ??? (R)
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Election Timeline
June 11, 2010 - Deadline to file for candidacy
August 17, 2010 - Primary elections
November 2, 2010 - Election day
Current Partisan Breakdown
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| National Delegation |
| Senators |
2 DEM |
| Representatives |
3 GOP, 6 DEM |
| State Government |
| Governor |
DEM |
| Lt. Governor |
DEM |
| State Senate - DEM control |
18 GOP, 31 DEM |
| State House - DEM control |
34 GOP, 64 DEM |
Current Office Holders
Governor: Christine Gregoire (D) - 2nd term, up for re-election in 2012
Lt. Governor: Brad Owen (D) - 2nd term, up for re-election in 2012
Senior Senator: Patty Murray (D) - 3rd term, up for re-election in 2010
Junior Senator: Maria Cantwell (D) - 2nd term, up for re-election in 2012
House District 1: Jay Inslee (D) - 6th term
House District 2: Rick Larsen (D) - 5th term
House District 3: Brian Baird (D) - 6th term (retiring)
House District 4: Richard "Doc" Hastings (R) - 8th term
House District 5: Cathy Rodgers (R) - 3rd term
House District 6: Norman Dicks (D) - 17th term
House District 7: Jim McDermott (D) - 11th term
House District 8: Dave Reichert (R) - 3rd term
House District 9: Adam Smith (D) - 7th term
Historical Partisan Snapshot
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| Race |
2000 |
2002 |
2004 |
2006 |
2008 |
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| President |
Mod Dem |
-- |
Mod Dem |
-- |
Strong Dem |
Senate |
| Class 1 |
Weak Dem |
-- |
-- |
Solid Dem |
-- |
| Class 3 |
-- |
-- |
Strong Dem |
-- |
-- |
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| Governor |
Solid DEM |
-- |
Weak DEM |
-- |
Mod DEM |
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| House |
3 GOP
6 DEM |
3 GOP
6 DEM |
3 GOP
6 DEM |
3 GOP
6 DEM |
3 GOP
6 DEM |
| CD-1 |
Strong DEM |
Mod DEM |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
| CD-2 |
Mod Dem |
Mod DEM |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
| CD-3 |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
| CD-4 |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
| CD-5 |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
Strong GOP |
Solid GOP |
| CD-6 |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
| CD-7 |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
| CD-8 |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
Weak GOP |
Weak GOP |
Mod GOP |
| CD-9 |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
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| BOLD - party turnover |
Race ratings:
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"Weak" - less than 5%
"Mod" - 5% to less than 10%
"Strong" - 10% to 15%
"Solid" - greater than 15%
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