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Wisconsin  
 
General Information

Election Timeline


  • July 13, 2010 - Deadline to file for candidacy
  • September 14, 2010 - Primary elections
  • November 2, 2010 - Election day
  • Latest Polls and Updates


    Conservative Ranking


    Wisconsin is the 17th least conservative state, voting 6.64% less Republican in the 2008 presidential elections than the national average.

    Partisan Trend


    Based on voting patterns since 1992, Wisconsin is trending DEMOCRAT in presidential elections.

    GOP Trend Ranking


    Wisconsin ranks 39th among the 50 states.
     

    Senate Race
    Incumbent:  Democratic incumbent Russell Feingold seeks a 4th in 2010.  He faced no primary opposition.

    GOP Candidates

  • Ron Johnson  
  • Stephen Finn
  • David Westlake, IV
  • DEM Candidates

  • Russell Feingold - Incumbent  
  • Party nominee -

    Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.

     
    Governor's Race
    OPEN SEAT:  Three-term Democratic incumbent Jim Doyle is not running for re-election in 2010.

    GOP Candidates

  • Scott Walker - Milwaukee County Executive  
  • Mark Neumann - Former U.S. Representative from Wisconsin
  • Scott Paterick
  • DEM Candidates

  • Tom Barrett - Former U.S. Representative from Wisconsin  
  • Tim John
  • Party nominee -

    Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.

     
    Competitive House Races

    District 3 (map)
    Incumbent:  Democrat Ronald Kind seeks an 8th term in 2010.

    GOP Candidates

  • Dan Kapanke  
  • DEM Candidates

  • Ronald Kind - Incumbent  
  • Party nominee -

    Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.

     

    District 7 (map)
    OPEN SEAT:  Democrat David Obey will not seek a twenty-second term in 2010.

    GOP Candidates

  • Sean Duffy - Ashland County District Attorney  
  • Daniel Mielke - 2008 Nominee
  • DEM Candidates

  • Julie Lassa - Wisconsin State Senator  
  • Don Raihala
  • Party nominee -

    Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.

     

    District 8 (map)
    Incumbent:  Democrat Steve Kagen seeks a 3rd term in 2010.  He faced no primary opposition.

    GOP Candidates

  • Reid Ribble  
  • Roger Roth - Wisconsin State Representative
  • Terry McCormick - Former U.S. Representative from Wisconsin
  • Mark Savard - Door County Commissioner
  • DEM Candidates

  • Steve Kagen - Incumbent  
  • Party nominee -

    Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.

     
    Other House Races
    Projected winner listed first
  • District 1:  Paul Ryan (R)-inc vs. John Heckenlively (D)
  • District 2:  Tammy Baldwin (D)-inc vs. Chad Lee (R)
  • District 4:  Gwendolynne Moore (D)-inc vs. Dan Sebring (R)
  • District 5:  Jim Sensenbrenner (R)-inc vs. Todd Kolosso (D)
  • District 6:  Tom Petri (R)-inc vs. Joseph Kallas (D)
  •  
    Additional Information
    Current Partisan Breakdown
     
    National Delegation
      Senators 2 DEM
      Representatives 3 GOP, 5 DEM
    State Government
      Governor DEM
      Lt. Governor - tied to Governor DEM
      State Senate - DEM control 15 GOP, 18 DEM
      State Assembly - DEM control 46 GOP, 52 DEM

    Current Office Holders


  • Governor:  James Doyle (D) - 2nd term, not seeking re-election in 2010
  • Lt. Governor:  Barbara Lawton (D) - 2nd term, tied to Governor
  • Senior Senator:  Herb Kohl (D) - 4th term, up for re-election in 2012
  • Junior Senator:  Russ Feingold (D) - 3rd term, up for re-election in 2010
  • House District 1:  Paul Ryan (R) - 6th term
  • House District 2:  Tammy Baldwin (D) - 6th term
  • House District 3:  Ronald Kind (D) - 7th term
  • House District 4:  Gwendolynne Moore (D) - 3rd term
  • House District 5:  Jim Sensenbrenner, Jr. (R) - 16th term
  • House District 6:  Tom Petri (R) - 9th term
  • House District 7:  David Obey (D) - 21st term (retiring)
  • House District 8:  Steve Kagen (D) - 2nd term
  • Historical Partisan Snapshot


     
      Race 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008

    President Weak D -- Weak D -- Strong D

    Senate
    Class 1 Solid D -- -- Solid D --
    Class 3 -- -- Strong D -- --

    Governor -- Weak D -- Mod D --

    House 4 GOP
    5 DEM
    4 GOP
    4 DEM
    4 GOP
    4 DEM
    3 GOP
    5 DEM
    3 GOP
    5 DEM
    CD-1 Solid R Solid R Solid R Solid R Solid R
    CD-2 Weak D Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D
    CD-3 Solid D Solid D Strong D Solid D Solid D
    CD-4 Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D
    CD-5 Solid D Solid R Solid R Solid R Solid R
    CD-6 Solid R Solid R Solid R Solid R Solid R
    CD-7 Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D
    CD-8 Solid R Solid R Solid R Weak D Mod D
    CD-9 Solid R NA NA NA

    BOLD - party turnover
    Party changes not bolded resulted from redistricting before the 2002 election.
    Race ratings:
  • "Weak" - less than 5%
  • "Mod" - 5% to less than 10%
  • "Strong" - 10% to 15%
  • "Solid" - greater than 15%
  •  

    Wisconsin Race Tracking
    Senate
    Russell Feingold - inc
    vs
    Ron Johnson
    Projected Winner
    Governor (open)
    Tom Barrett
    vs
    Scott Walker
    Projected Winner
    House District 3
    Ron Kind - inc
    vs
    Dan Kapanke
    Projected Winner
    House District 7 (open)
    Julie Lassa
    vs
    Sean Duffy
    Projected Winner
    House District 8
    Steve Kagen - inc
    vs
    Reid Ribble
    Projected Winner
    Special Thanks To:

    Charlie Cook
    Cook Political


    Congressional Quarterly
    CQ Politics


    D.C. Finegold Sachs
    DC's Political Report


    Dave Leip
    U.S. Election Atlas


    David Wissing
    The Hedgehog Report


    Larry Sabato
    Crystal Ball


    Richard & Tony
    The Green Papers


    Rose Institute
    Redistricting in America


    Tom Bevan and John McIntyre
    RealClearPolitics

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