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| Wisconsin |
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Election Timeline
July 13, 2010 - Deadline to file for candidacy
September 14, 2010 - Primary elections
November 2, 2010 - Election day
Latest Polls and Updates
Conservative Ranking
Wisconsin is the 17th least conservative state, voting
6.64% less Republican in the 2008 presidential elections than the national average.
Partisan Trend
Based on voting patterns since 1992, Wisconsin is trending DEMOCRAT in presidential
elections.
GOP Trend Ranking
Wisconsin ranks 39th among the 50 states.
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Incumbent: Democratic incumbent Russell Feingold seeks a 4th in 2010. He faces no primary opposition.
GOP Candidates
Ron Johnson
David Westlake, IV
DEM Candidates
Russell Feingold - Incumbent
Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.
Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries
Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries
Preliminary Projection - Weak DEM Hold
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OPEN SEAT: Three-term Democratic incumbent Jim Doyle is not running for re-election in 2010.
GOP Candidates
Scott Walker - Milwaukee County Executive
Mark Neumann - Former U.S. Representative from Wisconsin
Steve Evans
Scott Paterick
John Schiess
Travis Swenby
DEM Candidates
Tom Barrett - Former U.S. Representative from Wisconsin
Tim John
Dominic Reinwand
Frederick Westphal
Jared Christiansen
Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.
Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries
Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries
Preliminary Projection - Mod GOP Gain
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District 7 (map)
OPEN SEAT: Democrat David Obey will not seek a twenty-second term in 2010.
GOP Candidates
Sean Duffy - Ashland County District Attorney
Daniel Mielke - 2008 Nominee
DEM Candidates
Julie Lassa - Wisconsin State Senator
Joe Reasbeck
Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.
Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries
Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries
Preliminary Projection - Weak GOP Gain
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District 8 (map)
Incumbent: Democrat Steve Kagen seeks a 3rd term in 2010. He currently faces no primary opposition.
GOP Candidates
Roger Roth - Wisconsin State Representative
Terry McCormick - Former U.S. Representative from Wisconsin
Andy Williams - Brown County Commissioner
Mark Savard - Door County Commissioner
Reid Ribble
Marc Trager
Kerry Thomas
DEM Candidates
Steve Kagen - Incumbent
Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.
Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries
Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries
Preliminary Projection - Weak DEM Hold
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Projected winner listed first
District 1: Paul Ryan (R)-inc vs. Paulette Garin (D)
District 2: Tammy Baldwin? (D)-inc vs. ??? (R)
District 3: Ronald Kind (D)-inc vs. ??? (R) - possibly competitive
District 4: Gwendolynne Moore? (D)-inc vs. ??? (R)
District 5: Jim Sensenbrenner (R)-inc vs. Todd Kolosso (D)
District 6: Tom Petri (R)-inc (currently unopposed)
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Current Partisan Breakdown
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| National Delegation |
| Senators |
2 DEM |
| Representatives |
3 GOP, 5 DEM |
| State Government |
| Governor |
DEM |
| Lt. Governor - tied to Governor |
DEM |
| State Senate - DEM control |
15 GOP, 18 DEM |
| State Assembly - DEM control |
46 GOP, 52 DEM |
Current Office Holders
Governor: James Doyle (D) - 2nd term, not seeking re-election in 2010
Lt. Governor: Barbara Lawton (D) - 2nd term, tied to Governor
Senior Senator: Herb Kohl (D) - 4th term, up for re-election in 2012
Junior Senator: Russ Feingold (D) - 3rd term, up for re-election in 2010
House District 1: Paul Ryan (R) - 6th term
House District 2: Tammy Baldwin (D) - 6th term
House District 3: Ronald Kind (D) - 7th term
House District 4: Gwendolynne Moore (D) - 3rd term
House District 5: Jim Sensenbrenner, Jr. (R) - 16th term
House District 6: Tom Petri (R) - 9th term
House District 7: David Obey (D) - 21st term (might retire)
House District 8: Steve Kagen (D) - 2nd term
Historical Partisan Snapshot
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| Race |
2000 |
2002 |
2004 |
2006 |
2008 |
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| President |
Weak D |
-- |
Weak D |
-- |
Strong D |
Senate |
| Class 1 |
Solid D |
-- |
-- |
Solid D |
-- |
| Class 3 |
-- |
-- |
Strong D |
-- |
-- |
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| Governor |
-- |
Weak D |
-- |
Mod D |
-- |
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| House |
4 GOP
5 DEM |
4 GOP
4 DEM |
4 GOP
4 DEM |
3 GOP
5 DEM |
3 GOP
5 DEM |
| CD-1 |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
| CD-2 |
Weak D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
| CD-3 |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Strong D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
| CD-4 |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
| CD-5 |
Solid D |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
| CD-6 |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
| CD-7 |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
| CD-8 |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Weak D |
Mod D |
| CD-9 |
Solid R |
NA |
NA |
NA |
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BOLD - party turnover
Party changes not bolded resulted from redistricting before the 2002 election. |
Race ratings:
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"Weak" - less than 5%
"Mod" - 5% to less than 10%
"Strong" - 10% to 15%
"Solid" - greater than 15%
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