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2012 Kentucky House District 6 Election  
Ben Chandler - inc  vs.  Andy Barr

General Information

Current Office Holder

Ben Chandler (D)

Most Recent Elections

2010:  Ben Chandler (D)-inc 50.1% - Andy Barr (R) 49.8%

Election Timeline

  • March 16, 2012 - Deadline to file for candidacy
  • June 5, 2012 - Primary elections (non-presidential)
  • November 6, 2012 - Election day
  • Latest Polls and Updates

    Conservative Ranking

    Kentucky is the 22nd least conservative state, voting 2.27% less Republican in the 2008 presidential elections than the national average.

    Partisan Trend

    Based on voting patterns since 1992, Kentucky is trending DEMOCRAT in presidential elections.

    GOP Trend Ranking

    Kentucky ranks 26th among the 50 states.
    House District 6 Race Data

    Incumbent:  Democratic incumbent Ben Chandler seeks a fifth term in 2012.  He faced no primary opposition.

    GOP Candidates

  • Andy Barr  
  • DEM Candidates

  • Ben Chandler - Incumbent  
  • Party nominee -

    Scroll down for Election Projection blogposts about this race.

    Kentucky U.S. House Election News
    Monday, September 24, 2012
    EP update for September 24 - House list shaken up; three races removed, four others added
    With national and battlegound state polls moving in the President's direction, the pundits I use to calculate my House race projections, Charlie Cook, Larry Sabato, Stuart Rothenberg and Congressional Quarterly's Roll Call, have also been busy updating their ratings.  In all, these four have registered 47 House rating changes recently.  As a result, three contests, Arizona CD-2, California CD-21 and Florida CD-2, are no longer considered hotly contested.  They are now among the possibly competitive races.

    On the other hand, four other races have tightened enough to be added to Election Projection's 2012 Competitive House Race List.  You can now follow these races on their newly-minted race pages.

    As for the numbers in today's projections, two GOP House races find their way back into the red column.  First Michigan's CD-1 moves back to freshman Republican Dan Benishek.  And second, Republican Joe Heck, Nevada CD-3, is projected to hold his seat.  With these two party-switchers, the projected balance of power in the House is 236 Republicans and 199 Democrats, a six-seat net gain for the blue team.
    September 24 Election Projection Update
      Electoral Votes Current Previous Change
      Barack Obama 332 332 no change
      Mitt Romney 206 206 no change
      Party switchers:  none
      Popular Vote Current Previous Change
      Barack Obama 50.4 50.2 +0.2
      Mitt Romney 48.1 48.3 -0.2
      Party switchers:  none
      U.S. Senate Current Previous Change
      Democrats 50 50 no change
      Republicans 48 48 no change
      Independents 2 2 no change
      Party switchers:  none
      U.S. House Current Previous Change
      Republicans 236 234 +2
      Democrats 199 201 -2
      Party switchers:  Michigan CD-1, Nevada CD-3
      Governors Current Previous Change
      Republicans 31 31 no change
      Democrats 18 18 no change
      Independents 1 1 no change
      Party switchers:  none
    Next update will be Wednesday.

    Filed under: California House District 36 Race  Indiana House District 8 Race  Iowa House District 2 Race  Kentucky House District 6 Race  2012 Projection Updates  2012 House  Pundits 

    posted by Scott Elliott at 10:46pm 09/24/12::
    Thursday, December 8, 2011
    Kentucky 2012 Preview
    We've reached the one-third mark in our "Tour of the 50 states" today.  Time to preview the Bluegrass State. ...

    Reapportionment and Redistricting:  No change in Kentucky's CD allotment came about as a result of the 2010 Census, and a couple factors point to no change in the partisan makeup of the House delegation here either.  First, Kentucky's legislators have a track record of protecting incumbents in redistricting battles.  And, second, Kentucky's recent re-election of a Democratic governor gives them the upper hand in redistricting negotiations which should enable them to shore up the lone vulnerable congressman in the state, Democrat Ben Chandler in District 6.

    President:  Aside from two close Democratic victories here in 1992 (Clinton) and 1976 (Carter), Kentucky tends to vote Republican in presidential elections.  In recent elections, the Republican nominee has won handily here.  EP foresees another Solid GOP Hold in 2012.

    Senate:  Mitch McConnell, Senate Minority Leader and entrenched 5-term Senate veteran, is Kentucky's senior senator.  He'll be up for a sixth term in 2014.  Republican Rand Paul, junior senator and son of presidential candidate Ron Paul, won his seat in 2010.  His first re-election bid will come in 2016.

    Governor:  Democrat Steve Beshear won a decisive odd-year gubernatorial election in November, earning him a second term in the statehouse.  He'll be term-limited when the next race for governor rolls around in 2015.

    House:  For the most part, Kentucky's House delegation seems pretty stable.  All six incumbents, four Republicans and two Democrats, appear likely to seek re-election in 2012.  Only one of them, Chandler in District 6, could be vulnerable.  If the election were held without new district lines in place, Chandler's re-election prospects would be just a Weak DEM Hold, and that's why his race opens the season on EP's hotly-contested House race list.  After redistricting is done, however, don't be surprised if Chandler emerges much more secure - and no longer on my list.

    The Kentucky state page will be a great place to keep up with all the Bluegrass races over the next 11 months.

    Next stop:  Louisiana

    Filed under:  Kentucky 2012  KY President 2012  KY House 2012 

    posted by Scott Elliott at 6:24pm 12/08/11::

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