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2012 Projections

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Alaska  
 
General Information

Election Timeline


  • March 6, 2012 - Presidential caucuses
  • June 1, 2012 - Deadline to file for candidacy
  • August 28, 2012 - Primary elections (non-presidential)
  • November 6, 2012 - Election day
  • Latest Polls and Updates


    Conservative Ranking


    Alaska is the 6th most conservative state, voting 28.80% more Republican in the 2008 presidential elections than the national average.

    Partisan Trend


    Based on voting patterns since 1992, Alaska is trending REPUBLICAN in presidential elections.

    GOP Trend Ranking


    Alaska ranks 14th among the 50 states.
     

    Projected Races
    Click on a race for details

    Presidential Race


    Barack Obama - inc  vs.  Mitt Romney

    Senate Race


    No race in 2012

    Governor Race


    No race in 2012

    Competitive House Races


    No competitive races in 2012

    Other House Races


    Projected winner listed first
  • District AL:  Don Young (R)-inc vs. Sharon Cissna (D)
  •  
    Additional Information
    Current Partisan Breakdown
     
    National Delegation
      Senators 1 GOP, 1 DEM
      Representatives 1 GOP
    State Government
      Governor GOP
      Lt. Governor GOP
      State Senate - Joint control 10 GOP, 10 DEM
      State House - GOP control 24 GOP, 16 DEM

    Current Office Holders


  • Governor:  Sean Parnell (R) - 1st full term, up for re-election in 2014
  • Lt. Governor:  Mead Treadwell (R) - 1st term, tied to Governor
  • Senior Senator:  Lisa Murkowski (R) - 3rd term, up for re-election in 2016
  • Junior Senator:  Mark Begich (D) - 1st term, up for re-election in 2014
  • House District AL:  Don Young (R) - 20th term
  • Historical Partisan Snapshot


     
      Race 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010

    President Solid R -- Solid R -- Solid R --

    Senate
    Class 2 -- Solid R -- -- Weak D --
    Class 3 -- -- Weak R -- -- Weak R

    Governor -- Solid R -- Mod R -- Solid R

    House 1 GOP 1 GOP 1 GOP 1 GOP 1 GOP 1 GOP
    CD-AL Solid R Solid R Solid R Solid R Weak R Solid R

    BOLD - party turnover
     
    Race ratings:
  • "Weak" - less than 5%
  • "Mod" - 5% to less than 10%
  • "Strong" - 10% to 15%
  • "Solid" - greater than 15%
  •  

    Alaska Race Tracking
    President
    Mitt Romney
    vs
    Barack Obama - inc
    Projected Winner
    2012 Elections On Demand


    Presidential Races
     
    Projections:

    Polls:

    Senate & Governor Races
     
    Projections:

    Polls:

    Competitive House Races
     
    Projections:

    Polls:
    Special Thanks To:

    Charlie Cook
    Cook Political


    Congressional Quarterly
    CQ Politics


    D.C. Finegold Sachs
    DC's Political Report


    Dave Leip
    U.S. Election Atlas


    David Wissing
    The Hedgehog Report


    Larry Sabato
    Crystal Ball


    Richard & Tony
    The Green Papers


    Rose Institute
    Redistricting in America


    Tom Bevan and John McIntyre
    RealClearPolitics

    Election Projection Resources
     
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    e-mail Scott at:
    electionprojection-at-
    gmail <put a period here> com
     

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