| |
|---|
| Arkansas |
 |
|
|
| |
|---|
|
Election Timeline
TBD - Deadline to file for candidacy
May 22, 2012 - Presidential primaries
May 22, 2012 - Primary elections (non-presidential)
June 12, 2012 - Primary run-off elections
November 6, 2012 - Election day
Latest Polls and Updates
Conservative Ranking
Arkansas is the 7th most conservative state, voting
27.13% more Republican in the 2008 presidential elections than the national average.
Partisan Trend
Based on voting patterns since 1992, Arkansas is trending REPUBLICAN in presidential
elections.
NOTE: Arkansas' GOP trend is somewhat inflated due to the presence of former Gov. Bill Clinton on the ballot in 1992 and 1996.
GOP Trend Ranking
Arkansas ranks first among the 50 states.
|
|
|
Race for the White House
GOP Candidates
Newt Gingrich - Former U.S. Speaker of the House from Georgia
Ron Paul - U.S. Representative from Texas
Mitt Romney - Former Governor of Massachusetts
Rick Santorum - Former Senator from Pennsylvania
DEM Candidates
Barack Obama - President of the United States
Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.
|
| |
|
District 4
OPEN SEAT: Democratic incumbent Michael Ross is not seeking a seventh term in 2012.
GOP Candidates
Thomas Cotton
John Cowart
Beth Anne Rankin
Marcus Richmond
DEM Candidates
Gene Jeffress - Arkansas State Senator
D.C. Morrison
Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.
Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries
Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries
Preliminary Projection - Weak GOP Gain
|
| |
|
|
|
Projected winner listed first
District 1: Rick Crawford (R)-inc vs. ??? (D) (possibly competitive)
District 2: Tim Griffin (R)-inc (currently unopposed - possibly competitive)
District 3: Steve Womack (R)-inc vs. Kenneth Aden (D)
|
| |
|
|
Current Partisan Breakdown
|
| |
| National Delegation |
| Senators |
1 GOP, 1 DEM |
| Representatives |
3 GOP, 1 DEM |
| State Government |
| Governor |
DEM |
| Lt. Governor |
GOP |
| State Senate - DEM control |
15 GOP, 20 DEM |
| State House - DEM control |
46 GOP, 53 DEM, 1 vacant |
Current Office Holders
Governor: Mike Beebe (D) - 2nd term, term-limited in 2014
Lt. Governor: Mark Darr (R) - 1st term, up for re-election in 2014
Senior Senator: Mark Pryor (D) - 2nd term, up for re-election in 2014
Junior Senator: John Boozman (R) - 1st term, up for re-election in 2016
House District 1: Rick Crawford (R) - 1st term
House District 2: Tim Griffin (R) - 1st term
House District 3: Steve Womack (R) - 1st term
House District 4: Mike Ross (D) - 6th term (retiring)
Historical Partisan Snapshot
|
| |
| Race |
2000 |
2002 |
2004 |
2006 |
2008 |
2010 |
|
| President |
Mod R |
-- |
Mod R |
-- |
Solid R |
-- |
Senate |
| Class 2 |
-- |
Mod D |
-- |
-- |
Solid D |
-- |
| Class 3 |
-- |
-- |
Strong D |
-- |
-- |
Solid R |
|
| Governor |
-- |
Mod R |
-- |
Strong D |
-- |
Solid D |
|
| House |
1 GOP
3 DEM |
1 GOP
3 DEM |
1 GOP
3 DEM |
1 GOP
3 DEM |
1 GOP
3 DEM |
3 GOP
1 DEM |
| CD-1 |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Mod R |
| CD-2 |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Weak D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid R |
| CD-3 |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
| CD-4 |
Weak D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
|
BOLD - party turnover
|
Race ratings:
|
"Weak" - less than 5%
"Mod" - 5% to less than 10%
"Strong" - 10% to 15%
"Solid" - greater than 15%
|
|
|
|
| |
|
