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Election Timeline
February 28, 2012 - Presidential primaries
March 9, 2012 - Deadline to file for candidacy
August 28, 2012 - Primary elections (non-presidential)
November 6, 2012 - Election day
Latest Polls and Updates
Conservative Ranking
Arizona is the 18th most conservative state, voting
15.75% more Republican in the 2008 presidential elections than the national average.
Partisan Trend
Based on voting patterns since 1992, Arizona is trending REPUBLICAN in presidential
elections.
GOP Trend Ranking
Arizona ranks 19th among the 50 states.
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| Click on a race for details |
Governor Race
No race in 2012
Competitive House Races
Other House Races
Projected winner listed first
District 2: Ron Barber (D)-inc vs. Martha McSally (R) - possibly competitive
District 3: Raul Grijalva (D)-inc vs. Gabriela Saucedo Mercer (R)
District 4: Paul Gosar (R)-inc, old Dist 1 vs. Johnnie Robinson (D)
District 5: OPEN: Matt Salmon (R) vs. Spencer Morgan (D)
District 6: MERGED: David Schweikert (R)-inc, old Dist 5 vs. Matthew Jette (D)
District 7: Ed Pastor (D)-inc vs. Joe Cobb (R)
District 8: Trent Franks (R)-inc vs. Gene Scharer (D)
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Current Partisan Breakdown
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| National Delegation |
| Senators |
2 GOP |
| Representatives |
5 GOP, 3 DEM |
| State Government |
| Governor |
GOP |
| State Senate - GOP control |
21 GOP, 9 DEM |
| State House - GOP control |
40 GOP, 20 DEM |
Current Office Holders
Governor: Jan Brewer (R) - 2nd term, up for election in 2014
Senior Senator: John McCain (R) - 5th term, up for re-election in 2016
Junior Senator: Jon Kyl (R) - 3rd term, not seeking re-election in 2012
House District 1: Paul Gosar (R) - 1st term (running in CD-4)
House District 2: Trent Franks (R) - 5th term (running in CD-8)
House District 3: Ben Quayle (R) - 1st term (lost in CD-6 primary)
House District 4: Ed Pastor (D) - 11th term (running in CD-7)
House District 5: David Schweikert (R) - 1st term (running in CD-6)
House District 6: Jeffrey Flake (R) - 6th term (running for Senate)
House District 7: Raul Grijalva (D) - 5th term (running in CD-3)
House District 8: Ron Barber (D) - 5th term (running in CD-2)
Historical Partisan Snapshot
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| Race |
2000 |
2002 |
2004 |
2006 |
2008 |
2008 |
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| President |
Mod R |
-- |
Strong R |
-- |
Mod R |
-- |
Senate |
| Class 1 |
Solid R |
-- |
-- |
Mod R |
-- |
-- |
| Class 3 |
-- |
-- |
Solid R |
-- |
-- |
Solid R |
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| Governor |
-- |
Weak D |
-- |
Solid D |
-- |
Strong R |
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| House |
4 GOP
2 DEM |
6 GOP
2 DEM |
6 GOP
2 DEM |
4 GOP
4 DEM |
3 GOP
5 DEM |
5 GOP
3 DEM |
| CD-1 |
Mod R |
Weak R |
Solid R |
Mod R |
Solid D |
Mod R |
| CD-2 |
Solid D |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
| CD-3 |
Solid R |
Weak R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Strong R |
Strong R |
| CD-4 |
Solid R |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
| CD-5 |
Solid D |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Weak D |
Mod D |
Mod R |
| CD-6 |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
| CD-7 |
NA |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Mod D |
| CD-8 |
NA |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Mod D |
Strong D |
Weak D |
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BOLD - party turnover
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Race ratings:
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"Weak" - less than 5%
"Mod" - 5% to less than 10%
"Strong" - 10% to 15%
"Solid" - greater than 15%
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