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Election Timeline
March 13, 2012 - Presidential caucuses
June 5, 2012 - Deadline to file for candidacy
August 11, 2012 - Primary elections (non-presidential)
November 6, 2012 - Election day
Latest Polls and Updates
Conservative Ranking
Hawaii is the least conservative state, voting a whopping
38.00% less Republican in the 2008 presidential elections than the national average.
Partisan Trend
Based on voting patterns since 1992, Hawaii is trending DEMOCRAT in presidential
elections.
GOP Trend Ranking
Hawaii ranks last among the 50 states.
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Race for the White House
GOP Candidates
Newt Gingrich - Former U.S. Speaker of the House from Georgia
Ron Paul - U.S. Representative from Texas
Mitt Romney - Former Governor of Massachusetts
Rick Santorum - Former Senator from Pennsylvania
DEM Candidates
Barack Obama - President of the United States
Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.
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OPEN SEAT:
Democratic incumbent Daniel Akaka is retiring at the end of his fourth term. He is not seeking re-election in 2012.
GOP Candidates
John Carroll - Former Hawaii State Senator
Linda Lingle - Former Governor of Hawaii
DEM Candidates
Edward Case - Former U.S. Representative from Hawaii
Mazie Hirono - U.S. Representative from Hawaii
Donna Mercado Kim - Hawaii State Senator
Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.
Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries
Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries
Preliminary Projection - Weak DEM Hold
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No competitive races in 2012
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Projected winner listed first
District 1: Colleen Hanabusa (D)-inc vs. Charles Djou (R)
District 2: OPEN: ??? (D) (currently unopposed)
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Current Partisan Breakdown
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| National Delegation |
| Senators |
2 DEM |
| Representatives |
2 DEM |
| State Government |
| Governor |
DEM |
| Lt. Governor |
DEM |
| State Senate - DEM control |
1 GOP, 24 DEM |
| State House - DEM control |
8 GOP, 43 DEM |
Current Office Holders
Governor: Neil Abercrombie (D) - 1st term, up for re-election in 2014
Lt. Governor: Brian Schatz (D) - 1st term, tied to Governor
Senior Senator: Daniel Inouye (D) - 9th term, up for re-election in 2010
Junior Senator: Daniel Akaka (D) - 4th term, not seeking re-election in 2012
House District 1: Colleen Hanabusa (D) - 1st term
House District 2: Mazie Hirono (D) - 3rd term (running for Senate)
Historical Partisan Snapshot
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| Race |
2000 |
2002 |
2004 |
2006 |
2008 |
2010 |
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| President |
Solid D |
-- |
Mod D |
-- |
Solid D |
-- |
Senate |
| Class 1 |
Solid D |
-- |
-- |
Solid D |
-- |
-- |
| Class 3 |
-- |
-- |
Solid D |
-- |
-- |
Solid D |
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| Governor |
-- |
Mod R |
-- |
Solid R |
-- |
Solid D |
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| House |
2 DEM |
2 DEM |
2 DEM |
2 DEM |
2 DEM |
2 DEM |
| CD-1 |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Mod D |
| CD-2 |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
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BOLD - party turnover
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Race ratings:
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"Weak" - less than 5%
"Mod" - 5% to less than 10%
"Strong" - 10% to 15%
"Solid" - greater than 15%
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