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Iowa  
 
General Information

Election Timeline


  • January 3, 2012 - Presidential caucuses
  • TBD - Deadline to file for candidacy
  • June 5, 2012 - Primary elections (non-presidential)
  • November 6, 2012 - Election day
  • Latest Polls and Updates


    Conservative Ranking


    Iowa is the 22nd least conservative state, voting 2.27% less Republican in the 2008 presidential elections than the national average.

    Partisan Trend


    Based on voting patterns since 1992, Iowa is trending DEMOCRAT in presidential elections.

    GOP Trend Ranking


    Iowa ranks 26th among the 50 states.
     


    Presidential Race

    Race for the White House


    GOP Candidates
  • Newt Gingrich - Former U.S. Speaker of the House from Georgia
  • Ron Paul - U.S. Representative from Texas
  • Mitt Romney - Former Governor of Massachusetts
  • Rick Santorum - Former Senator from Pennsylvania
  • DEM Candidates

  • Barack Obama - President of the United States
  • Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.

     
    Senate Race
    No race in 2012
     
    Governor's Race
    No race in 2012
     
    Competitive House Races
    District 3
    Incumbent:  Democratic incumbent Leonard Boswell seeks a ninth term in 2012.  He currently faces no primary opposition.  This district has been merged with Thomas Latham's old District 4, creating an incumbent vs. incumbent race.

    GOP Candidates

  • Thomas Latham - Incumbent, old District 4
  • DEM Candidates

  • Leonard Boswell - Incumbent
  • Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.

    Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries

    Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries

    Preliminary Projection - Weak DEM Hold

     

    District 4
    Incumbent:  Republican Steven King, old District 5, seeks a sixth term in 2012.  He currently faces no primary opposition.

    GOP Candidates

  • Steven King - Incumbent, District 5
  • DEM Candidates

  • Christie Vilsack - Former Iowa First Lady
  • Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.

    Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries

    Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries

    Preliminary Projection - Weak GOP Hold

     
    Other House Races
    Projected winner listed first
  • District 1:  Bruce Braley (D)-inc vs. ??? (R)
  • District 2:  David Loebsack (D)-inc vs. ??? (R)
  •  
    Additional Information
    Current Partisan Breakdown
     
    National Delegation
      Senators 1 GOP, 1 DEM
      Representatives 2 GOP, 3 DEM
    State Government
      Governor GOP
      Lt. Governor GOP
      State Senate - DEM control 24 GOP, 26 DEM
      State House - GOP control 60 GOP, 40 DEM

    Current Office Holders


  • Governor:  Terry Branstad (R) - 1st term, up for re-election in 2014
  • Lt. Governor:  Kimberly Reynolds (R) - 1st term, tied to Governor
  • Senior Senator:  Chuck Grassley (R) - 6th term, up for re-election in 2016
  • Junior Senator:  Tom Harkin (D) - 5th term, up for re-election in 2014
  • House District 1:  Bruce Braley (D) - 3rd term
  • House District 2:  David Loebsack (D) - 3rd term
  • House District 3:  Leonard Boswell (D) - 8th term
  • House District 4:  Tom Latham (R) - 9th term
  • House District 5:  Steve King (R) - 5th term
  • Historical Partisan Snapshot


     
      Race 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010

    President Weak D -- Weak R -- Mod D --

    Senate
    Class 2 -- Mod D -- -- Solid D --
    Class 3 -- -- Solid R -- -- Solid R

    Governor -- Strong D -- Strong D -- Strong R

    House 4 GOP
    1 DEM
    4 GOP
    1 DEM
    4 GOP
    1 DEM
    2 GOP
    3 DEM
    2 GOP
    3 DEM
    2 GOP
    3 DEM
    CD-1 Solid R Strong R Strong R Strong D Solid D Weak D
    CD-2 Strong R Mod R Solid R Weak D Solid D Mod D
    CD-3 Solid D Mod D Strong D Mod D Strong D Weak D
    CD-4 Solid R Strong R Solid R Strong R Solid R Solid R
    CD-5 Solid R Solid R Solid R Solid R Solid R Solid R

    BOLD - party turnover
     
    Race ratings:
  • "Weak" - less than 5%
  • "Mod" - 5% to less than 10%
  • "Strong" - 10% to 15%
  • "Solid" - greater than 15%
  •  

    Special Thanks To:

    Charlie Cook
    Cook Political


    Congressional Quarterly
    CQ Politics


    D.C. Finegold Sachs
    DC's Political Report


    Dave Leip
    U.S. Election Atlas


    David Wissing
    The Hedgehog Report


    Larry Sabato
    Crystal Ball


    Richard & Tony
    The Green Papers


    Rose Institute
    Redistricting in America


    Tom Bevan and John McIntyre
    RealClearPolitics

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