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| Iowa |
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Election Timeline
January 3, 2012 - Presidential caucuses
TBD - Deadline to file for candidacy
June 5, 2012 - Primary elections (non-presidential)
November 6, 2012 - Election day
Latest Polls and Updates
Conservative Ranking
Iowa is the 22nd least conservative state, voting
2.27% less Republican in the 2008 presidential elections than the national average.
Partisan Trend
Based on voting patterns since 1992, Iowa is trending DEMOCRAT in presidential
elections.
GOP Trend Ranking
Iowa ranks 26th among the 50 states.
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Race for the White House
GOP Candidates
Newt Gingrich - Former U.S. Speaker of the House from Georgia
Ron Paul - U.S. Representative from Texas
Mitt Romney - Former Governor of Massachusetts
Rick Santorum - Former Senator from Pennsylvania
DEM Candidates
Barack Obama - President of the United States
Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.
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District 3
Incumbent: Democratic incumbent Leonard Boswell seeks a ninth term in 2012. He currently faces no primary opposition.
This district has been merged with Thomas Latham's old District 4, creating an incumbent vs. incumbent race.
GOP Candidates
Thomas Latham - Incumbent, old District 4
DEM Candidates
Leonard Boswell - Incumbent
Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.
Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries
Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries
Preliminary Projection - Weak DEM Hold
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District 4
Incumbent: Republican Steven King, old District 5, seeks a sixth term in 2012. He currently faces no primary opposition.
GOP Candidates
Steven King - Incumbent, District 5
DEM Candidates
Christie Vilsack - Former Iowa First Lady
Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.
Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries
Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries
Preliminary Projection - Weak GOP Hold
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Projected winner listed first
District 1: Bruce Braley (D)-inc vs. ??? (R)
District 2: David Loebsack (D)-inc vs. ??? (R)
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Current Partisan Breakdown
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| National Delegation |
| Senators |
1 GOP, 1 DEM |
| Representatives |
2 GOP, 3 DEM |
| State Government |
| Governor |
GOP |
| Lt. Governor |
GOP |
| State Senate - DEM control |
24 GOP, 26 DEM |
| State House - GOP control |
60 GOP, 40 DEM |
Current Office Holders
Governor: Terry Branstad (R) - 1st term, up for re-election in 2014
Lt. Governor: Kimberly Reynolds (R) - 1st term, tied to Governor
Senior Senator: Chuck Grassley (R) - 6th term, up for re-election in 2016
Junior Senator: Tom Harkin (D) - 5th term, up for re-election in 2014
House District 1: Bruce Braley (D) - 3rd term
House District 2: David Loebsack (D) - 3rd term
House District 3: Leonard Boswell (D) - 8th term
House District 4: Tom Latham (R) - 9th term
House District 5: Steve King (R) - 5th term
Historical Partisan Snapshot
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| Race |
2000 |
2002 |
2004 |
2006 |
2008 |
2010 |
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| President |
Weak D |
-- |
Weak R |
-- |
Mod D |
-- |
Senate |
| Class 2 |
-- |
Mod D |
-- |
-- |
Solid D |
-- |
| Class 3 |
-- |
-- |
Solid R |
-- |
-- |
Solid R |
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| Governor |
-- |
Strong D |
-- |
Strong D |
-- |
Strong R |
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| House |
4 GOP
1 DEM |
4 GOP
1 DEM |
4 GOP
1 DEM |
2 GOP
3 DEM |
2 GOP
3 DEM |
2 GOP
3 DEM |
| CD-1 |
Solid R |
Strong R |
Strong R |
Strong D |
Solid D |
Weak D |
| CD-2 |
Strong R |
Mod R |
Solid R |
Weak D |
Solid D |
Mod D |
| CD-3 |
Solid D |
Mod D |
Strong D |
Mod D |
Strong D |
Weak D |
| CD-4 |
Solid R |
Strong R |
Solid R |
Strong R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
| CD-5 |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
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BOLD - party turnover
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Race ratings:
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"Weak" - less than 5%
"Mod" - 5% to less than 10%
"Strong" - 10% to 15%
"Solid" - greater than 15%
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