Home  Blog  Election Polls  President 2012  Senate 2012  House 2012  Governors 2012  GOP Primaries 2012  Redistricting 2012  Formulas  Results  About me


 

 
         
    "The Blogging Caesar at Election Projection is one of the web's best prognosticators" - Hugh Hewitt

2012 Projections

President
Senate
House
Governors



Election Projection cannot screen all advertisements appearing here.  Therefore, I do not necessarily endorse the products and/or services shown.



 
Iowa  
 
General Information

Election Timeline


  • January 3, 2012 - Presidential caucuses
  • March 16, 2012 - Deadline to file for candidacy
  • June 5, 2012 - Primary elections (non-presidential)
  • November 6, 2012 - Election day
  • Latest Polls and Updates


    Conservative Ranking


    Iowa is the 22nd least conservative state, voting 2.27% less Republican in the 2008 presidential elections than the national average.

    Partisan Trend


    Based on voting patterns since 1992, Iowa is trending DEMOCRAT in presidential elections.

    GOP Trend Ranking


    Iowa ranks 26th among the 50 states.
     

    Projected Races
    Click on a race for details

    Presidential Race


    Barack Obama - inc  vs.  Mitt Romney

    Senate Race


    No race in 2012

    Governor Race


    No race in 2012

    Competitive House Races


  • District 3:  Leonard Boswell - inc  vs.  Thomas Latham - inc, old District 4
  • District 4:  Steven King - inc  vs.  Christie Vilsack
  • Other House Races


    Projected winner listed first
  • District 1:  Bruce Braley (D)-inc vs. Benjamin Lange (R) - possibly competitive
  • District 2:  David Loebsack (D)-inc vs. John Archer, Jr. (R) - possibly competitive
  •  
    Additional Information
    Current Partisan Breakdown
     
    National Delegation
      Senators 1 GOP, 1 DEM
      Representatives 2 GOP, 3 DEM
    State Government
      Governor GOP
      Lt. Governor GOP
      State Senate - DEM control 24 GOP, 26 DEM
      State House - GOP control 60 GOP, 40 DEM

    Current Office Holders


  • Governor:  Terry Branstad (R) - 1st term, up for re-election in 2014
  • Lt. Governor:  Kimberly Reynolds (R) - 1st term, tied to Governor
  • Senior Senator:  Chuck Grassley (R) - 6th term, up for re-election in 2016
  • Junior Senator:  Tom Harkin (D) - 5th term, up for re-election in 2014
  • House District 1:  Bruce Braley (D) - 3rd term
  • House District 2:  David Loebsack (D) - 3rd term
  • House District 3:  Leonard Boswell (D) - 8th term
  • House District 4:  Tom Latham (R) - 9th term
  • House District 5:  Steve King (R) - 5th term (running in CD-4)
  • Historical Partisan Snapshot


     
      Race 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010

    President Weak D -- Weak R -- Mod D --

    Senate
    Class 2 -- Mod D -- -- Solid D --
    Class 3 -- -- Solid R -- -- Solid R

    Governor -- Strong D -- Strong D -- Strong R

    House 4 GOP
    1 DEM
    4 GOP
    1 DEM
    4 GOP
    1 DEM
    2 GOP
    3 DEM
    2 GOP
    3 DEM
    2 GOP
    3 DEM
    CD-1 Solid R Strong R Strong R Strong D Solid D Weak D
    CD-2 Strong R Mod R Solid R Weak D Solid D Mod D
    CD-3 Solid D Mod D Strong D Mod D Strong D Weak D
    CD-4 Solid R Strong R Solid R Strong R Solid R Solid R
    CD-5 Solid R Solid R Solid R Solid R Solid R Solid R

    BOLD - party turnover
     
    Race ratings:
  • "Weak" - less than 5%
  • "Mod" - 5% to less than 10%
  • "Strong" - 10% to 15%
  • "Solid" - greater than 15%
  •  

    Iowa Race Tracking
    President
    Barack Obama - inc
    vs
    Mitt Romney
    Projected Winner
    House District 3
    Thomas Latham - inc
    vs
    Leonard Boswell - inc
    Projected Winner
    House District 4
    Steven King - inc
    vs
    Christie Vilsack
    Projected Winner
    2012 Elections On Demand


    Presidential Races
     
    Projections:

    Polls:

    Senate & Governor Races
     
    Projections:

    Polls:

    Competitive House Races
     
    Projections:

    Polls:
    Special Thanks To:

    Charlie Cook
    Cook Political


    Congressional Quarterly
    CQ Politics


    D.C. Finegold Sachs
    DC's Political Report


    Dave Leip
    U.S. Election Atlas


    David Wissing
    The Hedgehog Report


    Larry Sabato
    Crystal Ball


    Richard & Tony
    The Green Papers


    Rose Institute
    Redistricting in America


    Tom Bevan and John McIntyre
    RealClearPolitics

    Election Projection Resources
     
    EP's RSS Feed

    RSS Feed  RSS
    Search this site

    provided by Google
    Contact Me

    e-mail Scott at:
    electionprojection-at-
    gmail <put a period here> com
     

    ©Copyright 2003-2013 Scott Elliott, All Rights Reserved