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Election Timeline
February 10, 2012 - Deadline to file for candidacy
May 8, 2012 - Presidential primaries
May 8, 2012 - Primary elections (non-presidential)
November 6, 2012 - Election day
Latest Polls and Updates
Conservative Ranking
Indiana is the 23th most conservative state, voting Democrat in the 2008 presidential elections
but 6.24% more Republican than the national average.
Partisan Trend
Based on voting patterns since 1992, Indiana is trending DEMOCRAT in presidential
elections.
GOP Trend Ranking
Indiana ranks 29th among the 50 states.
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Race for the White House
GOP Candidates
Newt Gingrich - Former U.S. Speaker of the House from Georgia
Ron Paul - U.S. Representative from Texas
Mitt Romney - Former Governor of Massachusetts
Rick Santorum - Former Senator from Pennsylvania
DEM Candidates
Barack Obama - President of the United States
Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.
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Incumbent: Six-term Republican Richard Lugar is seeking re-election in 2012. He faces primary opposition.
GOP Candidates
Richard Lugar - Incumbent
Richard Mourdock - Indiana State Treasurer
Bob Thomas
DEM Candidates
Joseph Donnelly - U.S. Representative from Indiana
Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.
Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries
Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries
Preliminary Projection - Strong GOP Hold
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OPEN SEAT: Two-term Republican Mitch Daniels, Jr. is term-limited in 2012.
GOP Candidates
Mike Pence - U.S. Representative from Indiana
DEM Candidates
John Gregg - Former Indiana State Representative
Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.
Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries
Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries
Preliminary Projection - Mod GOP Hold
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District 2
OPEN SEAT: Democratic incumbent Joseph Donnelly is running for the Senate in 2012.
GOP Candidates
Greg Andrews
Jackie Walorski - Former Indiana State Representative
DEM Candidates
Dan Morrison
Brendan Mullen
Andrew Straw
Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.
Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries
Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries
Preliminary Projection - Mod GOP Gain
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District 8
Incumbent: Freshman Republican Larry Bucshon seeks re-election for the first time in 2012. He faces primary opposition.
GOP Candidates
Larry Bucshon - Incumbent
Kristi Risk
DEM Candidates
Thomas Barnett
William Bryk
Dave Crooks - Former Indiana State Representative
Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.
Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries
Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries
Preliminary Projection - Weak GOP Hold
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Projected winner listed first
District 1: Peter Visclosky? (D)-inc vs. ??? (R)
District 3: Marlin Stutzman (R)-inc vs. ??? (D)
District 4: Todd Rokita (R)-inc vs. ??? (D)
District 5: OPEN: ??? (R) vs. ??? (D)
District 6: OPEN: ??? (R) vs. ??? (D)
District 7: Andre Carson? (D)-inc vs. ??? (R)
District 9: Todd Young (R)-inc vs. ??? (D)
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Current Partisan Breakdown
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| National Delegation |
| Senators |
2 GOP |
| Representatives |
6 GOP, 3 DEM |
| State Government |
| Governor |
GOP |
| Lt. Governor |
GOP |
| State Senate - GOP control |
37 GOP, 13 DEM |
| State House - GOP control |
60 GOP, 40 DEM |
Current Office Holders
Governor: Mitch Daniels, Jr. (R) - 2nd term, term-limited in 2012
Lt. Governor: Becky Skillman (R) - 2nd term, tied to Governor
Senior Senator: Richard Lugar (R) - 6th term, up for re-election in 2012
Junior Senator: Daniel Coats (R) - 1st term, up for re-election in 2016
House District 1: Peter Visclosky (D) - 14th term
House District 2: Joe Donnelly (D) - 3rd term (running for Senate)
House District 3: Marlin Stutzman (R) - 1st full term
House District 4: Todd Rokita (R) - 1st term
House District 5: Dan Burton (R) - 15th term (retiring)
House District 6: Mike Pence (R) - 6th term (running for Governor)
House District 7: Andre Carson (D) - 3rd term
House District 8: Larry Bucshon (R) - 1st term
House District 9: Todd Young (R) - 1st term
Historical Partisan Snapshot
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| Race |
2000 |
2002 |
2004 |
2006 |
2008 |
2010 |
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| President |
Solid R |
-- |
Solid R |
-- |
Weak D |
-- |
Senate |
| Class 1 |
Solid R |
-- |
-- |
Solid R |
-- |
-- |
| Class 3 |
-- |
-- |
Solid D |
-- |
-- |
Solid R |
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| Governor |
Mod D |
-- |
Mod R |
-- |
Solid R |
-- |
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| House |
6 GOP
4 DEM |
6 GOP
3 DEM |
7 GOP
2 DEM |
4 GOP
5 DEM |
4 GOP
5 DEM |
6 GOP
3 DEM |
| CD-1 |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
| CD-2 |
Solid R |
Weak R |
Mod R |
Mod D |
Solid D |
Weak D |
| CD-3 |
Weak D |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Mod R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
| CD-4 |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
| CD-5 |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
| CD-6 |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
| CD-7 |
Solid R |
Mod D |
Strong D |
Mod D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
| CD-8 |
Mod R |
Mod R |
Mod R |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid R |
| CD-9 |
Strong D |
Mod D |
Weak R |
Weak D |
Solid D |
Strong R |
| CD-10 |
Solid D |
NA |
NA |
NA |
NA |
NA |
BOLD - party turnover
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Race ratings:
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"Weak" - less than 5%
"Mod" - 5% to less than 10%
"Strong" - 10% to 15%
"Solid" - greater than 15%
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