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| Kentucky |
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Election Timeline
TBD - Deadline to file for candidacy
May 22, 2012 - Presidential primaries
May 22, 2012 - Primary elections (non-presidential)
November 6, 2012 - Election day
Latest Polls and Updates
Conservative Ranking
Kentucky is the 9th most conservative state, voting
23.49% more Republican in the 2008 presidential elections than the national average.
Partisan Trend
Based on voting patterns since 1992, Kentucky is trending REPUBLICAN in presidential
elections.
GOP Trend Ranking
Kentucky ranks 6th among the 50 states.
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Race for the White House
GOP Candidates
Newt Gingrich - Former U.S. Speaker of the House from Georgia
Ron Paul - U.S. Representative from Texas
Mitt Romney - Former Governor of Massachusetts
Rick Santorum - Former Senator from Pennsylvania
DEM Candidates
Barack Obama - President of the United States
Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.
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District 6
Incumbent: Democratic incumbent Ben Chandler seeks a fifth term in 2012. He currently faces no primary opposition.
GOP Candidates
Andy Barr - 2010 Nominee
Patrick Kelly, II
DEM Candidates
Ben Chandler - Incumbent
Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.
Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries
Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries
Preliminary Projection - Weak DEM Hold
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Projected winner listed first
District 1: Edward Whitfield (R)-inc vs. Charles Hatchett (D)
District 2: Brett Guthrie (R)-inc (currently unopposed)
District 3: John Yarmuth? (D)-inc vs. ??? (R)
District 4: OPEN: ??? (R) vs. Bill Adkins (D)
District 5: Hal Rogers (R)-inc vs. Michael Ackerman (D)
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Current Partisan Breakdown
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| National Delegation |
| Senators |
2 GOP |
| Representatives |
4 GOP, 2 DEM |
| State Government |
| Governor |
DEM |
| Lt. Governor |
DEM |
| State Senate - GOP control |
22 GOP, 15 DEM, 1 IND |
| State House - DEM control |
40 GOP, 59 DEM, 1 vacant |
Current Office Holders
Governor: Steven Beshear (D) - 2nd term, term-limited in 2015
Lt. Governor: Jerry Abramson (D) - 1st term, tied to Governor
Senior Senator: Mitch McConnell (R) - 5th term, up for re-election in 2014
Junior Senator: Rand Paul (R) - 1st term, up for re-election in 2016
House District 1: Edward Whitfield (R) - 10th term
House District 2: Brett Guthrie (R) - 2nd term
House District 3: John Yarmuth (D) - 3rd term
House District 4: Geoff Davis (R) - 4th term
House District 5: Hal Rogers (R) - 16th term
House District 6: Ben Chandler (D) - 4th term
Historical Partisan Snapshot
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| Race |
2000 |
2002 |
2004 |
2006 |
2008 |
2010 |
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| President |
Solid R |
-- |
Solid R |
-- |
Solid R |
-- |
Senate |
| Class 2 |
-- |
Solid R |
-- |
-- |
Mod R |
-- |
| Class 3 |
-- |
-- |
Weak R |
-- |
-- |
Strong R |
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Governor
(2003-2011) |
-- |
Strong R |
-- |
Solid D |
-- |
Solid D |
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| House |
5 GOP
1 DEM |
5 GOP
1 DEM |
5 GOP
1 DEM |
4 GOP
2 DEM |
4 GOP
2 DEM |
4 GOP
2 DEM |
| CD-1 |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
| CD-2 |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Strong R |
Mod R |
Solid R |
| CD-3 |
Mod R |
Weak R |
Solid R |
Weak D |
Strong D |
Strong D |
| CD-4 |
Strong D |
Weak D |
Strong R |
Mod R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
| CD-5 |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid R |
| CD-6 |
Solid R |
Solid R |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Weak D |
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BOLD - party turnover
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Race ratings:
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"Weak" - less than 5%
"Mod" - 5% to less than 10%
"Strong" - 10% to 15%
"Solid" - greater than 15%
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