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Louisiana  
 
General Information

Election Timeline


  • March 24, 2012 - Presidential primaries
  • August 17, 2012 - Deadline to file for candidacy
  • November 6, 2012 - Election day
  • December 1, 2012 - Runoff
  • Latest Polls and Updates


    Conservative Ranking


    Louisiana is the 8th most conservative state, voting 25.90% more Republican in the 2008 presidential elections than the national average.

    Partisan Trend


    Based on voting patterns since 1992, Louisiana is trending REPUBLICAN in presidential elections.

    GOP Trend Ranking


    Louisiana ranks 4th among the 50 states.
     

    Projected Races
    Click on a race for details

    Presidential Race


    Barack Obama - inc  vs.  Mitt Romney

    Senate Race


    No race in 2012

    Governor Race


    No race in 2012

    Competitive House Races


    No competitive races in 2012

    Other House Races


    Projected winner listed first
  • District 1:  Steve Scalise (R)-inc  (currently unopposed)
  • District 2:  Cedric Richmond (D)-inc vs. Gail Dignam (R)
  • District 3:  MERGED:  Charles Boustany, Jr.(Landry)? (R)-inc  (currently unopposed)
  • District 4:  John Fleming (R)-inc  (currently unopposed)
  • District 5:  Rodney Alexander (R)-inc  (currently unopposed)
  • District 6:  Bill Cassidy (R)-inc  (currently unopposed)
  •  
    Additional Information
    Current Partisan Breakdown
     
    National Delegation
      Senators 1 GOP, 1 DEM
      Representatives 6 GOP, 1 DEM
    State Government
      Governor GOP
      Lt. Governor GOP
      State Senate - GOP control 24 GOP, 15 DEM
      State House - GOP control 58 GOP, 45 DEM, 2 IND

    Current Office Holders


  • Governor:  Bobby Jindal (R) - 2nd term, term-limited in 2015
  • Lt. Governor:  Jay Dardenne (R) - 1st term, up for re-election in 2015
  • Senior Senator:  Mary Landrieu (D) - 3rd term, up for re-election in 2014
  • Junior Senator:  David Vitter (R) - 2nd term, up for re-election in 2016
  • House District 1:  Steve Scalise (R) - 3rd term
  • House District 2:  Cedric Richmond (D) - 1st term
  • House District 3:  Jeffrey Landry (R) - 1st term
  • House District 4:  John Fleming (R) - 2nd term
  • House District 5:  Rodney Alexander (R) - 5th term
  • House District 6:  Bill Cassidy (R) - 2nd term
  • House District 7:  Charles Boustany (R) - 4th term (running in CD-3)
  • Historical Partisan Snapshot


     
      Race 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010

    President Mod R -- Solid R -- Solid R --

    Senate
    Class 2 -- Weak D -- -- Mod D --
    Class 3 -- -- Solid R -- -- Solid R

    Governor
    (2003-2011)
    -- Weak D -- Solid R -- Solid R

    House 5 GOP
    2 DEM
    5 GOP
    2 DEM
    5 GOP
    2 DEM
    5 GOP
    2 DEM
    6 GOP
    1 DEM
    6 GOP
    1 DEM
    CD-1 Solid R Solid R Solid R Solid R Solid R Solid R
    CD-2 Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D Weak R Solid D
    CD-3 Solid R Solid R Weak D Solid D Solid D Solid R
    CD-4 Solid R Solid R Solid R Solid R Weak R Solid R
    CD-5 Solid R Solid R Solid R Solid R Solid R Solid R
    CD-6 Solid R Solid R Solid R Solid R Mod R Solid R
    CD-7 Solid D Solid D Strong R Solid R Solid R Solid R

    BOLD - party turnover
    Race ratings:
  • "Weak" - less than 5%
  • "Mod" - 5% to less than 10%
  • "Strong" - 10% to 15%
  • "Solid" - greater than 15%
  •  

    Louisiana Race Tracking
    President
    Mitt Romney
    vs
    Barack Obama - inc
    Projected Winner
    2012 Elections On Demand


    Presidential Races
     
    Projections:

    Polls:

    Senate & Governor Races
     
    Projections:

    Polls:

    Competitive House Races
     
    Projections:

    Polls:
    Special Thanks To:

    Charlie Cook
    Cook Political


    Congressional Quarterly
    CQ Politics


    D.C. Finegold Sachs
    DC's Political Report


    Dave Leip
    U.S. Election Atlas


    David Wissing
    The Hedgehog Report


    Larry Sabato
    Crystal Ball


    Richard & Tony
    The Green Papers


    Rose Institute
    Redistricting in America


    Tom Bevan and John McIntyre
    RealClearPolitics

    Election Projection Resources
     
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    e-mail Scott at:
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