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Massachusetts  
 
General Information

Election Timeline


  • March 6, 2012 - Presidential primaries
  • August 28, 2012 - Deadline to file for candidacy
  • September 18, 2012 - Primary elections (non-presidential)
  • November 6, 2012 - Election day
  • Latest Polls and Updates


    Conservative Ranking


    Massachusetts is the 5th least conservative state, voting 18.54% less Republican in the 2008 presidential elections than the national average.

    Partisan Trend


    Based on voting patterns since 1992, Massachusetts is trending DEMOCRAT in presidential elections.

    GOP Trend Ranking


    Massachusetts ranks 34th among the 50 states.fof
     


    Presidential Race

    Race for the White House


    GOP Candidates
  • Newt Gingrich - Former U.S. Speaker of the House from Georgia
  • Ron Paul - U.S. Representative from Texas
  • Mitt Romney - Former Governor of Massachusetts
  • Rick Santorum - Former Senator from Pennsylvania
  • DEM Candidates

  • Barack Obama - President of the United States
  • Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.

     
    Senate Race
    Incumbent:  Republican Scott Brown won a special election in early 2010.  Seeking a first full term in 2012, he currently faces no primary opposition.

    GOP Candidates

  • Scott Brown - Incumbent
  • DEM Candidates

  • Marisa Ann DeFranco
  • James King
  • Elizabeth Warren
  • Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.

    Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries

    Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries

    Preliminary Projection - Weak DEM Gain

     
    Governor's Race
    No race in 2012
     
    Competitive House Races
    No competitive races in 2012
     
    Other House Races
    Projected winner listed first
  • District 1:  Richard Neal? (D)-inc, old Dist 2 vs. Bill Gunn, Jr. (R)
  • District 2:  James McGovern (D)-inc, old Dist 3  (currently unopposed)
  • District 3:  Niki Tsongas (D)-inc, old Dist 5 vs. Jon Golnik (R)
  • District 4:  OPEN: ??? (D) vs. ??? (R)
  • District 5:  Edward Markey (D)-inc, old Dist 7 vs. ??? (R)
  • District 6:  John Tierney (D)-inc vs. Richard Tisei (R)
  • District 7:  Michael Capuano (D)-inc, old Dist 8  (currently unopposed)
  • District 8:  Stephen Lynch (D)-inc, old Dist 9 vs. ??? (R)
  • District 9:  Bill Keating (D)-inc, old Dist 10 vs. Christopher Sheldon (R)
  •  
    Additional Information
    Current Partisan Breakdown
     
    National Delegation
      Senators 1 GOP, 1 DEM
      Representatives 10 DEM
    State Government
      Governor DEM
      Lt. Governor - tied to Governor DEM
      State Senate - DEM control 4 GOP, 36 DEM
      State House - DEM control 33 GOP, 127 DEM

    Current Office Holders


  • Governor:  Deval Patrick (D) - 2nd term, up for re-election in 2014
  • Lt. Governor:  Timothy Murray (D) - 2nd term, tied to Governor
  • Senior Senator:  John Kerry (D) - 4th term, up for re-election in 2014
  • Junior Senator:  Scott Brown (R) - 1st (partial), up for re-election in 2012
  • House District 1:  John Olver (D) - 11th term (retiring)
  • House District 2:  Richard Neal (D) - 12th term
  • House District 3:  James McGovern (D) - 8th term
  • House District 4:  Barney Frank (D) - 16th term (retiring)
  • House District 5:  Niki Tsongas (D) - 3rd term
  • House District 6:  John Tierney (D) - 8th term
  • House District 7:  Edward Markey (D) - 18th term
  • House District 8:  Michael Capuano (D) - 7th term
  • House District 9:  Steven Lynch (D) - 6th term
  • House District 10:  William Keating (D) - 1st term
  • Historical Partisan Snapshot


     
      Race 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010

    President Solid D -- Solid D -- Solid D --

    Senate
    Class 1 Solid D -- -- Solid D -- Weak R
    Class 2 -- Solid D -- -- Solid D --

    Governor -- Mod R -- Solid D -- Mod D

    House 10 DEM 10 DEM 10 DEM 10 DEM 10 DEM 10 DEM
    CD-1 Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D
    CD-2 Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D Strong D
    CD-3 Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D
    CD-4 Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D Strong D
    CD-5 Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D Strong D
    CD-6 Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D Strong D
    CD-7 Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D
    CD-8 Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D
    CD-9 Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D
    CD-10 Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D Weak D

    BOLD - party turnover
    Race ratings:
  • "Weak" - less than 5%
  • "Mod" - 5% to less than 10%
  • "Strong" - 10% to 15%
  • "Solid" - greater than 15%
  •  

    Special Thanks To:

    Charlie Cook
    Cook Political


    Congressional Quarterly
    CQ Politics


    D.C. Finegold Sachs
    DC's Political Report


    Dave Leip
    U.S. Election Atlas


    David Wissing
    The Hedgehog Report


    Larry Sabato
    Crystal Ball


    Richard & Tony
    The Green Papers


    Rose Institute
    Redistricting in America


    Tom Bevan and John McIntyre
    RealClearPolitics

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