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Election Timeline
March 6, 2012 - Presidential primaries
August 28, 2012 - Deadline to file for candidacy
September 18, 2012 - Primary elections (non-presidential)
November 6, 2012 - Election day
Latest Polls and Updates
Conservative Ranking
Massachusetts is the 5th least conservative state, voting
18.54% less Republican in the 2008 presidential elections than the national average.
Partisan Trend
Based on voting patterns since 1992, Massachusetts is trending DEMOCRAT in presidential
elections.
GOP Trend Ranking
Massachusetts ranks 34th among the 50 states.fof
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Race for the White House
GOP Candidates
Newt Gingrich - Former U.S. Speaker of the House from Georgia
Ron Paul - U.S. Representative from Texas
Mitt Romney - Former Governor of Massachusetts
Rick Santorum - Former Senator from Pennsylvania
DEM Candidates
Barack Obama - President of the United States
Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.
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Incumbent: Republican Scott Brown won a special election in early 2010. Seeking a first full term in 2012, he currently faces no primary opposition.
GOP Candidates
Scott Brown - Incumbent
DEM Candidates
Marisa Ann DeFranco
James King
Elizabeth Warren
Click here for Election Projection blogposts about this race.
Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries
Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries
Preliminary Projection -
Weak DEM Gain
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No competitive races in 2012
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Projected winner listed first
District 1: Richard Neal? (D)-inc, old Dist 2 vs. Bill Gunn, Jr. (R)
District 2: James McGovern (D)-inc, old Dist 3 (currently unopposed)
District 3: Niki Tsongas (D)-inc, old Dist 5 vs. Jon Golnik (R)
District 4: OPEN: ??? (D) vs. ??? (R)
District 5: Edward Markey (D)-inc, old Dist 7 vs. ??? (R)
District 6: John Tierney (D)-inc vs. Richard Tisei (R)
District 7: Michael Capuano (D)-inc, old Dist 8 (currently unopposed)
District 8: Stephen Lynch (D)-inc, old Dist 9 vs. ??? (R)
District 9: Bill Keating (D)-inc, old Dist 10 vs. Christopher Sheldon (R)
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Current Partisan Breakdown
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| National Delegation |
| Senators |
1 GOP, 1 DEM |
| Representatives |
10 DEM |
| State Government |
| Governor |
DEM |
| Lt. Governor - tied to Governor |
DEM |
| State Senate - DEM control |
4 GOP, 36 DEM |
| State House - DEM control |
33 GOP, 127 DEM |
Current Office Holders
Governor: Deval Patrick (D) - 2nd term, up for re-election in 2014
Lt. Governor: Timothy Murray (D) - 2nd term, tied to Governor
Senior Senator: John Kerry (D) - 4th term, up for re-election in 2014
Junior Senator: Scott Brown (R) - 1st (partial), up for re-election in 2012
House District 1: John Olver (D) - 11th term (retiring)
House District 2: Richard Neal (D) - 12th term
House District 3: James McGovern (D) - 8th term
House District 4: Barney Frank (D) - 16th term (retiring)
House District 5: Niki Tsongas (D) - 3rd term
House District 6: John Tierney (D) - 8th term
House District 7: Edward Markey (D) - 18th term
House District 8: Michael Capuano (D) - 7th term
House District 9: Steven Lynch (D) - 6th term
House District 10: William Keating (D) - 1st term
Historical Partisan Snapshot
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| Race |
2000 |
2002 |
2004 |
2006 |
2008 |
2010 |
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| President |
Solid D |
-- |
Solid D |
-- |
Solid D |
-- |
Senate |
| Class 1 |
Solid D |
-- |
-- |
Solid D |
-- |
Weak R |
| Class 2 |
-- |
Solid D |
-- |
-- |
Solid D |
-- |
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| Governor |
-- |
Mod R |
-- |
Solid D |
-- |
Mod D |
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| House |
10 DEM |
10 DEM |
10 DEM |
10 DEM |
10 DEM |
10 DEM |
| CD-1 |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
| CD-2 |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Strong D |
| CD-3 |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
| CD-4 |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Strong D |
| CD-5 |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Strong D |
| CD-6 |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Strong D |
| CD-7 |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
| CD-8 |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
| CD-9 |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
| CD-10 |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Solid D |
Weak D |
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| BOLD - party turnover
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Race ratings:
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"Weak" - less than 5%
"Mod" - 5% to less than 10%
"Strong" - 10% to 15%
"Solid" - greater than 15%
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e-mail Scott at:
thebloggingcaesar
-at- yahoo.com
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