Home  Blog  Election Polls  President 2012  Senate 2012  House 2012  Governors 2012  GOP Primaries 2012  Redistricting 2012  Formulas  Results  About me


 

 
         
    "The Blogging Caesar at Election Projection is one of the web's best prognosticators" - Hugh Hewitt

2012 Projections

President
Senate
House
Governors



Election Projection cannot screen all advertisements appearing here.  Therefore, I do not necessarily endorse the products and/or services shown.



 
Massachusetts  
 
General Information

Election Timeline


  • March 6, 2012 - Presidential primaries
  • August 28, 2012 - Deadline to file for candidacy
  • September 6, 2012 - Primary elections (non-presidential)
  • November 6, 2012 - Election day
  • Latest Polls and Updates


    Conservative Ranking


    Massachusetts is the 5th least conservative state, voting 18.54% less Republican in the 2008 presidential elections than the national average.

    Partisan Trend


    Based on voting patterns since 1992, Massachusetts is trending DEMOCRAT in presidential elections.

    GOP Trend Ranking


    Massachusetts ranks 34th among the 50 states.fof
     

    Projected Races
    Click on a race for details

    Presidential Race


    Barack Obama - inc  vs.  Mitt Romney

    Senate Race


    Scott Brown - inc  vs.  Elizabeth Warren

    Governor Race


    No race in 2012

    Competitive House Races


  • District 6:  John Tierney - inc  vs.  Richard Tisei
  • Other House Races


    Projected winner listed first
  • District 1:  Richard Neal (D)-inc, old Dist 2  (unopposed)
  • District 2:  James McGovern (D)-inc, old Dist 3  (unopposed)
  • District 3:  Niki Tsongas (D)-inc, old Dist 5 vs. Jonathan Golnik (R)
  • District 4:  OPEN: Joseph Kennedy (D) vs. Sean Bielat (R)
  • District 5:  Edward Markey (D)-inc, old Dist 7 vs. Thomas Tierney (R)
  • District 7:  Michael Capuano (D)-inc, old Dist 8  (unopposed)
  • District 8:  Stephen Lynch (D)-inc, old Dist 9 vs. Joe Selvaggi (R)
  • District 9:  Bill Keating (D)-inc, old Dist 10 vs. Adam Chaprales (R)
  •  
    Additional Information
    Current Partisan Breakdown
     
    National Delegation
      Senators 1 GOP, 1 DEM
      Representatives 10 DEM
    State Government
      Governor DEM
      Lt. Governor - tied to Governor DEM
      State Senate - DEM control 4 GOP, 36 DEM
      State House - DEM control 33 GOP, 127 DEM

    Current Office Holders


  • Governor:  Deval Patrick (D) - 2nd term, up for re-election in 2014
  • Lt. Governor:  Timothy Murray (D) - 2nd term, tied to Governor
  • Senior Senator:  John Kerry (D) - 4th term, up for re-election in 2014
  • Junior Senator:  Scott Brown (R) - 1st (partial), up for re-election in 2012
  • House District 1:  John Olver (D) - 11th term (retiring)
  • House District 2:  Richard Neal (D) - 12th term (running in CD-1)
  • House District 3:  James McGovern (D) - 8th term (running in CD-2)
  • House District 4:  Barney Frank (D) - 16th term (retiring)
  • House District 5:  Niki Tsongas (D) - 3rd term (running in CD-3)
  • House District 6:  John Tierney (D) - 8th term
  • House District 7:  Edward Markey (D) - 18th term (running in CD-5)
  • House District 8:  Michael Capuano (D) - 7th term (running in CD-7)
  • House District 9:  Steven Lynch (D) - 6th term (running in CD-8)
  • House District 10:  William Keating (D) - 1st term (running in CD-9)
  • Historical Partisan Snapshot


     
      Race 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010

    President Solid D -- Solid D -- Solid D --

    Senate
    Class 1 Solid D -- -- Solid D -- Weak R
    Class 2 -- Solid D -- -- Solid D --

    Governor -- Mod R -- Solid D -- Mod D

    House 10 DEM 10 DEM 10 DEM 10 DEM 10 DEM 10 DEM
    CD-1 Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D
    CD-2 Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D Strong D
    CD-3 Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D
    CD-4 Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D Strong D
    CD-5 Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D Strong D
    CD-6 Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D Strong D
    CD-7 Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D
    CD-8 Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D
    CD-9 Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D
    CD-10 Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D Weak D

    BOLD - party turnover
    Race ratings:
  • "Weak" - less than 5%
  • "Mod" - 5% to less than 10%
  • "Strong" - 10% to 15%
  • "Solid" - greater than 15%
  •  

    Massachusetts Race Tracking
    President
    Barack Obama - inc
    vs
    Mitt Romney
    Projected Winner
    Senate
    Scott Brown - inc
    vs
    Elizabeth Warren
    Projected Winner
    House District 6
    John Tierney - inc
    vs
    Richard Tisei
    Projected Winner
    2012 Elections On Demand


    Presidential Races
     
    Projections:

    Polls:

    Senate & Governor Races
     
    Projections:

    Polls:

    Competitive House Races
     
    Projections:

    Polls:
    Special Thanks To:

    Charlie Cook
    Cook Political


    Congressional Quarterly
    CQ Politics


    D.C. Finegold Sachs
    DC's Political Report


    Dave Leip
    U.S. Election Atlas


    David Wissing
    The Hedgehog Report


    Larry Sabato
    Crystal Ball


    Richard & Tony
    The Green Papers


    Rose Institute
    Redistricting in America


    Tom Bevan and John McIntyre
    RealClearPolitics

    Election Projection Resources
     
    EP's RSS Feed

    RSS Feed  RSS
    Search this site

    provided by Google
    Contact Me

    e-mail Scott at:
    electionprojection-at-
    gmail <put a period here> com
     

    ©Copyright 2003-2013 Scott Elliott, All Rights Reserved